Türkiye
Italy
>Türkiye vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 2Türkiye vs Italy Preview
Türkiye enter this Nations League A fixture with a mixed recent run, picking up three wins from their last five outings but suffering two defeats that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. The 2026 World Cup ended in bitter disappointment for the Crescent Stars, and they will be desperate to channel that frustration into a strong home performance. Key absences hurt their cause: Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız are both sidelined through injury, leaving a significant creative void in midfield and attack.
Italy arrive in revitalized mood under the returning Roberto Mancini, who has wasted no time reshaping the squad with nine fresh call-ups. The Azzurri's recent form reads impressively, with three wins and a draw from four matches. Injuries to Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante are minor setbacks, but replacements Matteo Ruggeri and Samuele Ricci offer quality depth. Mancini's emphasis on integrating young talent suggests Italy will play with energy and ambition here.
Italy's recent form makes them the stronger pick here. The Azzurri have won three and drawn one of their last four matches, showing consistency that Türkiye cannot match right now. Roberto Mancini's squad features nine fresh call-ups, signalling a deliberate rebuild, yet the core remains talented enough to compete at this level. The draw or away double chance captures both realistic outcomes for the visitors.
Head-to-head records further support this selection. Italy holds a dominant historical advantage over Türkiye, having won three of their previous meetings while scoring six goals and conceding just two. Even with Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız sidelined through injury, reducing Türkiye's creative threat considerably, the hosts face an uphill task. Italy's away price at 2.57 reflects genuine value given that pedigree.
Türkiye's own squad concerns compound the issue. Five players missed their opening training session, and the absence of Serie A experience beyond Zeki Celik weakens their tactical familiarity against Italian opposition. Italy also lost Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante, but Mancini's depth allows adequate replacements. The draw at 3.45 provides additional cover, making the X2 selection a well-grounded pick for this Group 1 clash.
Trends to Know about Türkiye vs Italy
- Italy hold strong head-to-head record
- Türkiye missing key players through injury
- Italy's recent form shows four-match unbeaten run
Form & Statistics: Türkiye vs Italy
Türkiye
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
How to Watch Türkiye vs Italy Match?
What time is Türkiye vs Italy?
Türkiye vs Italy kicks off on September 28, 2026, at 19:45 local time.
Where is Türkiye vs Italy being played?
The venue for this fixture is yet to be confirmed by UEFA at the time of writing.
How Can I Watch Türkiye vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?
Check local listings and UEFA's official platforms for live broadcast details in your region.