Luxembourg
Estonia
>Luxembourg vs Estonia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 13/11/2026
UEFA Nations League · 5Luxembourg vs Estonia Preview
Luxembourg enter this fixture in desperate need of a turnaround. Jeff Strasser's side opened their Nations League campaign with a win over Bulgaria but have since suffered three consecutive defeats without finding the net. Their inability to convert chances has been alarming, and the 1-0 loss to Estonia in the reverse fixture underscored those struggles. Fresh call-ups including Patrick Macedo, prolific in domestic football, and midfielder Farid Ikene could inject much-needed creativity.
Estonia arrive in superb form and brimming with confidence. An impressive six-game unbeaten run across all competitions tells its own story, but the defensive numbers are even more striking: just one goal conceded in four Nations League outings, with three clean sheets. That solidity was on full display when they edged Luxembourg 1-0 last month. Currently sitting in a strong position to challenge for a promotion playoff spot, Estonia will fancy their chances of extending this remarkable run.
Estonia's defensive solidity is the cornerstone of our X2 selection. Across four Nations League outings, they have conceded just once while recording three clean sheets. That resilience, combined with a six-game unbeaten run across all competitions, makes the draw or away double chance a compelling proposition at the prices available via 3.72 and 3.29.
Luxembourg's attacking woes reinforce the case. Three consecutive Nations League matches without scoring paints a grim picture, even with new call-ups like Patrick Macedo and Farid Ikene offering fresh options. Manager Jeff Strasser has publicly acknowledged finishing problems, and rebuilding confidence in front of goal within a single match cycle is no small task.
The reverse fixture tells its own story: Estonia won that encounter 1-0, demonstrating they can control proceedings against this opponent. Under 2.5 goals at 1.61 also warrants attention given both sides' low-scoring tendencies. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Luxembourg vs Estonia
- Estonia unbeaten in four League matches
- Luxembourg scoreless in three straight games
- Estonia conceded just once in four outings
Form & Statistics: Luxembourg vs Estonia
Luxembourg
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Estonia
Season statistics
Lineups: Luxembourg vs Estonia
Luxembourg
Starters
- 1 Anthony Moris
- 2 Laurent Jans
- 3 Florian Bohnert
- 4 Enes Mahmutovic
- 5 Eric Veiga
- 6 Tomás Moreira
- 7 Mathias Olesen
- 8 Aiman Dardari
- 9 Vincent Thill
- 10 Hamza Kadamani
- 11 Jayson Videira
Bench
- Lucas Fox
- Tim Kips
- Tiago Pereira
- Eldin Dzogovic
- Tim Hall
- Vahid Selimovic
- Marvin Martins
- Enzo Dos Santos
- Miguel Fernandes
- Farid Ikene
- Sébastien Thill
- Patrick Macedo
- Omar Natami
- Timothé Rupil
Absent
- Leandro Barreiro (Thigh injury, sidelined until January 2027.)
- Christopher Martins (Injury, remains sidelined.)
- Danel Sinani (Injury (cruciate ligament injury reported by some sources).)
- Seid Korac (Cruciate ligament injury requiring surgery, out for the entire Nations League campaign.)
- Yvandro Borges (Sidelined with injury.)
- Dirk Carlson (Suspension (accumulated yellow cards).)
Estonia
Starters
- 1 Matvei Igonen
- 2 Maksim Paskotši
- 3 Karol Mets
- 4 Erko Tõugjas
- 5 Rasmus Peetson
- 6 Joseph Saliste
- 7 Kevor Palumets
- 8 Markus Poom
- 9 Patrik Kristal
- 10 Karel Mustmaa
- 11 Mattias Männilaan
Bench
- Karl Jakob Hein
- Karl Andre Vallner
- Frank Liivak
- Michael Schjønning-Larsen
- Tanel Tammik
- Mihhail Kolobov
- Mattias Käit
- Martin Miller
- Mihkel Ainsalu
- Maksimilian Skvortsov
- Marten-Chris Paalberg
- Alex Tamm
Absent
- Mark Anders Lepik (ACL tear, expected recovery 10-12 months, out for remainder of 2026 season.)
- Rauno Sappinen (Medical reasons.)
- Vlasiy Sinyavskiy (Medical reasons (cruciate ligament injury reported by some sources).)
- Märten Kuusk (Not featuring in the squad for medical reasons.)
- Markus Soomets (Medical reasons.)
- Robi Saarma (Not featuring in the squad for medical reasons.)
- Soufian Gouram (Accepted call-up to Germany's youth team and requested to remain with his club.)
- Rocco Robert Shein (Requested not to join the national team.)
Medium confidence
Luxembourg line up in a 4-2-3-1 against Estonia's compact 3-5-1-1, a shape built to crowd the midfield and frustrate wider attacks. Vincent Thill is the creative pivot in the home side's three behind the striker, and his ability to find pockets between Estonia's lines could prove decisive.
Estonia's wing-back system demands high energy across the pitch, with Rasmus Peetson and Patrik Kristal expected to stretch Luxembourg's defensive width. Markus Poom anchors the midfield engine room, and how well he controls the tempo will largely determine whether the visitors can frustrate the home crowd.
How to Watch Luxembourg vs Estonia Match?
What time is Luxembourg vs Estonia?
Luxembourg vs Estonia kicks off on 13 November 2026 at 19:45 GMT in UEFA Nations League League C.
Where is Luxembourg vs Estonia being played?
The confirmed venue for Luxembourg vs Estonia is yet to be announced by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Luxembourg vs Estonia on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Luxembourg vs Estonia will be confirmed closer to the scheduled kickoff date.