UEFA Nations League

England

12 Nov 2026 19:45

Croatia

Prediction:

England to win 1.27

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England vs Croatia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 5

Our prediction

1: England to win

1.27 on 1xBet · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 11 Nov 2026 at 13:41 · Odds are subject to change

England vs Croatia Preview

England are in devastating form, having won four of their last five matches. The Three Lions' most recent outing was a historic 7-0 demolition of Croatia, their largest ever UEFA Nations League victory. Harry Kane, fresh from claiming the 2026 Ballon d'Or, has been prolific with 11 goals this calendar year. Anthony Gordon and Jude Bellingham have also been outstanding, making England a formidable attacking unit in Group 3.

Croatia arrive at this fixture carrying the scars of that record-breaking 7-0 humiliation. Under returning manager Slaven Bilić, they have shown resilience elsewhere, winning three of their last five outings. The 41-year-old Luka Modrić remains central to their midfield identity, but the scale of that October defeat will test this squad's mental fortitude. Croatia need a result here to salvage their League A campaign and restore credibility.

England's home win at 1.27 is the cornerstone of our recommended bet. The Three Lions have won four of their last five outings, and their attacking output this Nations League campaign averages a staggering 3.5 goals per match. An xG of 2.9 underlines that this productivity is sustainable rather than a statistical fluke. Croatia, by contrast, manage just 1.0 goal per game and carry the psychological scars of that historic 7-0 humiliation in the reverse fixture.

The over 2.5 goals market at N/A looks equally compelling. Harry Kane's record of 11 goals in 2026 alone, combined with Anthony Gordon's involvement in a goal across five consecutive appearances and Jude Bellingham's creative brilliance, gives England multiple avenues to the net. Croatia under Slaven Bilic will push forward seeking redemption, which should only create more space for England's rapid transitions.

We also favour both teams to score at 1.92. While England's defensive solidity has been impressive, Croatia still possess Luka Modric's vision at 41 and enough quality to find the net at least once. Pride is a powerful motivator after their heaviest ever defeat, and Bilic will demand an attacking response. Expect England to control proceedings comfortably but Croatia to salvage a consolation in what should be an open contest.

Trends to Know about England vs Croatia

• England average 3.5 goals per match
• Croatia conceded seven in reverse fixture
• Kane scored 11 England goals in 2026

A mirror match in structure: both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting up a fascinating tactical duel at Wembley. England's shape funnels play through Jude Bellingham in the ten role, with Harry Kane anchoring the attack, while Croatia's double pivot of Modrić and Kovačić offers their usual composure in transition.

Croatia's threat will largely depend on how much time and space Luka Modrić is afforded centrally, given his age and reduced mobility. England's wider options give them an edge in pressing intensity, and the home side will fancy exploiting Croatia's flanks if the midfield battle swings their way early.

How to Watch England vs Croatia Match?

What time is England vs Croatia?

England vs Croatia kicks off at 19:45 local time on 12 November 2026.

Where is England vs Croatia being played?

The confirmed venue for England vs Croatia is to be determined by UEFA closer to matchday.

How Can I Watch England vs Croatia on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for England vs Croatia will be confirmed by UEFA closer to the fixture date.