Champions League
Sturm Graz
11 Aug 2026 19:30
Fenerbahçe
Prediction:
Fenerbahçe to win 1.87
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Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Predictions, Picks & Odds – 11/08/2026

Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round
11 Aug 2026 Merkur Arena Tiernan Allen

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Betano3.953.851.87View odds
Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Sturm Graz or Draw
3.95 on Betano · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 10 Aug 2026 at 04:19 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Champions League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 11 Aug 2026
Time: 19:30 WAT
Stadium: Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Preview

Sturm Graz head into this third qualifying round clash brimming with confidence after a devastating 6-0 aggregate demolition of Hearts in the previous round. The Austrian side kept two clean sheets across those legs, conceding zero goals in their Champions League qualifying campaign so far. Their Bundesliga opener produced a 1-1 draw away at WSG Tirol, a minor blip, but the Merkur Arena has been a fortress. Recent group stage experience from the 2024-25 season gives them genuine pedigree.

Fenerbahçe navigated their way past Gornik Zabrze with a 2-1 aggregate victory, though the 1-1 away draw in Poland exposed some vulnerability on the road. The Turkish giants are desperate to end a lengthy Champions League group stage drought stretching back to 2008-09. Manager Ismail Kartal is expected to rotate, with Ederson coming in between the sticks and Ismail Yuksek replacing Fred in midfield. N'Golo Kante's return to full training is a significant boost, while Mason Greenwood pushes for a start.

Sturm Graz's defensive record is the cornerstone of this pick. They conceded zero goals across two legs against Hearts, keeping clean sheets home and away. That kind of solidity at the Merkur Arena makes them a tough nut to crack. Their home form shows back-to-back wins, and the fortress mentality they have built gives real substance to backing the home or draw double chance here.

Fenerbahçe scraped past Gornik Zabrze with a slender 2-1 aggregate, conceding away from home. Their recent form includes four results reading draw, win, win, loss, suggesting inconsistency at key moments. While the Turkish side boast quality individuals like N'Golo Kante and Mason Greenwood, their away vulnerability in qualifiers is a concern. The home side at 3.95 carries genuine appeal in this context.

Sturm Graz reached the Champions League group stage as recently as 2024-25, so this level holds no fear for them. Fenerbahçe have not featured in the competition proper since 2008-09, adding pressure to their performance. The Austrian side's superior recent European pedigree, combined with home advantage, makes the 1X selection a sensible play at the Merkur Arena.

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Trends to Know about Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe

  • Sturm Graz conceded zero qualifying goals
  • Both teams unbeaten in eight matches
  • Fenerbahçe winless at Merkur Arena historically

Form & Statistics: Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe

Sturm Graz

Recent form

LWW
Wins2/3 (67%)
Draws0/3 (0%)
Losses1/3 (33%)

Season statistics (3)

3.6Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.4Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Fenerbahçe

Recent form

WDWWL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.7Total goals
31%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
0.5Goals conceded
StatisticSturm GrazFenerbahçe
Last 5 results2W 1L·3W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored2.4·2.2
Avg goals conceded1.2·0.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/3·3/5
H2H, last 3 meetings0 Sturm Graz · 1 Draws · 2 Fenerbahçe

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe: Head-to-Head

Sturm Graz 0 % Draws 33 % Fenerbahçe 67 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.3Total goals
67%Both teams score
1.3Home goals
1Away goals
33%Over 2.5 goals
67%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Match?

What time is Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?

Sturm Graz host Fenerbahçe at the Merkur Arena on August 11, 2026, with kickoff set for 19:30 local time.

Where is Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe being played?

This Champions League third qualifying round clash takes place at the Merkur Arena in Graz, Austria.

How Can I Watch Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for Champions League broadcast coverage of Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe in your region.