Derby County
Swansea City
Derby County vs Swansea City Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/08/2026
Championship · 3Derby County vs Swansea City – Best bets of the match
· Confidence Medium
Derby County vs Swansea City Preview
Derby County remain winless after three competitive outings this season, collecting a solitary point from their opening Championship fixtures to sit 16th in the table. Their defence has been alarmingly porous, shipping six goals already, and the collapse of the proposed takeover by Turki Al-Sheikh adds an unwelcome layer of uncertainty around Pride Park. Bobby Clark has shown promise with two goal contributions at home, but the Rams desperately need a first victory to settle fraying nerves.
Swansea City arrive in considerably better shape, unbeaten through their opening league matches and sitting 8th with four points. A goalless draw against Sheffield United last time out demonstrated defensive resilience, though Luke Williams will want more cutting edge in the final third. The Swans face a significant concern at centre-back, with Cameron Burgess ruled out long-term and captain Ben Cabango rated doubtful, potentially forcing a reshuffled backline at a crucial stage.
Derby's double-chance appeal rests heavily on their head-to-head dominance. The Rams won both meetings with Swansea last season, scoring four goals and conceding just one across those fixtures. Pride Park has been a difficult venue for the Swans, and that historical pattern supports backing the home side or the draw at 2.32. Even a team struggling for form can draw confidence from such a commanding recent record against a specific opponent.
Swansea's defensive injury crisis strengthens the case further. Cameron Burgess is ruled out long-term, while captain Ben Cabango remains doubtful. Losing both senior centre-backs forces tactical reshuffles that rarely produce immediate stability. Derby's Bobby Clark showed creative quality in his first home Championship appearance, and a weakened Swansea backline could be vulnerable. The visitors managed a clean sheet against Sheffield United, but replicating that without key personnel is a different proposition entirely.
The under 2.5 goals angle at 1.71 also merits attention. Swansea's goalless draw last time out reflects their current cautious approach, and Derby have managed just two goals in three league matches. Both sides lack cutting edge in the final third right now. A tight, low-scoring contest at Pride Park fits the profile of this fixture. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Derby County vs Swansea City
- Derby won last two versus Swansea
- Swansea missing key central defenders
- Derby conceded six in three matches
Form & Statistics: Derby County vs Swansea City
Derby County
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Swansea City
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Lineups: Derby County vs Swansea City
Derby County
Starters
- 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström
- 2 Max Johnston
- 3 Sondre Langås
- 4 Dion Sanderson
- 5 Charlie Taylor
- 6 Alex Mowatt
- 7 Oscar Fraulo
- 8 Bobby Clark
- 9 Lewis Travis
- 10 Corey Blackett-Taylor
- 11 Carlton Morris
Absent
- Patrick Agyemang (injury)
- Derry Murkin (injury)
- Sammie Szmodics (injury)
- Matt Clarke (injury)
- Rhian Brewster (Knee problem, expected to be out for another four to five weeks (as of August 7, 2026).)
Swansea City
Starters
- 1 Lawrence Vigouroux
- 2 Filip Lissah
- 3 Stephen Welsh
- 4 Josh Key
- 5 Josh Tymon
- 6 Jay Fulton
- 7 Marko Stamenić
- 8 Joseph Opoku
- 9 Elijah Just
- 10 Zan Vipotnik
- 11 Moussa Yeo
Absent
- Cameron Burgess (injury)
- Goncalo Franco (Thigh injury, expected to be out until mid-September 2026.)
- Ross Stewart (Muscle injury (reported in April 2026, still listed as unavailable).)
Medium confidence
A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes up as the tactical contest at Pride Park, with Derby's double pivot looking to screen their back four against Swansea's three-man midfield. Carlton Morris as the lone striker will be central to how much pressure Derby can sustain in the final third.
For the visitors, Zan Vipotnik and Moussa Yeo offer width and pace to stretch Derby's defensive line on the counter. Both lineups carry similar confidence levels from multiple credible sources, so the shape you see above is unlikely to shift significantly before kick-off.
Derby County vs Swansea City: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
How to Watch Derby County vs Swansea City Match?
What time is Derby County vs Swansea City?
Derby County host Swansea City at Pride Park Stadium on 29 August 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 12:30 BST.
Where is Derby County vs Swansea City being played?
This Championship fixture takes place at Pride Park Stadium, Derby County's home ground.
How Can I Watch Derby County vs Swansea City on TV and Live Stream?
This match is available to watch via Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.