Champions League

Larne

14 Jul 2026 20:00

Tre Fiori

Prediction:

Larne to win 1.20

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Larne vs Tre Fiori Predictions, Picks & Odds – 14/07/2026

Champions League · 1st Qualifying Round

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Larne or Draw

1.20 on Betano · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 13 Jul 2026 at 00:25 · Odds are subject to change

Larne vs Tre Fiori Preview

Larne head into this second leg at Windsor Park carrying a slender 1-0 aggregate lead, courtesy of Matthew Lusty's first-half strike in San Marino. Gary Haveron's reigning NIFL Premiership champions have been in superb form, winning seven of their last nine competitive outings while keeping clean sheets with impressive regularity. Their historic Conference League group stage run last season proved these players can handle the European stage, and home advantage should further bolster their confidence.

Tre Fiori face a daunting task needing to overturn the deficit away from home. The San Marino champions closed their domestic campaign with a draw against Pennarossa and suffered a 3-1 defeat to La Fiorita in the Coppa Titano final, raising questions about their ability to perform under pressure. A part-time squad travelling to face a professional outfit in Belfast represents a significant step up, and their European pedigree offers little encouragement, having progressed past a qualifying round only twice historically.

The 1X double chance selection looks well-grounded here. Larne have won seven of their last nine competitive fixtures and kept a clean sheet against Tre Fiori in the first leg, demonstrating serious defensive discipline. Playing at Windsor Park with home support, the NIFL Premiership champions need only avoid defeat to progress. The home win price at 1.20 reflects the significant quality gap between these two sides.

Tre Fiori must chase the game after falling behind on aggregate, yet their recent form offers little encouragement. A 3-1 defeat in the Coppa Titano final to La Fiorita and a 1-1 draw against Pennarossa to close their league campaign suggest a side lacking the cutting edge needed to trouble a well-organised professional outfit on foreign soil.

Larne's historic Conference League group stage run last season proves they know how to handle European ties at this level. A part-time San Marinese side needing to push forward could leave gaps for Lusty and company to exploit. Backing the double chance 1X, covered by the home odds at 1.20, represents strong value. Odds and markets subject to change.

Trends to Know about Larne vs Tre Fiori

• Larne hold 1-0 aggregate advantage
• Seven wins from nine recent matches
• Tre Fiori lost Coppa Titano final recently

A mirror-image 3-5-2 vs 3-5-2 sets up a fascinating tactical battle at Inver Park, with both sides likely to contest the wide lanes aggressively. Larne's lineup is backed by multiple credible outlets, while Tre Fiori's probable XI rests on a single source, so some late adjustments from the San Marinese side remain possible.

For Larne, Tiarnan O'Connor and Matthew Lusty carry the attacking burden up front, and controlling the wing-backs on both sides will be decisive. Tre Fiori travel as heavy underdogs but their mirrored shape means they understand exactly the spaces Larne will try to exploit.

How to Watch Larne vs Tre Fiori Match?

What time is Larne vs Tre Fiori?

Larne vs Tre Fiori kicks off at Windsor Park on 14 July 2026 at 20:00 local time.

Where is Larne vs Tre Fiori being played?

This match takes place at Windsor Park in Belfast, Northern Ireland.

How Can I Watch Larne vs Tre Fiori on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings and UEFA's official platforms for broadcast details on this fixture.