Greece vs Germany Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/10/2026
Greece vs Germany Preview
Greece sit atop Group A2 with seven points from three matches, a remarkable position for a side many considered outsiders. Their campaign includes a famous 1-0 victory over Germany and a 2-1 triumph against Serbia, though their most recent outing left a bitter taste. Ivan Jovanovic's men squandered a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 with the Netherlands, and the manager has openly challenged his players to deliver stronger performances at home.
Germany's start under Jürgen Klopp has been a mixed bag. A defeat to Greece and a draw with the Netherlands preceded a more convincing 2-0 win over Serbia, Klopp's first victory in charge. The former Liverpool boss has rotated his squad for this window, keen to evaluate his options while embedding his trademark gegenpressing style. Klopp himself has praised Greece's current crop as potentially their golden generation, a sign he expects a stern test.
Greece's home or draw selection rests on their strong campaign so far. Two wins and a draw from three matches, including that stunning 1-0 victory over Germany in the reverse fixture, prove this squad can compete with elite nations. The home odds at 4.20 reflect genuine respect for a side sitting top of the group.
Germany have shown improvement under Jürgen Klopp, but consistency remains elusive. A defeat and a draw preceded their first win against Serbia, and Klopp's squad rotation for this window suggests the team is still in a developmental phase. Greece's blend of creativity and collective effort, qualities Klopp himself has publicly praised, makes them dangerous opponents at home.
Manager Ivan Jovanovic has openly addressed his team's need to perform better on home soil, and that awareness could prove decisive. Greece have everything to play for as group leaders, while Germany are still searching for an identity. The double chance covering a home win or draw offers solid value when you consider Greece's form and the price available at 4.20. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Greece vs Germany
- Greece already beat Germany 1-0
- Greece top Group A2 with seven points
- Germany won just one of three matches
Form & Statistics: Greece vs Germany
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Germany
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Greece vs Germany
Greece
Starters
- 1 Konstantinos Tzolakis
- 2 Manolis Saliakas
- 3 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 4 Panagiotis Retsos
- 5 Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 6 Konstantinos Karetsas
- 7 Athanasios Androutsos
- 8 Christos Zafeiris
- 9 Dimitrios Kourbelis
- 10 Georgios Masouras
- 11 Vangelis Pavlidis
Bench
- Fotios Ioannidis
- Giannis Michailidis
Absent
- Giannis Konstantelias (ACL tear on Bundesliga debut.)
- Georgios Vagiannidis (Injury, Manolis Saliakas expected to replace.)
Germany
Starters
- 1 Jonas Urbig
- 2 Philipp Treu
- 3 Malick Thiaw
- 4 Waldemar Anton
- 5 Max Mittelstadt
- 6 Aleksandar Pavlovic
- 7 Tom Bischof
- 8 Derry Scherhant
- 9 Florian Wirtz
- 10 Said El Mala
- 11 Nick Woltemade
Bench
- Jonathan Burkardt
- Anton Stach
- Hennes Behrens
Absent
- Jamal Musiala (Thigh injury.)
- Kai Havertz (Knee injury.)
- Nico Schlotterbeck (Pulled out of the squad due to injury.)
- Brajan Gruda (Injury.)
- Joshua Kimmich (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Kevin Schade (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Karim Adeyemi (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Felix Nmecha (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Jonathan Tah (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Nathaniel Brown (Dropped out of the squad for workload/rotation.)
- Serge Gnabry (Absent for workload reasons.)
Medium confidence
A mirror match of two 4-2-3-1 systems sets up a fascinating tactical duel in Athens. Greece will lean on Vangelis Pavlidis as the focal point up front, while Germany's creative engine runs through Florian Wirtz in the attacking midfield role, making that central corridor the key battleground.
Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, drawn from multiple credible outlets, so minor late changes remain possible. Greece's double pivot of Kourbelis and Androutsos will need to be disciplined to contain Germany's fluid movement between the lines, where Pavlovic and Bischof provide the platform for quick transitions.
How to Watch Greece vs Germany Match?
What time is Greece vs Germany?
Greece vs Germany kicks off on October 4, 2026, at 19:45 local time.
Where is Greece vs Germany being played?
The venue for Greece vs Germany has not yet been confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Greece vs Germany on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Greece vs Germany will be confirmed closer to kickoff by local and international networks.
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