Germany vs Paraguay Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/06/2026
Germany vs Paraguay – Best bets of the match
Germany vs Paraguay Preview
Germany topped Group E with four wins from five matches, scoring 18 goals in a devastating attacking run. Yet their final group outing, a 2-1 defeat to Ecuador, exposed defensive frailties that Julian Nagelsmann will be desperate to fix. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala have underwhelmed recently, while substitute Deniz Undav has emerged as the squad's top scorer. Team director Rudi Voeller has demanded that the big names deliver in the knockout rounds.
Paraguay squeezed into the Round of 32 as a best third-placed finisher, a remarkable turnaround after a heavy opening defeat to the USA. Gustavo Alfaro's side responded with consecutive clean sheets against Turkey and Australia, showcasing genuine defensive resilience. The return of Miguel Almiron from suspension fundamentally alters their attacking options, while defender Omar Alderete is expected to recover from a knee concern. This is a squad that thrives on physicality and collective discipline.
Germany's home win at 1.37 stands as the strongest selection here. Die Mannschaft topped their group with four victories from five outings, generating an expected goals rate of 2.42 per match. Paraguay, by contrast, scraped through as a best third-placed side with just two wins and two defeats. That gulf in quality and momentum makes a German victory the likeliest outcome on the night.
The over 2.5 goals market at 1.69 also merits attention. Germany netted 18 times during the group stage, and even their sole defeat to Ecuador produced three goals. Paraguay kept consecutive clean sheets against Turkey and Australia, yet their opening 0-4 collapse against the USA exposed fragility under sustained pressure. Nagelsmann's side possess the firepower through Wirtz, Musiala, and Havertz to breach that defensive wall.
Backing both teams to score at 2.00 rounds out the selections. Germany's 2-1 loss to Ecuador revealed genuine defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through turnovers in dangerous areas. Miguel Almiron returns from suspension, a boost that should fundamentally alter Paraguay's attacking dynamic. Alfaro's men have shown they can compete when organised, and a knockout stage atmosphere in Boston could embolden them to find the net at least once.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.
Trends to Know about Germany vs Paraguay
- Germany scored 18 goals in five matches
- Paraguay kept two consecutive clean sheets
- Germany won four of last five games
Form & Statistics: Germany vs Paraguay
Germany
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Paraguay
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Germany vs Paraguay
Germany
Starters
- 1 Manuel Neuer
- 2 Joshua Kimmich
- 3 Antonio Rüdiger
- 4 Jonathan Tah
- 5 Nathaniel Brown
- 6 Felix Nmecha
- 7 Aleksandar Pavlović
- 8 Leroy Sané
- 9 Jamal Musiala
- 10 Florian Wirtz
- 11 Kai Havertz
Bench
- Marc-André ter Stegen
- David Raum
- Waldemar Anton
- Malick Thiaw
- Robert Andrich
- Ilkay Gündoğan
- Julian Brandt
- Deniz Undav
- Nick Woltemade
Absent
- Nico Schlotterbeck (Ankle ligament injury (tournament-ending))
Paraguay
Starters
- 1 Orlando Gill
- 2 Richard Cáceres
- 3 Gustavo Gómez
- 4 Omar Alderete
- 5 Matías Alonso
- 6 Andrés Cubas
- 7 Matías Galarza
- 8 Adalberto Carrasquilla
- 9 Miguel Almirón
- 10 Gabriel Ávalos
- 11 Julio Enciso
Bench
- Antony Silva
- Juan Cáceres
- Fabián Balbuena
- Junior Alonso
- Mathías Villasanti
- Caleb Yirenkyi
- Ramón Sosa
- Isidro Pitta
- Maurício
Absent
- Diego Gomez (Suspension (second yellow card))
Medium confidence
Germany's 4-2-3-1 sets up a compact double pivot behind a fluid attacking three, with Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz given licence to interchange and pull Paraguay's defensive shape apart. Nathaniel Brown's fitness at left-back is the one uncertainty worth watching before kick-off.
Paraguay counter with a 4-3-3 built around physicality in midfield and the creativity of Miguel Almirón, who returns from suspension and is central to any realistic ambition of an upset. Omar Alderete's availability in central defence remains a concern, and how Paraguay cope with Germany's press in the opening exchanges could define the tie.
How to Watch Germany vs Paraguay Match?
What time is Germany vs Paraguay?
Germany vs Paraguay kicks off at Boston Stadium on 29 June 2026 at 21:30 local time.
Where is Germany vs Paraguay being played?
Germany vs Paraguay will be played at Boston Stadium in the World Cup Round of 32.
How Can I Watch Germany vs Paraguay on TV and Live Stream?
Germany vs Paraguay will be broadcast live on major sports networks and streaming platforms worldwide.
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