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Reader Comments (21)

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Brian Wilkinson
1 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:10:31
Yet again, another brilliant article. Thanks, Paul, love reading your posts.
Paul [The Esk]
2 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:11:43
Thank you, Brian.
Paul Hewitt
3 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:18:42
Have we ever been in more of a financial mess?
Kieran Kinsella
4 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:25:10
Paul,

Thanks for doing the detective work. In a nutshell, it seems as if we have a manageable situation for this year at least.

Paul [The Esk]
5 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:27:13
No, Paul, we haven't. The pandemic hasn't helped, obviously, but, even without that, we have wasted so much money and spend too much relative to our income.

The club claim it is a function of being at the early stage of the investment cycle. I understand that argument but we are 5 years in...

Thomas Richards
6 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:32:57
Paul,

What, if any, is the governance on people outside the club injecting funding?

Paul Hewitt
7 Posted 14/05/2021 at 22:33:54
Moshiri has been a disaster for this club. I wish he'd never bought us. Say what you want about Bill Kenwright. But he worked within his means.
Paul [The Esk]
8 Posted 15/05/2021 at 00:16:08
Thomas, #6, there is no restriction on how much capital goes into a club but there is a restriction on how it is spent. That restriction or limit is determined by how much income the club generates. The gap between income and expenditure has a limit (£105 million over 3 years).

When a club buys a player, it increases its costs. If it doesn't increase its income, then profits are reduced or losses increase. That is what FFP is all about, in Europe and here in the Premier League: limiting losses.

Pete Williams
9 Posted 15/05/2021 at 09:54:34
Thanks Paul for a very informative and interesting piece. Hopefully we will squeeze under the limit, sell MK in time or just get a slap on the wrist. However, it makes me wonder how Moshiri got so wealthy when he seems to be so bad at managing his investments in Everton. Just too optimistic I guess.

One point you haven't mentioned is our PL prize money. Will that come off the £112m estimated losses? Or is that a post June income?

Alan J Thompson
10 Posted 15/05/2021 at 11:23:00
Paul Hewitt(#7): "Worked within his means"?
What means were they given he publicly stated that he had to put a consortium together to buy the club which many will argue was repaid from the club's income, borrowed money from his "financial genius" friend, mortgaged his house and set up loans from organizations in the British Virgin Islands. I won't bother with Willi Steele and co or the one bedroomed unemployed who were supposedly interested in relieving him of this burden, the City sheiks or the "ring fencing" of funds for a new ground. But please, don't put Mr Moshiri in the same bracket.
Chris Williams
11 Posted 15/05/2021 at 12:34:23
Paul,

Under the latest share restructuring, Feb/March time, FM converted loans to capital investment, and there were another 33000+ shares created, as yet unallocated. At latest price of £3k that makes the opportunity of £100m, further capital injection. I’m assuming these will be taken up at some stage.

What impact has this made on your calculations?

Thomas Richards
12 Posted 15/05/2021 at 12:51:21
Thanks Paul
Paul [The Esk]
13 Posted 15/05/2021 at 15:13:59
#9 Pete, yes, my figures include this year's broadcast payments received up to 30 June.
Paul [The Esk]
14 Posted 15/05/2021 at 15:16:07
#11 Chris, if Moshiri subscribed with cash for those shares, yes, it would give us another £100 million but it would not alter the profit and loss account at all (which is what the regulations are based on).
Chris Williams
15 Posted 15/05/2021 at 16:05:22
Cheers Paul,

I'm optimistic because Farhad Moshiri is clearly serious about all this. I'm getting some encouraging signs about the direction of the club in all its facets. In many ways, the men's football side is the bit that lags behind.

Sponsorships and partnerships are being announced fairly regularly, and presumably they all carry some sort of additional income, so hopefully that will play into the P&L at some stage too, to whatever degree.

