Iceland
Estonia
>Iceland vs Estonia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 26/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 1Iceland vs Estonia – Best bets of the match
Iceland vs Estonia Preview
Iceland open their Nations League C campaign on the back of a deeply concerning run. The hosts have failed to win any of their last five outings, managing just two draws alongside three defeats while shipping eleven goals. Their defensive fragility is the standout worry. Adding to the difficulties, first-choice goalkeeper Elías Rafn Ólafsson misses out through injury, with Anton Ari Einarsson stepping in as his replacement for this extended international window.
Estonia arrive in considerably stronger nick, having claimed three victories from their previous five fixtures. That contrast in momentum is significant, though history tempers expectations; three of the four prior meetings between these sides ended level. The visitors will fancy their chances of exploiting Iceland's leaky backline, yet away trips in competitive tournaments remain a different challenge entirely. Squad rotation across this condensed window could also shape selection decisions.
Iceland's recent form makes uncomfortable reading: no victories in their last five outings, with two draws and three defeats painting a bleak picture. Their defence has been particularly porous, shipping eleven goals across that stretch. Estonia, by contrast, have found a rhythm, winning three of their last five. Still, historical meetings between these sides tell a different story, with three of four previous encounters ending level.
The loss of first-choice goalkeeper Elías Rafn Ólafsson adds another layer of uncertainty for the hosts. Anton Ari Einarsson steps in as replacement, and an untested keeper behind a leaky backline is hardly reassuring. The extended international window also raises squad rotation questions, potentially affecting Iceland's starting eleven for this Group 4 opener.
A double chance on Iceland or the draw (1X) represents the most sensible approach here. The home side remain heavy favourites at 1.30, yet their defensive frailties make a clean home win far from guaranteed. Given the tight nature of previous head-to-head contests, covering the draw alongside an Iceland win provides necessary insurance. The under 2.5 goals market at 2.14 also warrants attention given the cagey history between these nations.
Trends to Know about Iceland vs Estonia
- Three of four past meetings drawn
- Estonia won three of last five
- Iceland conceded eleven in five matches
Form & Statistics: Iceland vs Estonia
Iceland
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Estonia
Recent form
Season statistics (1)
How to Watch Iceland vs Estonia Match?
What time is Iceland vs Estonia?
Iceland vs Estonia kicks off on 26 September 2026 at 17:00 local time in the UEFA Nations League.
Where is Iceland vs Estonia being played?
The venue for Iceland vs Estonia is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Iceland vs Estonia on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Iceland vs Estonia will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and local rights holders.