Greece
Netherlands
>Greece vs Netherlands Predictions, Picks & Odds – 01/10/2026
UEFA Nations League · 3Greece vs Netherlands Preview
Greece face a daunting challenge as they step into League A for the first time, having earned promotion with a commanding victory over Scotland. Their recent form raises concerns, though, with one loss and two draws from their last three outings. Coach Gustavo Poyet will lean on a mix of experience and youth, with talents like Christos Tzolis and Konstantinos Koulierakis expected to feature prominently in this tough group alongside Germany and Serbia.
The Netherlands arrive in considerably better shape, winning three of their last five matches. Xavi Hernandez takes charge for his first competitive campaign, bringing a new tactical identity after succeeding Ronald Koeman. Virgil van Dijk retains the captaincy, providing leadership and defensive solidity. Notably, Xavi has left out Memphis Depay and Wout Weghorst, signaling a generational shift. The Dutch boast a strong head-to-head record against Greece, winning three of their last four meetings.
The draw or away double chance selection is grounded in the Netherlands' recent run of form, which includes four wins from their last five outings. Under Xavi Hernandez, the Dutch squad retains its spine with Virgil van Dijk captaining the side, and the tactical refresh could unlock further attacking potential. Greece, by contrast, have managed just one draw and two defeats in their last three fixtures.
Head-to-head data reinforces this pick. The Netherlands have won three of the last four meetings against Greece, including both most recent encounters. The Oranje averaged 3.0 goals per game during the previous Nations League campaign, comfortably outscoring Greece's 2.3 average. That attacking superiority, combined with Greece's inexperience at League A level, tilts the balance firmly toward the visitors.
The away win at 2.15 represents solid value given these dynamics, while the draw at 3.60 provides a safety net within the double chance framework. Over 2.5 goals at N/A also merits attention considering the Netherlands' prolific scoring record. Xavi's omission of Memphis Depay and Wout Weghorst signals a squad evolution rather than a weakening, with fresh legs likely to maintain offensive output.
Trends to Know about Greece vs Netherlands
- Netherlands average 3.0 goals per game
- Greece winless in last three matches
- Dutch won last two head-to-head meetings
Form & Statistics: Greece vs Netherlands
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Netherlands
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Greece vs Netherlands
Greece
Starters
- 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos
- 2 Georgios Vagiannidis
- 3 Konstantinos Koulierakis
- 4 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 5 Kostas Tsimikas
- 6 Dimitrios Kourbelis
- 7 Christos Mouzakitis
- 8 Christos Zafeiris
- 9 Georgios Masouras
- 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
- 11 Christos Tzolis
Bench
- Konstantinos Tzolakis
- Panagiotis Retsos
- Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
- Thanasis Androutsos
- Andreas Ntoi
- Anastasios Bakasetas
- Anastasios Douvikas
- Charalampos Kostoulas
- Andrews Tetteh
Absent
- Dimitrios Giannoulis (injury)
- Pantelis Chatzidiakos (injury)
- Lazaros Rota (injury)
- Giannis Konstantelias (injury)
- Tasos Bakasetas (omitted from squad)
- Sotiris Kontouris (omitted from squad)
Netherlands
Starters
- 1 Bart Verbruggen
- 2 Denzel Dumfries
- 3 Jan Paul van Hecke
- 4 Virgil van Dijk
- 5 Micky van de Ven
- 6 Ryan Gravenberch
- 7 Joey Veerman
- 8 Tijjani Reijnders
- 9 Crysencio Summerville
- 10 Brian Brobbey
- 11 Cody Gakpo
Bench
- Mark Flekken
- Robin Roefs
- Nathan Ake
- Jorrel Hato
- Teun Koopmeiners
- Quinten Timber
- Ruben van Bommel
- Mexx Meerdink
- Guus Til
Absent
- Mats Wieffer (injury)
- Frenkie De Jong (injury)
- Donyell Malen (injury)
- Justin Kluivert (injury)
- Xavi Simons (not in squad)
- Matthijs de Ligt (not in squad)
- Jerdy Schouten (not in squad)
- Ian Maatsen (not in squad)
- Memphis Depay (omitted from squad)
- Wout Weghorst (omitted from squad)
Low confidence
Both sides line up in a 4-3-3 mirror, though Greece's selection carries less certainty, drawn from a thinner source base compared to the well-corroborated Dutch XI. The tactical shape promises a contest of wide channels and midfield triangles, with Vangelis Pavlidis leading the Greek press against a composed Netherlands backline.
For the visitors, Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville offer genuine width and penetration, while Ryan Gravenberch anchors a midfield built to control tempo. Greece will need their three-man engine room to press high and disrupt Netherlands before they settle into their rhythm.
How to Watch Greece vs Netherlands Match?
What time is Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece vs Netherlands kicks off on October 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time.
Where is Greece vs Netherlands being played?
The venue for Greece vs Netherlands has not yet been confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Greece vs Netherlands on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Greece vs Netherlands will be confirmed closer to the October 1 kickoff date.