There was a report a couple of months ago about a deal with one of Usmanov's companies about a fairly substantial naming rights deal over 10 years. Okay, it was in the Mail, and not picked up by anyone else, so dubious provenance, but it will be coming along.

Do you recall if the £30M he paid for exclusivity has yet been accounted for?

Paul [The Esk]
16 Posted 15/05/2021 at 16:36:43
#15 Chris, the £30 million appeared in last years figures (2019-20).
Chris Williams
17 Posted 15/05/2021 at 16:41:24
Thanks for that, Paul.
Brian Wilkinson
18 Posted 15/05/2021 at 22:16:08
Hi again, Paul, so with the failed Super League breakaway, that clearly broke the rules, it is looking like they will get off with a slapped hand and a small fine.

So let us just say, Everton managed to get the squad numbers down; let us say Everton went all out to bring in say 4 world class players, maybe more and went way over their FFP limits, but at the same time have built a top quality side, a transfer ban would not be much of a worry, if we already have those players in.

Also a risk of a 12-month ban from Europe; again, we can take a hit for a 1-year ban, possible points deduction; again, with top top quality players, we should be able to make those points back up.

For the sake of a year, could this be a way of Everton playing the big boys at their own game? Assembling a top-quality team, then waiting 12 months for the cream to rise to the top?

What implications could hit us long term? Would it just be short-term? Does chancing our arm now have a bigger picture for the future that would benefit Everton in the years to come?

Moshiri clearly has the money, so buying the very best should have us challenging like Man City have done recently.

Can you give fellow Evertonians an idea of the pros and cons?

Don Alexander
19 Posted 15/05/2021 at 22:44:49
I try to understand Paul's articles and feel a little wiser on finance afterwards, so thank you, Paul. I increasingly feel depressed as well.

That said, the Moshiri regime has in my opinion only succeeded in boxing itself right into a corner nobody wants to be in, despite the expenditure, promises and "project".

There are no easy (or easily affordable) answers it seems, but Moshiri can only retain any measure of respectability to fans, players, agents, and football in general if he this summer enables Ancelotti & Brands to sign some (four or five?) proper players, and better than the good Allan, Doucouré, Godfrey, James quartet they've most recently acquired.

If he can't or won't, just what is the point of employing Signor Ancelotti?

Laurie Hartley
20 Posted 16/05/2021 at 02:25:14
Thanks, Paul, for another terrific insight into the financial affairs of the club. I thought your opinion was fair and balanced. For my part, I am in full agreement with your views on our owner. Farhad Moshiri has nerves of steel - we only have to look at your numbers to see this.

This is why Don # 19, he has already won my respect. Yes, he has made a few gaffs but, looking at the big picture, he has shown a remarkable commitment to our club. Those losses make me shudder but my gut feeling is that he reckons he is going to get that money back in spades. I couldn't do it - but that is one of the reasons I am not a billionaire.

As far as recruitment goes, I will be happy if he signs a right back, right winger (Adama Traore) and gives King a new contract.

One thing I am very sure of: Carlo Ancelloti will be our manager for the long run because I reckon Moshiri trusts him.

Brian Wilkinson
21 Posted 16/05/2021 at 13:04:56
I agree, Laurie, I think the first step is any player whose contract ends in the summer, ship out; any coming up to their final year, do not extend it. It will cost us in the long run. I am talking about players we have tried and tested over the years, the likes of King and Rodriguez are an exception.

A few might think Sigurdsson could get an extension when his contract runs out next summer; he will be a year older and, apart from the occasional flashes of quality, there are better players out there for the longer term.

The old guards that have survived through four Managers, who come in when the likes of James, Allan, Doucouré and the like are missing, are just not good enough.

Once we start to get these players out of the door and start replacing not just certain areas in the starting 11 but also quality back up from the bench and beyond, then we will start making progress.

This summer will be a start, I am sure we will bring signings in, but we have to start clearing the decks and getting a few players off the books.


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