Premier League
Newcastle United
23 Aug 2026 15:30
Liverpool
Prediction:
Liverpool to win 1.99
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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Predictions, Picks & Odds – 23/08/2026

Premier League · 1
23 Aug 2026 St. James' Park Louis Hecq

Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
1xBet3.764.041.99Continue
Stake3.903.851.86Continue
bc.game3.853.751.86Continue
Our prediction
2: Liverpool to win
1.99 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 07 Sep 2026 at 13:21 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Regular Season, 1
Date: 23 Aug 2026
Time: 15:30 UTC
Stadium: St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Preview

Newcastle United begin the new campaign in a precarious position. Manager Matthias Jaissle has openly acknowledged his squad is not yet at full strength, citing a compressed pre-season and considerable player turnover. The Magpies finished the previous term poorly, winning just once across their final five league outings, and sit eleventh heading into the new season. Teenager Mason Miley could make his Premier League debut at right-back, while Dan Burn takes the armband as newly appointed captain.

Liverpool arrive at St. James' Park under new boss Andoni Iraola, who has admitted fitness levels are not where he wants them. Their own late-season form was troubling, with three consecutive defeats followed by two draws in their last five matches. Key midfielders Alexis Mac Allister and Victor Munoz face doubts after extended World Cup commitments. Fresh recruits Jeremy Jacquet and Ronald Araujo featured in a recent friendly, but Iraola's side clearly remain a work in progress at this stage.

Liverpool's head-to-head dominance over Newcastle in the Premier League is striking: 23 victories compared to just five for the Magpies. Three of the last five meetings went Liverpool's way, including a commanding 4-1 win at Anfield in January 2026. That kind of structural superiority across fixtures makes the away win at 1.99 a compelling market selection despite Liverpool's own inconsistent recent form.

Newcastle's preparations have been far from smooth. Manager Matthias Jaissle openly admitted his squad will "not be at our peak," citing a compressed pre-season and significant squad turnover. A 17-year-old academy product could start at right-back, which speaks volumes about the defensive options available. Newcastle have lost three of their last five, and sitting 11th hardly inspires confidence against a side of Liverpool's calibre.

Liverpool carry concerns of their own. Andoni Iraola flagged insufficient energy levels, while Alexis Mac Allister and Victor Munoz face fitness doubts after extended summer commitments. Yet new signings Jeremy Jacquet and Ronald Araujo featured in a recent friendly, adding defensive reinforcement. The over 2.5 goals line at 1.44 also warrants attention given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities. The away win remains the primary pick at 1.99.

Trends to Know about Newcastle United vs Liverpool

  • Liverpool won 23 of 28 H2H meetings
  • Newcastle lost three of last five
  • Reds scored four at Anfield in January

Form & Statistics: Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Newcastle United

Recent form

LDWLL
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.4Total goals
80%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.7Goals conceded

Liverpool

Recent form

DDLLL
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.7Total goals
58%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded
StatisticNewcastle UnitedLiverpool
Last 5 results1W 1D 3L·2D 3L
Avg goals scored1.7·2.2
Avg goals conceded1.7·1.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·2/5
H2H, last 5 meetings1 Newcastle United · 1 Draws · 3 Liverpool
Probable lineup

Lineups: Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Newcastle United

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Lukáš Hornícek
  2. 2 Mason Miley
  3. 3 Malick Thiaw
  4. 4 Lewis Hall
  5. 5 Sean Steur
  6. 6 Aladji Bamba
  7. 7 Anthony Elanga
  8. 8 Jacob Ramsey
  9. 9 Bazoumana Traore
  10. 10 Yoane Wissa
  • Sven Botman (injury)
  • Tino Livramento (injury)
  • Joelinton (Unspecified injury, out for at least two weeks.)
  • Lewis Miley (Broken leg (long-term).)
  • Anthony Gordon (Hip injury.)
  • Fabian Schär (Ankle injury (long-term).)
  • Emil Krafth (Knee injury (long-term).)

Liverpool

4-3-3
  1. 1 Alisson Becker
  2. 2 Jeremie Frimpong
  3. 3 Jeremy Jacquet
  4. 4 Virgil Van Dijk
  5. 5 Milos Kerkez
  6. 6 Ryan Gravenberch
  7. 7 Dominik Szoboszlai
  8. 8 Florian Wirtz
  9. 9 Rio Ngumoha
  10. 10 Alexander Isak
  11. 11 Cody Gakpo
  • Hugo Ekitiké (injury)
  • Joe Gomez (injury)
  • Conor Bradley (Knee injury/surgery (expected late September 2026).)
  • Giovanni Leoni (ACL tear (aiming for end of September 2026).)
  • Vitezslav Jaros (Knee injury (expected October 1, 2026).)
  • Jayden Danns (Sidelined.)

Low confidence

Liverpool arrive at St. James' Park in a 4-3-3 shape, with Florian Wirtz expected to pull strings behind Alexander Isak in what looks a fluid, press-heavy system. Newcastle's 4-2-3-1 is less certain, drawn from a single speculative source, so treat the Magpies' shape as directional rather than confirmed.

The confidence gap between these two XIs is meaningful. Liverpool's probable lineup has been stress-tested in pre-season and corroborated across outlets, while Newcastle's selection carries genuine uncertainty, particularly in the full-back positions. Yoane Wissa leading the line for the hosts is the one attacking detail worth anchoring to.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Head-to-Head

Newcastle United 20 % Draws 20 % Liverpool 60 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4.2Total goals
80%Both teams score
2.4Home goals
1.8Away goals
80%Over 2.5 goals
20%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Newcastle United vs Liverpool Match?

What time is Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Newcastle United host Liverpool at St. James' Park on Saturday, 23 August 2026, with kickoff set for 4:30 PM BST.

Where is Newcastle United vs Liverpool being played?

This match takes place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.

How Can I Watch Newcastle United vs Liverpool on TV and Live Stream?

This match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.