Italy
Türkiye
>Italy vs Türkiye Predictions, Picks & Odds – 05/10/2026
UEFA Nations League · 4Italy vs Türkiye Preview
Italy enter this fixture in a difficult moment. Roberto Mancini's side opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-0 home defeat to Belgium, a result that underlined the challenges of a squad in transition. Mancini has rested ten players for this clash, including Nicolo Barella, citing schedule congestion. The coach himself has acknowledged that Italy lacks the generational talent of previous eras, calling for patience as the rebuilding process continues.
Türkiye arrive in similarly desperate circumstances after a narrow 1-0 loss to France in their opener. Vincenzo Montella's squad is battling injuries, though the Italian-born coach has expressed full confidence in his available players. Montella faces a unique challenge here: coaching against his home country and former teammate Mancini. Despite two consecutive wins before this Nations League window, Türkiye carry a daunting historical burden, having never beaten Italy in thirteen previous meetings.
Italy's all-time dominance over Türkiye is striking: nine wins and four draws across thirteen meetings, with the Crescent Stars never once tasting victory against the Azzurri. That historical weight matters here. Both sides lost their opening League A fixtures, Italy falling to Belgium and Türkiye going down to France, so desperation runs high on each bench.
Mancini has opted to rest ten players, including Nicolo Barella, citing squad management concerns. That decision weakens Italy's midfield creativity but opens the door for hungry fringe players eager to impress during this renewal phase. Montella, meanwhile, is dealing with multiple injuries and must rely on depth he publicly trusts but has rarely tested at this level.
The 1X double chance represents the sharpest angle for this contest, backed by the home price at 1.47. Italy's pedigree in this fixture is overwhelming, and even a depleted Azzurri squad should avoid defeat against a Türkiye side that has never broken through against them. A draw remains a realistic floor given both teams' early struggles, making the double chance a well-supported selection.
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Trends to Know about Italy vs Türkiye
- Italy unbeaten in all thirteen head-to-head meetings
- Türkiye winless against Italy historically
- Both teams lost opening Nations League fixtures
Form & Statistics: Italy vs Türkiye
Italy
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Season statistics (2)
Türkiye
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How to Watch Italy vs Türkiye Match?
What time is Italy vs Türkiye?
Italy vs Türkiye kicks off on October 5, 2026, at 19:45 local time. The venue is yet to be confirmed.
Where is Italy vs Türkiye being played?
The venue for Italy vs Türkiye has not yet been officially confirmed.
How Can I Watch Italy vs Türkiye on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Italy vs Türkiye have not yet been officially confirmed by UEFA.