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>Italy vs France Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026
UEFA Nations League · 5Italy vs France Preview
Italy sit second in Group A1 with eight points, two behind the group leaders, and Roberto Mancini's side will be desperate to close that gap at the Giuseppe Meazza. The Azzurri have won their last two outings, building momentum with a settled 4-3-3 shape. However, a troubling run of three consecutive defeats at this very stadium in Milan casts a shadow over home advantage, and their defensive record of five goals conceded raises questions about solidity at the back.
France arrive in superb form, having won three of their last five matches after a rocky start that included back-to-back losses. Zinédine Zidane's squad tops Group A1 on ten points, backed by a miserly defensive record of just two goals conceded. Selection headaches persist, though, with several key players ruled out through injury. Zidane's emphasis on integrating younger talent for the future could mean an experimental lineup, yet France's quality in depth remains formidable enough to threaten any opponent.
France's defensive solidity in this Nations League campaign stands out. Only two goals conceded across their group matches gives Zidane's side a platform that Italy, having shipped five, simply cannot match. The away draw at 3.88 reflects that resilience, while the outright away win at 1.81 carries genuine appeal given France's three consecutive victories heading into this fixture.
Italy's home form in Milan is a concern. Three straight defeats at the Giuseppe Meazza suggest Mancini's 4-3-3 system has not translated into results on familiar turf. France, sitting top of the group with ten points, have every reason to stay compact and disciplined. A draw would protect their advantage, making the double chance covering both a draw and a France victory the logical selection here.
The under 2.5 goals line at 2.35 complements this pick neatly. France's miserly defensive record and Zidane's reported focus on building a structured, future-oriented squad point towards controlled, low-scoring football. With both teams prioritising qualification over spectacle, tight margins should define this encounter. Our recommended selection is X2, Draw or Away.
Trends to Know about Italy vs France
- France conceded only two group goals
- Italy lost three straight in Milan
- France top Group A1 by two points
Form & Statistics: Italy vs France
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
France
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
How to Watch Italy vs France Match?
What time is Italy vs France?
Italy vs France kicks off on 12 November 2026 at 19:45 GMT in Milan.
Where is Italy vs France being played?
This match takes place at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan, Italy.
How Can I Watch Italy vs France on TV and Live Stream?
Check local listings and official UEFA broadcast partners in India for live coverage of this fixture.