UEFA Nations League
Scotland
06 Oct 2026 19:45
Slovenia
Prediction:
Scotland to win 1.74
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Scotland vs Slovenia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 06/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
06 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Scotland vs Slovenia – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Stake1.743.504.60View Odds
Our prediction
1: Scotland to win
1.74 on Stake · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 05 Oct 2026 at 00:08 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League B, 4
Date: 06 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Scotland vs Slovenia Preview

Scotland are riding a wave of confidence after snapping a four-game goalless drought with a convincing 2-0 victory over North Macedonia. New head coach Sébastien Pocognoli has injected fresh energy into the squad, demanding a front-foot approach. Ben Gannon-Doak was outstanding in that win, registering three shots on target, while Kieron Bowie netted his maiden international goal. Billy Gilmour's return from injury further strengthens their midfield options.

Slovenia sit level on four points with Scotland in Group 1, making this fixture pivotal for promotion play-off ambitions. Boštjan Cesar's side showed character by taking an early lead against Switzerland, only to fall 2-1 away from home. Their competitive away record remains a concern, with no victories on the road since October 2024. Cesar has acknowledged his team will need to stay compact and rely on quick counter-attacks against a rejuvenated Scottish side.

Scotland's three consecutive wins give them real authority heading into this fixture, and the return of Billy Gilmour strengthens a midfield that lacked creativity during the World Cup campaign. Ben Gannon-Doak's outstanding performance against North Macedonia, registering three shots on target from four attempts, suggests Pocognoli's front-foot philosophy is already bearing fruit. The home win at 1.74 reflects that upward trajectory.

Slovenia's away form raises serious concerns. Their last competitive victory on the road came back in October 2024, and the recent collapse against Switzerland, where they surrendered a lead to lose 2-1, highlights defensive fragility under pressure. Boštjan Cesar's admission that his side will suffer against quality opponents speaks volumes. Scotland should exploit that vulnerability, particularly with home advantage.

Both sides need points to secure a promotion play-off spot, which should produce an open contest. Scotland's renewed attacking confidence and Slovenia's commitment to counter-attacking football point towards goals. The over 2.5 market at N/A carries appeal, while the home win remains our primary selection. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Scotland vs Slovenia

  • Scotland boast three consecutive home wins
  • Slovenia winless away since October 2024
  • Scotland scored twice, ending goalless streak

Form & Statistics: Scotland vs Slovenia

Scotland

Recent form

LLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Slovenia

Recent form

LD
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses1/2 (50%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticScotlandSlovenia
Last 5 results3W 2L·1D 1L
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·1/2
Probable lineup

Lineups: Scotland vs Slovenia

Scotland

3-4-1-2
  1. 1 Angus Gunn
  2. 2 Scott Mckenna
  3. 3 Luis Binks
  4. 4 Stephen Welsh
  5. 5 Andrew Robertson
  6. 6 John McGinn
  7. 7 Lewis Ferguson
  8. 8 Billy Gilmour
  9. 9 Ben Gannon-Doak
  10. 10 Oliver McBurnie
  11. 11 Kieron Bowie
  • Kenny McLean (Injury)
  • Kieran Tierney (Injury)
  • Scott McTominay (Fitness issues/Injury)
  • Lawrence Shankland (Fitness issues/Injury)
  • Che Adams (Fitness issues/Injury)

Slovenia

5-4-1
  1. 1 Jan Oblak
  2. 2 Jure Balkovec
  3. 3 Jaka Bijol
  4. 4 Žan Karničnik
  5. 5 Erik Janža
  6. 6 Aljosa Matko
  7. 7 Adam Gnezda Čerin
  8. 8 Timi Elsnik
  9. 9 Sandi Lovric
  10. 10 Mark Zabukovnik
  11. 11 Danijel Sturm
  • Benjamin Sesko (Shin problem/Injury)
  • Kenan Bajric (Injury)
  • Marcel Ratnik (Injury)
  • Zan Zaletel (Injury)
  • Nik Prelec (Injury)

Medium confidence

Scotland's 3-4-1-2 sets up an aggressive, wing-heavy structure, with Andrew Robertson expected to drive forward relentlessly from the left. Ben Doak operating in the number-ten role adds a creative spark between the lines, while Oliver McBurnie provides the physical presence up front that Slovenia's backline will need to account for.

Slovenia counter with a disciplined 5-4-1, a shape clearly designed to absorb pressure and frustrate the hosts at Hampden. Jan Oblak remains the cornerstone of their defensive solidity, and with five defenders and a compact midfield four, Steve Clarke's men will need to find genuine quality in tight spaces to break them down.

How to Watch Scotland vs Slovenia Match?

What time is Scotland vs Slovenia?

Scotland vs Slovenia kicks off on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 local time.

Where is Scotland vs Slovenia being played?

The venue for Scotland vs Slovenia is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Scotland vs Slovenia on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Scotland vs Slovenia will be confirmed closer to the fixture date by UEFA and local rights holders.