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Blue Sky thinking

By Peter   Lee  ::  16/06/2012   11 Comments (»Last) The details of the Premier League television deals with Sky and BT from 2013 were released to the media last week. The sums are enormous and the final totals will include the overseas rights which have yet to be added in.

Commentators are suggesting that the impact on the finances of Premier League teams will be AT LEAST a £30m increase, with the prize for winning the league doubling compared to the current prize money. The same commentators were speculating that we are not far away from seeing the first £300k per week Premier League player. If past football club behaviour is anything to go by... that?s probably correct.

Now, I consider myself to be a football fan but my loyalty is first and foremost to playing the game, which I had to call a halt to three years ago. A final knee problem ended evening five-a-side, a substitute for the past 20 years for Saturday afternoons that ended with a hip problem.

The close second in loyalty terms is to Everton FC, of course. Like most of my friends, I have no allegiance to England, which I class in my own mind as just another London club. I hope that Everton players never play for England; if they look good, someone will take them off us, and if they do, I hope that they have a poor game, get substituted, and, whatever else, come back fit. Colin Harvey was the best midfield player never to play for England... suited me; Brian Labone should have played ahead of Jack Charlton... True, but I was happy ? and I suspect Harry Catterick was too.

Although I don?t care, really, what will be the impact of the new deal on England? I ask because the potential consequences could be a stimulus for FA support for a change in the way the money is doled out. Although it is the FA Premier League, the initials themselves tell us what influence the Football Association actually has... but let?s speculate anyway.

I saw a stat this week that said that the league with the greatest number of participants in the Euros this week is the Premier League, and comfortably so. The money available, despite the moans about tax rates, continues to attract the best and many second-level players from all over Europe. Increasing the paypot will certainly massively reinforce that trend. Given the desperate need that clubs will have for instant success ? and that for most means staying in the Premier League ? the loss of fortune involved in relegation is too horrible to contemplate; they will continue to seek ready-made answers. It?s a vicious circle, of course. They will all do it... all pay loads more in fees and wages... and there will still be three relegated at season?s end.

This must surely mean that there will be even less opportunity for talented English born youngsters to come through and to improve their skills playing in the best teams at the highest levels. A Scots friend of mine suggested that this had already happened in the Scotland and, if we look at the current England side, some may claim that the decline is irreversible. Carroll, Downing, Henderson, Parker, etc... international class? Really?

So it is in the interests of the international side to stop the trend and come up with a way of making sure that the money doesn?t go in wages. So the FA should be on board for? something.

Well, see if this makes sense; the chances of it happening might be remote but suspend disbelief for a while.

The Premier League chairmen decide that, from 2013, any increase in the monies paid by the broadcasters will be kept in a central fund to which the clubs have a 5% entitlement to draw on. They may draw on this money for two purposes and two only: the first would be for ground improvements and the second would be to reduce admission prices.

Now the cynics out there will already be thinking that the crafty accountants will be thinking of ways around that. I reckon that, even if they do, it can only be around the fringes. The clubs would use the ground improvements to generate additional income anyway so there would be an incentive in playing it straight in that sense.

Take some examples. Arsenal would use the money to pay down their debt and, when that was done, reduce admission prices. Man Utd would do their best to improve the facilities in the very cramped confines of what they have to sell more beer and burgers... but in the end they would have to use the money to reduce ticket prices.

A new stadium was costed a while ago at £10,000 a seat. So 40,000 equals £400M. The additional £30M a year would pay for a stadium loan comfortably within normal commercial loan terms. However, a club like Everton couldn?t go down that route and access bank money because the TV money isn?t guaranteed to stay at these ridiculous heights and Everton are not guaranteed to remain in the Premier League for the full term. The same could be said of most clubs.

But, and this isn?t a disguised plea for a shared stadium, I?ve long advocated that, if it can work in Rome, it can work anywhere... If the two Merseyside teams pooled the cash, then £60M a year presents a totally different financial picture to a lender, with a shorter term to pay back and less risk.

Now I know that the fact that the availability of cash for developments would effectively mean that clubs can go to the banks for loans to buy players, using any facility they have for that rather than ground improvements, but the Financial Fair Play (FFP) rules would still control that ? if we believe that they can at all.

In the end, the beneficiaries of this cash injection would be the fans who would have better facilities and at least stable and ultimately falling costs of watching the match. This is only right. I suspect that most season ticket holders, regular fans, have a TV subscription; I don?t myself. After Hillsborough, I determined never to make any contribution to the Murdoch coffers. I don?t buy the Times and I don?t have anything that comes from Sky. I do feel guilty if there is an Everton away game I can?t get to and I watch on Sky in the local. I reckon that to be balanced by feeling that I am somehow getting my own back by watching Sky on Albanian TV in the same pub for nothing. Does anyone know if that will still continue in future?

Incidentally, I never did buy the Sun. When it first came out, the mid-week match reports finished at half-time and I blame Murdoch?s approach to popular ?journalism? for the destruction of real tabloid papers like the Mirror used to be. Different rant that though...

So, if the proposal was viable and adopted what would we have? Essentially the status quo with regard to the chances of English players making first teams in the Premier League:

  • Better facilities and or lower costs of attendance for the fans;
  • Probably bigger attendances with a better atmosphere as a result, a more saleable prospect ultimately.
  • No stretching of the existing disparities in wealth as a consequence of the TV deal, which would otherwise undermine the intended effects of the FFP rules.
What are the chances of it happening?

Well, there are 20 votes on this. Voting ?No? would be in the interests of half-a-dozen clubs who feel that they have a right to regular Champions League involvement. Voting ?Yes? would be in the interests of the 14 who don?t kid themselves about that prospect but who still keep dreaming that there is still a chance, if they can stay in... and if the financial advantages of the minority don?t increase and stretch into the distance.

Dream on?

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