Australia vs Brazil Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/09/2026
Australia vs Brazil – Best bets of the match
· Confidence Medium
Australia vs Brazil Preview
Australia enter this second friendly off the back of a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Brazil in the opening encounter. Tony Popovic's side have shown mixed recent form, picking up two wins but also suffering a defeat and recording two draws across their last five outings. With the 2027 AFC Asian Cup on the horizon, Popovic is using this series to blood younger talent, and as many as seven potential debutants could feature at Stadium Australia.
Brazil arrive with considerably stronger momentum, having won three of their last five matches. Carlo Ancelotti's rebuild is gathering pace following a disappointing 2026 World Cup, with 16 changes made to the previous squad as he eyes the 2028 Copa América cycle. In the first friendly, the Selecao dominated possession at nearly 65% and produced 16 shots, only to be pegged back late. Raphinha's blistering club form with Barcelona makes him the standout threat.
Brazil dominated possession in the first friendly, controlling nearly 65% of the ball and firing 16 shots compared to Australia's seven. That statistical superiority, combined with the Seleção's squad depth under Carlo Ancelotti, points firmly towards an away victory at 1.32. Australia needed a late equaliser to salvage a draw, which tells you plenty about the balance of quality between these two sides.
Raphinha's blistering club form, 14 goals and three assists in eight matches for Barcelona, makes him a constant threat. Ancelotti is expected to rotate his squad, yet the sheer talent pool available means Brazil's second-choice options still outclass most of what Tony Popovic can field. The away win looks well-supported by the underlying data and squad quality gap.
Both teams scored in the first meeting, lending credibility to BTTS Yes at 1.01. Australia's young squad showed enough attacking intent to trouble Brazil at least once. For the goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.46 also merits consideration given the open, experimental nature of this friendly series. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Australia vs Brazil
- Brazil held 64.8% possession in first match
- Brazil outshot Australia 16 to 7
- Selecao won three of last four fixtures
Form & Statistics: Australia vs Brazil
Australia
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Brazil
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Australia vs Brazil
Australia
Starters
- 1 Patrick Beach
- 2 Alessandro Circati
- 3 Harry Souttar
- 4 Lucas Herrington
- 5 Jacob Italiano
- 6 Jackson Irvine
- 7 Aiden O'Neill
- 8 Aziz Behich
- 9 Connor Metcalfe
- 10 Nestory Irankunda
- 11 Tete Yengi
Bench
- Jacob Chapman
- Kealey Adamson
- Dylan Leonard
- Kasey Bos
- Jason Geria
- Paul Okon-Engstler
- Eli Adams
- Yaya Dukuly
- Marcus Younis
- Riley McGree
- Patrick Yazbek
- Nishan Velupillay
Absent
- Mohamed Toure (Injury)
- Alexander Robertson (Injury)
- Jordy Bos (Injury)
- Cameron Burgess (Injury)
- Cristian Volpato (Injury)
Brazil
Starters
- 1 Hugo Souza
- 2 Matheuzinho
- 3 Marquinhos
- 4 Vitor Reis
- 5 Douglas Santos
- 6 Danilo Santos
- 7 Bruno Guimarães
- 8 Raphinha
- 9 Estêvão
- 10 Endrick
- 11 Vinicius Junior
Bench
- Pedro Morisco
- Otávio
- Arthur Dias
- Gabriel Magalhães
- Jair
- Vanderson
- Mauro Junior
- Andrey Santos
- Breno Bidon
- Gabriel Bontempo
- Douglas Luiz
- Matheus Martinelli
- Rayan
- Samuel Lino
Absent
- João Pedro (Knee injury (ligament damage), expected 3 weeks out)
- Wesley (Injury)
- Neymar (Retired from international duty)
- Alisson (Omitted from squad)
- Casemiro (Omitted from squad)
- Fabinho (Omitted from squad)
Medium confidence
Australia's compact 3-4-2-1 sets up to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, while Brazil arrive in a fluid 4-2-3-1 built around pace and creativity in the final third. The Socceroos will need discipline in their back three to contain the movement Brazil generate through their wide attackers.
Vinicius Junior and Endrick offer Brazil a potent combination of experience and youth up front, and Bruno Guimarães provides the midfield engine to control tempo. For Australia, Nestory Irankunda's energy in the half-spaces could be their most reliable outlet when they look to transition quickly.
Australia vs Brazil: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
How to Watch Australia vs Brazil Match?
What time is Australia vs Brazil?
Australia vs Brazil kicks off at Stadium Australia on 29 September 2026 at 11:00 AM BST.
Where is Australia vs Brazil being played?
This friendly international will be played at Stadium Australia in Sydney. Odds correct at time of publication.
How Can I Watch Australia vs Brazil on TV and Live Stream?
Check local listings for broadcast details, as coverage varies by region. Odds correct at time of publication.