Brazil vs Norway Predictions, Picks & Odds – 05/07/2026
Brazil vs Norway – Best bets of the match
Brazil vs Norway Preview
Brazil arrive at the New York New Jersey Stadium in formidable shape, having won four of their last five matches with a single draw. Carlo Ancelotti's side topped their group and conceded just twice across four tournament outings, a defensive record unmatched in this World Cup. Their Round of 32 victory over Japan required a comeback, with Gabriel Martinelli's late strike sealing a 2-1 win. Lucas Paqueta's thigh injury creates a midfield vacancy that could see Neymar recalled.
Norway's path to the knockout rounds has been far from straightforward. Ståle Solbakken's squad finished second in their group and beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in the last round, courtesy of an 86th-minute Erling Haaland goal. The striker has five tournament goals to his name. Their recent form reads three wins and a draw from five, though defensively they have shipped eight goals in four matches. Norway remain unbeaten against Brazil across four previous international meetings.
Brazil's defensive record is the cornerstone of our 1X selection. The Selecao have conceded just 2 goals across 4 tournament matches, a stark contrast to Norway's 8 conceded in the same span. That disparity in defensive solidity makes it difficult to envision Norway winning this tie outright. The home win price at 1.92 reflects Brazil's status as slight favourites, and covering the draw adds a valuable safety net.
Norway's unbeaten historical record against Brazil across four previous meetings is a genuine concern, which is precisely why a straight home win feels too narrow. Erling Haaland, with 5 tournament goals, poses a serious threat, and Solbakken's side showed resilience by beating Ivory Coast with a late winner. Still, their inconsistent form, featuring a loss among their recent five outings, suggests they lack the consistency to topple Brazil in a knockout setting.
Lucas Paqueta's absence weakens Brazil's midfield, though Neymar's potential return to the starting lineup could offset that blow. Casemiro's fitness remains a watch point. On the other side, Solbakken has shown willingness to rotate tactically, keeping opponents guessing. The double chance covering a Brazil win or draw, supported by the home odds at 1.92, accounts for both Brazil's superiority and Norway's historical resilience in this fixture.
Trends to Know about Brazil vs Norway
- Brazil conceded only 2 goals in 4 matches
- Norway leaked 8 goals in group stage
- Brazil unbeaten in last five outings
Form & Statistics: Brazil vs Norway
Brazil
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Norway
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Brazil vs Norway
Brazil
Starters
- 1 Alisson
- 2 Danilo
- 3 Marquinhos
- 4 Gabriel Magalhães
- 5 Douglas Santos
- 6 Bruno Guimarães
- 7 Neymar
- 8 Rayan
- 9 Matheus Cunha
- 10 Vinícius Júnior
- 11 Casemiro
Bench
- Ederson
- Weverton
- Bremer
- Alex Sandro
- Fabinho
- Raphinha
- Endrick
- Gabriel Martinelli
Absent
- Lucas Paqueta (Thigh injury (muscle injury to the back of his left thigh) sustained against Japan in the Round of 32.)
Norway
Starters
- 1 Ørjan Nyland
- 2 Torbjørn Heggem
- 3 Kristoffer Ajer
- 4 David Wolfe
- 5 Marcus Pedersen
- 6 Sander Berge
- 7 Patrick Berg
- 8 Martin Ødegaard
- 9 Antonio Nusa
- 10 Erling Haaland
- 11 Alexander Sørloth
Bench
- Egil Selvik
- Sander Tangvik
- Leo Østigård
- Fredrik Bjørkan
- Morten Thorsby
- Jørgen Strand Larsen
- Oscar Bobb
Medium confidence
A mirror-image 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 sets up a fascinating tactical duel in this Round of 16 clash. Brazil's midfield axis hinges on Bruno Guimarães carrying the creative burden, though Casemiro's fitness remains a genuine concern, with Fabinho waiting in the wings should the veteran be unable to go.
Norway arrive with a compact, physically imposing structure built around Erling Haaland and the creative intelligence of Martin Ødegaard. Brazil's probable lines come from three credible outlets against Norway's two, so there is a slight confidence gap, but both XIs are broadly trusted and the tactical picture is clear enough to read.
How to Watch Brazil vs Norway Match?
What time is Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil vs Norway kicks off on 5 July 2026 at 21:00 BST at the New York New Jersey Stadium.
Where is Brazil vs Norway being played?
This match will be played at the New York New Jersey Stadium in the United States.
How Can I Watch Brazil vs Norway on TV and Live Stream?
Fans in India can watch Brazil vs Norway live on JioCinema and the Sony Sports Network.
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