UEFA Nations League
Greece
04 Oct 2026 19:45
Germany
Prediction:
Germany to win 1.87
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Greece vs Germany Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
04 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Greece vs Germany – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
1xBet4.103.951.87View Odds
Stake3.803.751.88View Odds
bc.game3.353.602.04View Odds
Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Germany
1.87 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Oct 2026 at 23:29 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 4
Date: 04 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Greece vs Germany Preview

Greece sit top of Group A2 with seven points from four matches, a remarkable achievement for a side many considered outsiders in League A. Ivan Jovanovic's men stunned Germany with a historic 1-0 victory in Augsburg before drawing 2-2 with the Netherlands, squandering a two-goal lead in that fixture. That dropped points will sting, and Georgios Masouras, who scored and assisted in that match, is expected to earn a starting berth.

Germany arrive in third place on four points, with Jürgen Klopp still in the early stages of reshaping the squad. A first win under Klopp against Serbia provided a confidence boost, though heavy rotation this international window means several debutants could feature. Florian Wirtz remains the creative centrepiece, and Germany's defensive record of just two goals conceded across three matches suggests Klopp's structural work is already taking hold.

Germany's recent form tells a compelling story. Three consecutive wins preceded a draw, and Jürgen Klopp's side showed real backbone in beating Serbia to register his first victory as manager. Despite heavy squad rotation during this international window, the creative brilliance of Florian Wirtz remains the centrepiece of this German attack, and the defensive record of conceding fewer than a goal per game in this campaign cannot be overlooked.

Greece deserve enormous credit for leading the group, but their last outing exposed vulnerabilities. Surrendering a two-goal advantage against the Netherlands to draw reveals a side that can wobble under sustained pressure. Georgios Masouras should start after his impressive cameo, yet the hosts carry the psychological weight of knowing they let a dominant position slip. That fragility matters against a German squad hungry for revenge after that historic defeat in Augsburg.

The recommended pick here is Draw or Away (X2), backed by Germany's away odds at 1.87 offering solid value. Klopp's squad depth, even in a rotated state, remains superior in quality. Greece's defensive wobble against the Dutch suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet again, and the visitors' campaign record of conceding just two goals across four matches points toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Consider Under 2.5 goals at 2.08 as a supporting selection.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Greece vs Germany

  • Germany unbeaten in last three matches
  • Greece conceded twice against Netherlands recently
  • Klopp's squad rotation limits Greek preparation

Form & Statistics: Greece vs Germany

Greece

Recent form

LD
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses1/2 (50%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Germany

Recent form

DLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticGreeceGermany
Last 5 results1D 1L·3W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/2·1/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Greece vs Germany

Greece

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Konstantinos Tzolakis
  2. 2 Manolis Saliakas
  3. 3 Konstantinos Mavropanos
  4. 4 Panagiotis Retsos
  5. 5 Konstantinos Tsimikas
  6. 6 Dimitrios Kourbelis
  7. 7 Konstantinos Karetsas
  8. 8 Athanasios Androutsos
  9. 9 Giorgos Masouras
  10. 10 Fotis Ioannidis
  11. 11 Vangelis Pavlidis
  • Charalampos Kostoulas
  • Andreas Ndoj
  • Christos Zafeiris
  • Georgios Vagiannidis
  • Odysseas Vlachodimos
  • Christos Tzolis (hamstring injury)
  • Giannis Konstantelias (ACL injury)

Germany

4-3-3
  1. 1 Jonas Urbig
  2. 2 Philipp Treu
  3. 3 Malick Thiaw
  4. 4 Waldemar Anton
  5. 5 David Raum
  6. 6 Aleksandar Pavlović
  7. 7 Tom Bischof
  8. 8 Florian Wirtz
  9. 9 Serge Gnabry
  10. 10 Nick Woltemade
  11. 11 Said El Mala
  • Jonathan Burkardt
  • Mika Baur
  • Vitaly Janelt
  • Derry Scherhant
  • Oliver Baumann
  • Kai Havertz (thigh injury)
  • Jamal Musiala (knee injury)
  • Nico Schlotterbeck (injury (withdrew from squad))
  • Joshua Kimmich (dropped from squad)
  • Kevin Schade (dropped from squad)
  • Karim Adeyemi (dropped from squad)
  • Felix Nmecha (dropped from squad)
  • Jonathan Tah (dropped from squad)
  • Nathaniel Brown (dropped from squad)

Medium confidence

A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 sets up an intriguing midfield contest in Athens. Greece will look to Vangelis Pavlidis to hold the line up front, while Germany's shape gives Florian Wirtz the licence to roam and pick passes between the lines.

Both probable XIs carry reasonable confidence, sourced from multiple credible outlets ahead of this Nations League fixture. Greece's double pivot will be tested by Germany's fluid three-man midfield, making the central zone the likely battleground that shapes the result.

How to Watch Greece vs Germany Match?

What time is Greece vs Germany?

Greece vs Germany kicks off on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 BST in a crucial Nations League clash.

Where is Greece vs Germany being played?

The confirmed venue for Greece vs Germany is to be determined by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Greece vs Germany on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Greece vs Germany will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and local rights holders.