San Marino
Belarus
>San Marino vs Belarus Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026
UEFA Nations League · 5San Marino vs Belarus Preview
San Marino's League C debut has been a painful education. Two defeats from two matches, 16 goals conceded across four group games, and a last-place finish already sealed before this fixture. Roberto Cevoli's side did show glimpses of resolve in their previous outing against Albania, where a 93rd-minute penalty separated the teams in a narrow 2-1 loss. They play now purely for pride, with nothing left to gain in the standings.
Belarus arrive in strong form, sitting second in Group C1 on seven points after a draw and a win in their recent outings. Their defensive record is remarkable: three consecutive clean sheets in this competition and just two goals conceded across four matches. A positive result here would strengthen their case for a promotion play-off berth. Having dominated all three previous meetings against San Marino by an aggregate of 11-0, confidence within the squad should be high.
Belarus hold an overwhelming historical advantage over San Marino, winning all three previous encounters by a combined score of 11-0. That dominance, paired with a ranking gap of 117 places, makes the away win at 1.17 the most straightforward selection on this card. San Marino have lost both home fixtures so far, and Belarus need the points to chase promotion.
Defensively, Belarus have been remarkably tight, keeping three consecutive clean sheets in this Nations League campaign while conceding just twice across four matches. San Marino, by contrast, have shipped 16 goals at a rate of nearly four per game. That disparity points firmly towards a BTTS No selection at 1.38, with Belarus well equipped to shut the door.
The over 2.5 goals market at 1.67 also warrants attention. San Marino's porous backline has been routinely exposed, and Belarus carry genuine attacking threat when facing weaker opposition. Roberto Cevoli's side showed spirit in pushing Albania late, yet structural quality differences remain vast. Expect Belarus to control proceedings comfortably. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about San Marino vs Belarus
- Belarus won all three prior meetings
- San Marino conceded 16 goals in four
- Belarus kept three consecutive clean sheets
Form & Statistics: San Marino vs Belarus
San Marino
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Belarus
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: San Marino vs Belarus
San Marino
Starters
- 1 Edoardo Colombo
- 2 Filippo Fabbri
- 3 Marco Pasolini
- 4 Dante Rossi
- 5 Simone Giocondi
- 6 Cristian Meloni
- 7 Lorenzo Capicchioni
- 8 Samuele Zannoni
- 9 Enea Della Balda
- 10 Fausto Salicioni
- 11 Samuel Pancotti
Bench
- Lorenzo Lazzari
Absent
- Nicolas Giacopetti (Suspension (second booking of the group))
- Michele Cevoli (Injury (left out of squad))
- Alberto Riccardi (Injury)
- Nicola Nanni (Not in the listed squad)
Belarus
Starters
- 1 Fedor Lapoukhov
- 2 Vladislav Kalinin
- 3 Zakhar Volkov
- 4 Kirill Gomanov
- 5 Kirill Pechenin
- 6 Anton Lukashov
- 7 Valeri Bocharov
- 8 Maks Ebong
- 9 Aleksandr Selyava
- 10 Artem Kontsevoy
- 11 Vitaliy Lisakovich
Bench
- Anton Kovalev
Absent
- Artem Shumanskiy (Suspension (booking threshold))
- German Barkovskiy (Suspension (booking threshold))
Medium confidence
A compact 4-3-1-2 vs 4-4-2 contest shapes up at Serravalle, with San Marino looking to use Enea Della Balda as the creative pivot between midfield and a front two. Belarus set up in a flat, industrious 4-4-2, relying on Vitaliy Lisakovich to provide the cutting edge up front.
Both probable XIs carry similar confidence levels across multiple credible outlets, so the tactical picture is reasonably settled. The real question is whether San Marino's narrow diamond structure can absorb Belarus's wider midfield runners and still threaten on the counter through their two forwards.
How to Watch San Marino vs Belarus Match?
What time is San Marino vs Belarus?
San Marino vs Belarus kicks off at 19:45 local time on 12 November 2026.
Where is San Marino vs Belarus being played?
The venue for San Marino vs Belarus is to be confirmed by UEFA ahead of matchday.
How Can I Watch San Marino vs Belarus on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for San Marino vs Belarus will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and regional partners.