Luxembourg
Iceland
Luxembourg vs Iceland Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 2Luxembourg vs Iceland – Best bets of the match
· Confidence Medium
Luxembourg vs Iceland Preview
Luxembourg enter this Nations League fixture buoyed by a spirited 2-1 comeback victory away to Bulgaria in their opening match. Jeff Strasser's side initially deployed an aggressive 4-2-4 shape before shifting to a more conservative approach after losing Danel Sinani to injury. That tactical flexibility proved decisive. With four wins from their last six outings, the hosts carry genuine momentum and will fancy their chances at home against familiar opponents.
Iceland's struggles show no sign of abating. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's men are winless in seven consecutive matches across all competitions, managing only a 1-1 draw against Estonia in their Nations League opener. A chronic lack of cutting edge remains the central problem; they have failed to score in five of their last eleven fixtures. Confidence is fragile, and travelling to face a Luxembourg side that beat them 3-1 during Euro 2024 qualifying represents a daunting assignment.
Luxembourg's double chance selection rests on firm foundations. Jeff Strasser's side claimed four points from two Euro 2024 qualifying meetings with Iceland, including a commanding 3-1 home victory. That recent head-to-head superiority, combined with a win ratio of four from their last six outings, makes the home side a genuine threat at 2.95.
Iceland's struggles reinforce this pick. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's team are winless in seven consecutive matches across all competitions, managing only a 1-1 draw with Estonia in their Nations League opener. They have failed to score in five of their last eleven fixtures, a worrying trend that limits their capacity to take all three points here.
The double chance covering a Luxembourg win or draw offers solid value. Strasser's squad showed tactical flexibility against Bulgaria, adapting formation mid-match after losing Danel Sinani to injury. That resilience, paired with Iceland's chronic goal-scoring difficulties, tilts the balance firmly towards the hosts avoiding defeat. The draw at 3.10 provides additional cover alongside the home win at 2.95. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Luxembourg vs Iceland
- Luxembourg won four of last six
- Iceland winless in seven straight matches
- Hosts scored in three recent head-to-heads
Form & Statistics: Luxembourg vs Iceland
Luxembourg
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Iceland
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Lineups: Luxembourg vs Iceland
Luxembourg
Starters
- 1 Anthony Moris
- 2 Florian Bohnert
- 3 Dirk Carlson
- 4 Vahid Selimović
- 5 Laurent Jans
- 6 Leandro Barreiro
- 7 Tomás Cruz
- 8 Vincent Thill
- 9 Aiman Dardari
- 10 Hamza Kadamani
- 11 Jayson Videira Pereira
Bench
- Lucas Fox
- Tim Kips
- Tiago Pereira
- Enes Mahmutovic
- Marvin Martins
- Eric Veiga
- Mathias Olesen
- Enzo Dos Santos
- Olivier Thill
- Miguel Fernandes
- Omar Natami
- Timothé Rupil
- Sébastien Thill
Absent
- Seid Korac (Cruciate ligament injury, requires surgery, will miss entire Nations League campaign.)
- Christopher Martins (Light injury, expected to return for November fixtures.)
- Yvandro Borges Sanches (Unavailable.)
- Danel Sinani (Injury sustained against Bulgaria, will miss upcoming matches.)
- Eldin Dzogovic (Withdrawn from the squad.)
- Tim Hall (Back injury.)
Iceland
Starters
- 1 Hákon Valdimarsson
- 2 Alfons Sampsted
- 3 Daníel Grétarsson
- 4 Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson
- 5 Hörður Björgvin Magnússon
- 6 Victor Pálsson
- 7 Ísak Jóhannesson
- 8 Albert Guðmundsson
- 9 Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
- 10 Jón Thorsteinsson
- 11 Andri Guðjohnsen
Bench
- Anton Ari Einarsson
- Stefán Thórdarson
- Orri Óskarsson
- Mikael Egill Ellertsson
- Ísak Thorvaldsson
Absent
- Elías Rafn Ólafsson (Kidney injury, main goalkeeper.)
- Sverrir Ingi Ingason (Cruciate ligament rupture.)
- Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson (Unknown injury.)
- Andri Fannar Baldursson (Hamstring muscle injury.)
- Gísli Thórdarson (Injury.)
Low confidence
A compact 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1 contest is shaping up at Stade de Luxembourg, though the home side's shape carries a speculated tag from lighter sourcing, while Iceland's probable XI comes from multiple credible outlets. That confidence gap is worth keeping in mind before treating both formations as equally settled.
Iceland's double pivot should give them midfield structure to contain Luxembourg's narrow block, and Albert Guðmundsson operating behind the lone striker is the clearest creative threat on the pitch. For Luxembourg, Leandro Barreiro's role as the single defensive midfielder will be central to whether they can frustrate Iceland's build-up.
How to Watch Luxembourg vs Iceland Match?
What time is Luxembourg vs Iceland?
Luxembourg vs Iceland kicks off on 29 September 2026 at 19:45 local time.
Where is Luxembourg vs Iceland being played?
The confirmed venue for this fixture is TBD, with full stadium details yet to be announced.
How Can I Watch Luxembourg vs Iceland on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Luxembourg vs Iceland will be confirmed closer to the fixture. Odds correct at time of publication.