Carabao Cup
Chelsea
09 Sep 2026 20:00
Leeds United
Prediction:
Chelsea to win 1.67
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Chelsea vs Leeds United Predictions, Picks & Odds – 09/09/2026

Carabao Cup · 3rd Round
09 Sep 2026 Stamford Bridge Tiernan Allen

Chelsea vs Leeds United – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Betano1.674.104.85View odds
Our prediction
1: Chelsea to win
1.67 on Betano · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 09 Sep 2026 at 14:18 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 3rd Round
Date: 09 Sep 2026
Time: 20:00 WAT
Stadium: Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds United Preview

Chelsea return to Stamford Bridge looking to shake off a frustrating 2-1 defeat to Arsenal, their first loss under Xabi Alonso. Before that setback, the Blues had strung together three consecutive victories, building real momentum in the early weeks of the campaign. Alonso is expected to make sweeping changes for this Carabao Cup tie, resting the likes of Cole Palmer, Reece James, and Joao Pedro. Moises Caicedo is also unlikely to feature after being rushed back previously.

Leeds United arrive in west London unbeaten across all competitions this season, a run that includes two wins and two draws in the league plus a cup victory. Daniel Farke's side drew their most recent outing against Brighton, with Gabriel Gudmundsson completing the full match after recovering from a hamstring injury. Farke will rotate his squad, but confidence is high. Leeds may carry extra motivation too, having been knocked out by Chelsea in last season's FA Cup semi-final.

Chelsea's home win at 1.67 represents the strongest value selection here. The Blues have won seven of the last eleven meetings against Leeds and have progressed from this round in fourteen of the past fifteen seasons. Even with Alonso making sweeping changes, Chelsea's squad depth at Stamford Bridge gives them a structural edge Leeds will struggle to overcome.

Over 2.5 goals at N/A also looks appealing. Chelsea's recent form produced three wins and two losses, with goals flowing in most of those fixtures. Leeds arrive unbeaten across all competitions, carrying attacking confidence from two wins and two draws. Both sides rotating could open the game up considerably without VAR to intervene.

Both teams to score at 1.04 rounds out the recommended picks. Leeds have shown enough quality to find the net, particularly with Gabriel Gudmundsson back to full fitness. Chelsea's rotated backline, missing regulars like Reece James, could be vulnerable. Farke's men will fancy their chances of grabbing a goal even if the overall result favours the hosts. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Chelsea vs Leeds United

  • Chelsea won 7 of last 11 meetings
  • Chelsea advanced in 14 of 15 rounds
  • Leeds unbeaten across all competitions this season

Form & Statistics: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea

Recent form

LWWWL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.3Total goals
56%Both teams score
2.9Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Leeds United

Recent form

DDWWL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.8Total goals
53%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded
StatisticChelseaLeeds United
Last 5 results3W 2L·2W 2D 1L
Avg goals scored2.9·1.9
Avg goals conceded1.4·0.9
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·4/5
H2H, last 3 meetings1 Chelsea · 1 Draws · 1 Leeds United
Probable lineup

Lineups: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea

4-3-3
  1. 1 Mike Penders
  2. 2 Josh Acheampong
  3. 3 Maxence Lacroix
  4. 4 Levi Colwill
  5. 5 Malo Gusto
  6. 6 Reece James
  7. 7 Romeo Lavia
  8. 8 Valentin Barco
  9. 9 Estevao Willian
  10. 10 Danny Welbeck
  11. 11 Jamie Gittens
  • Emiliano Martinez
  • Wesley Fofana
  • Jorrel Hato
  • Pep Chavarria
  • Cole Palmer
  • Joao Pedro
  • Morgan Rogers
  • Geovany Quenda
  • Moisés Caicedo (injury)
  • Omari Kellyman (injury)
  • Dário Essugo (injury)
  • João Félix (injury)
  • Marco Palestra (injury)
  • Jordan Henderson (wrist injury (broken wrist))

Leeds United

4-3-3
  1. 1 Michael Zetterer
  2. 2 Jayden Bogle
  3. 3 Nico Elvedi
  4. 4 Tarik Muharemovic
  5. 5 Melvin Bard
  6. 6 Ethan Ampadu
  7. 7 Sean Longstaff
  8. 8 Brendan Aaronson
  9. 9 Harry Wilson
  10. 10 Lukas Nmecha
  11. 11 Dan James
  • James Trafford
  • Jaka Bijol
  • James Justin
  • Anton Stach
  • Ao Tanaka
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • Jean-Matteo Bahoya
  • Noah Okafor
  • Joe Rodon (injury)
  • Mateo Joseph (injury)

Medium confidence

A mirror clash of 4-3-3 formations sets the tactical stage at Stamford Bridge, with Chelsea rotating heavily and handing fringe players a chance to impress. Estevao Willian is the standout creative threat in a youthful home attack, while Reece James anchors a midfield asked to control tempo.

Leeds arrive with a competitive shape of their own, leaning on Ethan Ampadu's experience in the engine room and Lukas Nmecha as the focal point up front. Both lineups carry a rotated feel, which should open the game up and create genuine cup-tie uncertainty.

Chelsea vs Leeds United: Head-to-Head

Chelsea 33 % Draws 33 % Leeds United 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3Total goals
67%Both teams score
2Home goals
1Away goals
67%Over 2.5 goals
33%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Chelsea vs Leeds United Match?

What time is Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Chelsea vs Leeds United kicks off at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, 9 September 2026, at 20:00 local time.

Where is Chelsea vs Leeds United being played?

This Carabao Cup third-round clash will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.

How Can I Watch Chelsea vs Leeds United on TV and Live Stream?

This match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom. Odds correct at time of publication.