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>Canada vs Morocco Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/07/2026
World Cup · Round of 16Canada vs Morocco – Best bets of the match
Canada vs Morocco Preview
Canada enter this Round of 16 clash riding an uneven run of two wins, a defeat, and two draws from their last five outings. Jesse Marsch called this fixture a "free hit" after his side became the first Canadian team to win a World Cup knockout match. Alphonso Davies is expected to make his first start of the tournament. Despite registering more shots on target than any other side, Canada have managed just two goals across their last two games.
Morocco carry superior momentum, winning three of their last five matches with two draws and no defeats. Walid Regragui's successor Mohamed Ouahbi has maintained the disciplined structure that carried the Atlas Lions to the 2022 semi-finals. They dominated possession and chances against the Netherlands in the Round of 32, earning widespread respect. Ranked 6th in the world, Morocco represent a significant step up in quality for Canada, and their 2022 group-stage victory over this same opponent reinforces their confidence.
Morocco's recent form makes them the standout pick here. Four matches unbeaten, including three wins from their last five, gives Walid Regragui's successor Mohamed Ouahbi a squad brimming with confidence. Their 2022 World Cup semifinal run was no fluke, and they have already shown composure against the Netherlands in the Round of 32. The away win at 1.82 reflects their superiority in quality and tournament pedigree.
Canada's shot volume has been impressive, leading the tournament in efforts on target, yet converting just twice across their last two matches reveals a finishing problem. Against a defence marshalled by Yassine Bounou, born in Montreal no less, those half-chances will dry up. Morocco dominated possession and territory against higher-ranked European opposition, so Canada's press will face a sterner test than anything encountered so far.
The under 2.5 goals line at 1.58 complements the outright Morocco pick well. Canada's blunt attack and Morocco's disciplined defensive structure point towards a low-scoring affair. A both teams to score "no" selection at 8.00 also warrants consideration, given Canada's struggles to convert chances against organised backlines. Morocco winning by a single goal remains the likeliest outcome in Houston.
Trends to Know about Canada vs Morocco
- Morocco won 2022 group stage meeting
- Canada's two goals in two matches
- Morocco dominated possession against Netherlands
Form & Statistics: Canada vs Morocco
Canada
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Morocco
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Canada vs Morocco
Canada
Starters
- 1 Maxime Crépeau
- 2 Alistair Johnston
- 3 Moise Bombito
- 4 Derek Cornelius
- 5 Richie Laryea
- 6 Tajon Buchanan
- 7 Nathan Saliba
- 8 Stephen Eustáquio
- 9 Alphonso Davies
- 10 Cyle Larin
- 11 Jonathan David
Bench
- Luc De Fougerolles
- Tani Oluwaseyi
- Liam Millar
- Ali Ahmed
- Jonathan Osorio
- Joel Waterman
- Dayne St. Clair
Absent
- Ismaël Koné (broken leg)
Morocco
Starters
- 1 Yassine Bounou
- 2 Achraf Hakimi
- 3 Issa Diop
- 4 Noussair Mazraoui
- 5 Anass Salah-Eddine
- 6 A. Bouaddi
- 7 Neil El Aynaoui
- 8 Brahim Díaz
- 9 Azzedine Ounahi
- 10 Bilal El Khannouss
- 11 Ismael Saibari
Bench
- Redouane Halhal
- Soufiane Rahimi
- Ayoub El Kaabi
- Munir
- Amine Sbaï
- Yassine G.
Absent
- Nayef Aguerd (groin injury, pubic bone fracture (ruled out of World Cup))
- Abde Ezzalzouli (right knee injury (Grade 2 MCL sprain, ruled out of World Cup))
Medium confidence
A classic 4-4-2 versus 4-2-3-1 contest shapes up as Canada look to press high and use the width of Alphonso Davies and Tajon Buchanan to stretch Morocco's defensive block. Both probable XIs carry reasonable confidence across multiple sources, so the tactical picture is fairly settled heading into this Round of 16 tie.
Morocco's double pivot sits deep to protect Hakimi and Mazraoui on the flanks, with Brahim Díaz given licence to link play between the lines. Canada's Jonathan David and Cyle Larin will need to be sharp in the channels if they are to trouble a Moroccan backline that has looked well-organised throughout this tournament.
Canada vs Morocco: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
How to Watch Canada vs Morocco Match?
What time is Canada vs Morocco?
Canada vs Morocco kicks off at Houston Stadium on 4th July 2026 at 6:00 PM BST.
Where is Canada vs Morocco being played?
This Round of 16 fixture will be played at Houston Stadium in Houston, Texas.
How Can I Watch Canada vs Morocco on TV and Live Stream?
This match will be available to watch on major sports broadcasting networks and official FIFA streaming platforms.