Carabao Cup
Chelsea
09 Sep 2026 20:00
Leeds United
Prediction:
Chelsea to win 1.71
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Chelsea vs Leeds United Predictions, Picks & Odds – 09/09/2026

Carabao Cup · 3rd Round
09 Sep 2026 Stamford Bridge Louis Hecq

Chelsea vs Leeds United – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
1xBet1.714.154.76View Odds
Stake1.664.104.80View Odds
bc.game1.663.954.70View Odds
Our prediction
1: Chelsea to win
1.71 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 08 Sep 2026 at 12:26 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 3rd Round
Date: 09 Sep 2026
Time: 20:00 BST
Stadium: Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds United Preview

Chelsea return to Stamford Bridge looking to shake off a disappointing 2-1 Premier League defeat to Arsenal. Xabi Alonso's side won three of their previous four matches before that setback, and the Carabao Cup offers a chance to reset. Expect wholesale rotation, with Cole Palmer, Reece James, and Joao Pedro likely rested. Moises Caicedo, rushed back too early against Brighton by Alonso's own admission, will almost certainly sit this one out.

Leeds United arrive in west London unbeaten across all competitions this season, a run built on two wins and two draws from their last four outings. Daniel Farke will rotate too, with crucial Championship fixtures on the horizon, but his squad depth could be tested against top-flight opposition. New signings Melvin Bard and Jean-Matteo Bahoya may be handed their debuts. No VAR will be in operation, adding an unpredictable element to proceedings under referee Jarred Gillett.

Chelsea's home win at 1.71 represents the strongest play here. The Blues boast a perfect 10-0 record against Leeds in cup competitions across the last ten meetings, a staggering run of dominance that no amount of rotation can fully dilute. Their most recent clash at Stamford Bridge ended 1-0 in Chelsea's favour, reinforcing the fortress mentality at this ground.

Both sides will rotate heavily, but Chelsea's squad depth under Xabi Alonso gives them a clear edge. Cole Palmer and Reece James may rest, yet the Blues have more than enough quality on the bench to handle a Championship outfit. Leeds arrive unbeaten this season, though two draws in five suggest inconsistency.

The over 2.5 goals market at 1.65 also merits attention. Cup ties at Stamford Bridge tend to open up, particularly when fringe players are eager to impress. Leeds under Daniel Farke will not sit deep, which should create space for Chelsea's second-string attackers. Expect a home victory with goals. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Chelsea vs Leeds United

  • Chelsea unbeaten in 10 cup H2H ties
  • Three home wins in last four
  • Leeds winless in recent away form

Form & Statistics: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea

Recent form

LWWWL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.3Total goals
56%Both teams score
2.9Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Leeds United

Recent form

DDWWL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.8Total goals
53%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded
StatisticChelseaLeeds United
Last 5 results3W 2L·2W 2D 1L
Avg goals scored2.9·1.9
Avg goals conceded1.4·0.9
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·4/5
H2H, last 3 meetings1 Chelsea · 1 Draws · 1 Leeds United
Probable lineup

Lineups: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Mike Penders
  2. 2 Malo Gusto
  3. 3 Maxence Lacroix
  4. 4 Levi Colwill
  5. 5 Pep Chavarria
  6. 6 Romeo Lavia
  7. 7 Valentin Barco
  8. 8 Estevao Willian
  9. 9 Jamie Gittens
  10. 10 Geovany Quenda
  11. 11 Danny Welbeck
  • Emiliano Martinez
  • Josh Acheampong
  • Wesley Fofana
  • Jorrel Hato
  • Reece James
  • Cole Palmer
  • Joao Pedro
  • Morgan Rogers
  • Pedro Neto
  • Moisés Caicedo (injury)
  • Omari Kellyman (injury)
  • Dário Essugo (injury)
  • João Félix (injury)
  • Marco Palestra (injury)
  • Jordan Henderson (wrist injury)

Leeds United

3-4-3
  1. 1 Michael Zetterer
  2. 2 Nico Elvedi
  3. 3 Tarik Muharemovic
  4. 4 Jaka Bijol
  5. 5 Jayden Bogle
  6. 6 Ethan Ampadu
  7. 7 Sean Longstaff
  8. 8 Melvin Bard
  9. 9 Harry Wilson
  10. 10 Lukas Nmecha
  11. 11 Brendan Aaronson
  • James Trafford
  • James Justin
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • Jean-Matteo Bahoya
  • Daniel James
  • Sam Greenwood
  • Joe Rodon (injury)
  • Mateo Joseph (injury)

Medium confidence

Chelsea's probable 4-2-3-1 lines up against Leeds United's compact 3-4-3, setting up an interesting tactical contest at Stamford Bridge. Estevao Willian and Jamie Gittens offer width and directness behind a lone striker, while Romeo Lavia anchors the midfield pivot in what looks a rotated but still competitive Blues side.

Leeds arrive with a back three designed to absorb pressure and transition quickly, with Ethan Ampadu providing composure in the engine room alongside Sean Longstaff. Both lineups carry genuine quality despite the cup context, and the 4-2-3-1 versus 3-4-3 shape promises a lively battle for the wide channels.

Chelsea vs Leeds United: Head-to-Head

Chelsea 33 % Draws 33 % Leeds United 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3Total goals
67%Both teams score
2Home goals
1Away goals
67%Over 2.5 goals
33%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Chelsea vs Leeds United Match?

What time is Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Chelsea vs Leeds United kicks off at Stamford Bridge on 9 September 2026 at 20:00 BST.

Where is Chelsea vs Leeds United being played?

This Carabao Cup third-round clash takes place at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea's home ground in west London.

How Can I Watch Chelsea vs Leeds United on TV and Live Stream?

The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom. Odds correct at time of publication.