UEFA Nations League
Croatia
06 Oct 2026 18:45
Spain
Prediction:
Spain to win 1.29
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Croatia vs Spain Predictions, Picks & Odds – 06/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
06 Oct 2026 Tiernan Allen

Croatia vs Spain – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Betano9.255.901.29Continue
Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Spain
1.29 on Betano · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 07 Oct 2026 at 00:05 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 4
Date: 06 Oct 2026
Time: 18:45 UTC

Croatia vs Spain Preview

Croatia enter this Nations League clash under Slaven Bilic, who has overseen a mixed run of results during his second stint in charge. Their recent form shows three wins from five, including a 2-1 victory over Czechia where the ageless Luka Modric found the net once more at 41. That result kept them level on points in Group A3, but facing Spain represents a significant step up in quality.

Spain are a force unlike anything in international football right now. The reigning World and European champions carry a staggering 39-match unbeaten run in 90 minutes into this fixture. Their last outing, a thrilling 3-2 comeback against England, demonstrated their resilience under Luis de la Fuente. Robin Le Normand replaces the injured Eric Garcia, while Dean Huijsen comes in following Marcos Llorente's retirement. Five consecutive wins tell the full story.

Spain's 39-match unbeaten run in 90 minutes is the defining factor behind our Draw or Away pick. La Roja have won five consecutive matches, including a gutsy 3-2 comeback against England, and their head-to-head record against Croatia reads six wins to three. The 3-0 demolition at Euro 2024 underlined a clear quality gap. Backing Spain not to lose here feels well-grounded at 1.29.

Croatia will take heart from Mateo Kovacic's bullish comments about ending that streak, and Luka Modric remains a genuine threat at 41, having scored in the recent win over Czechia. Still, Bilic's side have dropped two of their last five, and Spain's depth means even rotation from Luis de la Fuente produces a formidable eleven. Robin Le Normand's call-up shores up the defensive options following Eric Garcia's injury.

The value sits with Spain's consistency across competitions. De la Fuente's squad have proven they can grind out results even when not at their sharpest, and Croatia's home form simply does not inspire enough confidence to back a home win. A draw remains possible given the occasion, but the Draw or Away selection at 1.29 covers both outcomes and reflects the balance of evidence in Spain's favour.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Trends to Know about Croatia vs Spain

  • Spain unbeaten in 39 consecutive matches
  • Spain won six of nine head-to-head meetings
  • Croatia's home form includes two recent losses

Form & Statistics: Croatia vs Spain

Croatia

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Spain

Recent form

WWWWW
Wins5/5 (100%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticCroatiaSpain
Last 5 results3W 2L·5W
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·3/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Croatia vs Spain

Croatia

4-3-3
  1. 1 Dominik Livakovic
  2. 2 Josip Stanisic
  3. 3 Luka Vuskovic
  4. 4 Joško Gvardiol
  5. 5 Ivan Perisic
  6. 6 Luka Modric
  7. 7 Mateo Kovacic
  8. 8 Luka Sucic
  9. 9 Mario Pasalic
  10. 10 Ante Budimir
  11. 11 Andrej Kramaric
  • Josip Šutalo
  • Lovro Majer
  • Marin Pongracic
  • Kristijan Jakic
  • Josip Juranovic (Hamstring injury)
  • Martin Erlic (Foot injury)
  • Martin Baturina (Illness)
  • Nikola Vlašić (Ruled out (status from April 2026))

Spain

4-3-3
  1. 1 Unai Simon
  2. 2 Marc Pubill
  3. 3 Pau Cubarsi
  4. 4 Aymeric Laporte
  5. 5 Marc Cucurella
  6. 6 Rodri
  7. 7 Pedri
  8. 8 Fabian Ruiz
  9. 9 Lamine Yamal
  10. 10 Mikel Oyarzabal
  11. 11 Dani Olmo
  • Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Eric Garcia (Left knee discomfort (withdrew from squad))
  • Joan Garcia (Minor knee issue (replaced in squad))
  • Yeremy Pino (Serious shoulder injury (ruled out for 2026 World Cup, no recent update))
  • Gavi (Long-term knee issue (cruciate ligament tear in July 2026))

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculated status, drawn from sources dated over a week before kickoff, so treat the projected shape with caution. That said, a 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 mirror sets the stage for a midfield battle where Luka Modric and Rodri could define the tempo on either side.

Croatia's attacking trio will need to press Spain's ball-playing defenders high, while Spain's wide threats offer constant diagonal runs in behind. The confidence gap between these projections and confirmed selections is real, and late changes from either bench could shift the tactical picture considerably before kickoff.

How to Watch Croatia vs Spain Match?

What time is Croatia vs Spain?

Croatia vs Spain kicks off on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 local time.

Where is Croatia vs Spain being played?

The venue for Croatia vs Spain has not yet been confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Croatia vs Spain on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Croatia vs Spain will be confirmed closer to the match date.