What would it take for us to get into Europe?
I tend to be a fan who asks "What if?" ... What if Baines had taken the first penalty versus Leicester; what if we hadn't had terrible VAR decisions; what if...
Okay, put aside the reality of the season so far and let's look at what it would take to qualify for Europe next season by any means, which seems to be an aim that is gaining traction. This is more a little fun exercise. Let's hear thoughts on how many points we would need and what people think we could actually get to achieve this.
If you look at recent seasons, 7th has seen qualification if all the stars align with FA Cup Winners etc... To achieve this, 57 & 54 points have got you into the qualifying stages of the Europa League. Prior to this, it was us at 61 points and there or thereabouts in previous seasons.
So, looking at best-case scenario, we would need another 26 points from the remaining 48 available for us to hit 54. Using my blue-tinted spectacles, I tally 24; however, if we improve as we have done, then, using our recent form as a guide, 14 points from 7 games, with 16 games to go could see us hit the giddy heights of another 32 points. That would give us 60 — which still wouldn't guarantee anything above 7th, though if you go back to the beginning of December, I'm sure most would be happy to take 40 points.
In my mind, for what it's worth, I have us winning 24 points with tops of 32, so see us getting 28, putting us at 56; that puts us there or thereabouts for a Europa League place.
This article is not intended to be a detailed analysis, more a bit of fun. Maybe we can revisit this at the end of the season and see who is closest? What if we get to 54 points?
Reader Comments (13)
Note: the following content is not moderated or vetted by the site owners at the time of submission. Comments are the responsibility of the poster. Disclaimer
1 Posted 12/01/2020 at 20:24:23
Id like to think Carlo and his coaching and charisma, will rub off on the squad each passing day, and the team playimproves.
Lets forget the RS, they talk for themselves and very one else, and focus on what EFC, can aim for, but we will need results to go for us, and stay injury free, as we are down to the bare bones of the squad.
2 Posted 12/01/2020 at 20:38:11
I had us top by two points.
Evertonians of a certain vintage don't need reminding how that season panned out.
Lets just see how the rest of the season pans out and hope that Carlo can make some immediate improvements. I've a feeling we'll end up about where we are now, but obviously hope to be proven wrong.
3 Posted 12/01/2020 at 21:41:42
4 Posted 13/01/2020 at 09:44:48
5 Posted 13/01/2020 at 10:47:50
6 Posted 13/01/2020 at 11:08:08
7 Posted 13/01/2020 at 12:09:20
Forget it, It'll cause more problems than rewards. Away piss ups are ace obviously, and Goodison nights are the best. But I think its a season too soon.
8 Posted 13/01/2020 at 12:11:45
Basically, it shows that Everton are actually on course to finish ABOVE Spurs. We are in a tight race for 6th, and on course for 52 points. Man Utd are on course to wrap 5th up pretty easily, but Spurs and Arsenal are in trouble, Wolves are on course to get 6th on 54, Arsenal 7th, Everton 8th, Spurs 9th.
Spurs have a lot of tough games left. Of our best results from last season, only the Man Utd 4-0 and Liverpool 0-0 are still to be played. There's also a few poor results from last season to reverse and so 55 or more points is certainly doable, and that factors in difficult away games.
9 Posted 13/01/2020 at 14:41:19
Last time there was no plan for it. We had a massive squad but no distinctive style or set of players to be dedicated to it. Koeman just chopped and changed, the players were like strangers and, like our league form, we were hopeless.
Ancelotti will know how to manage it if we are in the Europa League qualifications in July and, more importantly, he will know how to win it.
10 Posted 13/01/2020 at 14:55:39
The fact that Liverpool can win all but 1 game is testament to that.
Clubs like Southampton and Watford looked like lost causes, and boom, a month passes by and they're winning games and climbing the table.
We are just a couple of points of Spurs, and I'm sure Spurs will still consider themselves candidates for Champions League qualification.
Leicester were hyped as title contenders, but look as if a drop in form is hitting them in the second half of the season.
So anything is possible still for this team. I just hope we take it one game at a time.
Richarlison to end the season in top form, and hopefully the signing of another wide man to replace Walcott (Everton soares please). I'd also like Bowen from Hull, to give us further options and competition in the wide positions.
And of course a central midfielder to partner Davies.
11 Posted 13/01/2020 at 15:22:01
We do needs strengthening in midfield, as stated earlier.
12 Posted 16/01/2020 at 20:09:18
If wed beaten Norwich and Sheff United at home wed be in a European place right now.
13 Posted 18/01/2020 at 14:51:05
I still think we need some bodies in (striker, winger) but it has to be our aim - especially after the FA Cup debacle!
I say it every season but I really hope Ancelotti pushes the Board to compete seriously in the cups. They are our best chance of silverware and we should try much harder to win them until a time comes when we can compete at the top of the league again.
Our club should be in Europe EVERY season.
Add Your Comments
In order to post a comment, you need to be logged in as a registered user of the site.
Or Sign up as a ToffeeWeb Member — it's free, takes just a few minutes and will allow you to post your comments on articles and Talking Points submissions across the site.