Conservatism, Conspiracies and Counter-intuition

Paul Tran 04/07/2021 0comments  |  Jump to last
Farhad's come up with another one, hasn't he? Like a gambler on a long losing streak, big-priced bets followed by odds-on shots, with one thing in common: torn-up betting slips.

To be fair to Moshiri, most gamblers keep swinging until things change, but that's often because their strategy works in the long run. Farhad is clearly a patient man... without an apparent strategy.

I didn't have a strong view on the candidates. I don't know enough about most of them to have a strong view and, frankly, I'm punch drunk after so many managers in recent times. This appointment is right out of left field. Let's try and explore the workings of Moshiri's mind.

This is, ultimately, a conservative appointment. After the Hollywood manager got a better offer, Moshiri's reactive pendulum was likely to swing this way. Any 'up-and -coming' manager would take one look at our recent history and set-up, negotiate hard and price or clause himself out of it.

I wonder if those financing the stadium were 'expecting' a 'reassuring' appointment? In business terms, we have a renowned manager with a proven (albeit historical) track record, one who is less likely to get a better offer, one who won't cost us a fee, one who knows and loves the area.

This is the 'risk free' appointment that takes us to Bramley-Moore Dock, whereupon he is replaced by a more attractive manager seduced by the new stadium. Or Benitez does so well, he gets offered a new contract?

Of course, there's so much more to football than business. He managed them, said nasty things about us, clearly isn't 'the best football option' around. And the low-key announcement and video was catnip to the conspiracy theorists.

For me, his 'small club' comments were those of a manager appealing to his supporter base, distracting them from the real issues. Klopp & Mourinho are particularly good at this, too. If Benitez does this for us, I suspect some will quite like it.

As for the announcements, maybe the club toned them down, because they know our thoughts on Benitez and also know they've made so many recruitment errors, maybe it's not a good look to shout the odds this time.

I'm a bit indifferent to this one. He certainly wasn't on my list, but I can see why he was chosen in business terms, even if I don't agree with it. And if I turn my optimist dial up to the max, maybe a hard taskmaster with players and a stubborn fighter in the boardroom might turn out to be a counter-intuitive success?

I wouldn't put a penny on it, but it will be interesting to watch things unfold, probably more interesting than the football on offer. Talking of the football, it can't be worse than under the previous few mangers, can it?

No, I wouldn't put a penny on that, either.

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