Carabao Cup

Burnley

08 Aug 2026 15:00

Notts County

Prediction:

Burnley to win 1.50

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Burnley vs Notts County Predictions, Picks & Odds – 08/08/2026

Carabao Cup · 1st Round

Our prediction

1: Burnley to win

1.50 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 07 Aug 2026 at 16:59 · Odds are subject to change

Burnley vs Notts County Preview

Burnley open their 2026-27 campaign desperate to end a wretched run of 19 competitive matches without a victory, a sequence that stretches deep into last season's relegation from the Premier League. New manager Nicky Hayen has had a turbulent introduction, with the Clarets failing to win any of their six pre-season fixtures. Summer departures have been significant, though arrivals like Lluc Castell and Ugo Raghouber offer fresh options as Burnley seek redemption at Turf Moor.

Notts County arrive riding a wave of promotion euphoria, having secured their return to League One for the first time since 2015 via the playoffs. Manager Martin Paterson returns to a ground where he made 130 league appearances as a player, adding a personal subplot to this tie. Eight permanent signings, including midfielder Darius Lipsiuc and forward Emile Acquah, have bolstered the squad, though the Magpies' Carabao Cup record is dire, with just one win in their last ten ties.

Burnley's home advantage at Turf Moor and their clear superiority in squad depth make the home win at 1.50 the primary selection. Despite their dismal recent form, the Clarets possess Championship-calibre players who should be too strong for a side stepping up from League Two. Nicky Hayen will demand a response from his squad, and this fixture offers the most realistic opportunity to break that winless streak.

Notts County's record in this competition is dreadful: just one win from their last ten ties, with no victory since 2001. Martin Paterson's side will carry promotion confidence, but the jump in quality is significant. Their eight summer signings need time to gel, and an early-season trip to a higher-division ground rarely favours the newcomer. That historical weakness in cup football reinforces the case for backing the hosts.

The over 2.5 goals market at 1.69 also warrants attention. Burnley's pre-season featured porous defending across six winless friendlies, while Notts County's attacking recruits like Emile Acquah could exploit that vulnerability. A home side chasing goals urgently against opponents who may leave gaps on the counter creates conditions for an open contest. Both teams to score at 1.80 is worth considering alongside the main pick. Odds and markets subject to change.

Trends to Know about Burnley vs Notts County

• Burnley winless in 19 competitive matches
• Notts County: one cup win since 2001
• Championship squad depth favours Burnley heavily

Both lineups here carry a speculated tag, drawn from a single source two days out, so treat the shape with some caution. That said, a 4-3-3 versus 3-5-2 contest is the likely picture, with Marcus Edwards and Zian Flemming expected to provide width and creativity for the Clarets in attack.

For Notts County, the three-man backline anchored by Jacob Bedeau and Matt Baker will need to hold firm against Burnley's forward press. Emile Acquah and Luka Smyth form the away side's striking partnership, and their movement in behind could be the decisive factor in this early-round tie.

How to Watch Burnley vs Notts County Match?

What time is Burnley vs Notts County?

This Carabao Cup first round tie kicks off at Turf Moor on 8 August 2026 at 15:00 BST.

Where is Burnley vs Notts County being played?

This match will be played at Turf Moor, Burnley's home ground in Lancashire.

How Can I Watch Burnley vs Notts County on TV and Live Stream?

This match is available to watch via Carabao Cup broadcast partners and selected live streaming platforms.