Carabao Cup
Liverpool
28 Oct 2026 20:00
Chelsea
Prediction:
Liverpool to win 2.55
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Liverpool vs Chelsea Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/10/2026

Carabao Cup · 8th Finals
28 Oct 2026 Anfield Louis Hecq

Liverpool vs Chelsea – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
1xBet2.553.752.60View Odds
Stake2.203.602.85View Odds
Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Liverpool or Draw
2.55 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 27 Oct 2026 at 00:28 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 8th Finals
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 20:00 GMT
Stadium: Anfield

Liverpool vs Chelsea Preview

Liverpool arrive at this Carabao Cup knockout tie in robust form, having won four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing, a 2-1 victory over Brentford, came at a cost: Dominik Szoboszlai reaggravated a hamstring injury and faces a prolonged absence. Iraola will likely rotate his squad given the congested fixture list, with youngsters Lewis Koumas and Trey Nyoni expected to feature prominently at Anfield.

Chelsea travel to Merseyside on the back of a solid run themselves, claiming three wins from their last five outings. Their 2-0 defeat of Everton was overshadowed by goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez suffering a fractured jaw requiring surgery. Reserve keeper Mike Penders steps in, having already made his Premier League debut following that incident. Xabi Alonso also faces doubts over Malo Gusto and Pep Chavarria, adding further selection headaches for this quarter-final push.

Liverpool's recent run of four wins from five outings gives them a clear edge at Anfield, where the atmosphere alone can unsettle visiting sides. Chelsea have been solid too, winning three of their last five, but the loss of Emiliano Martinez to a fractured jaw is significant. Reserve keeper Mike Penders steps in for a high-pressure knockout tie, and that transition could prove costly.

The double chance selection covering a home win or draw looks well supported at 2.55. Dominik Szoboszlai's absence weakens Liverpool's midfield creativity, yet the presence of Mac Allister and Wirtz in Iraola's 4-2-3-1 system provides enough quality to control proceedings. Chelsea also face doubts over Malo Gusto and Pep Chavarria, further thinning their options for a demanding away fixture.

Squad rotation feels inevitable for both clubs given congested schedules, which could produce a tighter contest than a standard Premier League meeting. Young talents like Lewis Koumas and Trey Nyoni may feature for Liverpool, adding unpredictability. The historical weight of this rivalry in the EFL Cup, with Liverpool winning the 2022 and 2024 finals against Chelsea, tilts the psychological balance towards the hosts.

Trends to Know about Liverpool vs Chelsea

  • Liverpool won four of five recently
  • Chelsea missing first-choice goalkeeper Martinez
  • Anfield hosts favour home side strongly

Form & Statistics: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool

Recent form

WWWWL
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals
58%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Chelsea

Recent form

LWWLD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.7Total goals
67%Both teams score
2.7Goals scored
2Goals conceded
StatisticLiverpoolChelsea
Last 5 results4W 1L·2W 1D 2L
Avg goals scored2.2·2.7
Avg goals conceded1.3·2.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·2/5
H2H, last 15 meetings3 Liverpool · 7 Draws · 5 Chelsea
Probable lineup

Lineups: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Alisson
  2. 2 Araujo
  3. 3 Jacquet
  4. 4 Van Dijk
  5. 5 Kerkez
  6. 6 Gravenberch
  7. 7 Mac Allister
  8. 8 Ngumoha
  9. 9 Wirtz
  10. 10 Gakpo
  11. 11 Isak
  • Wataru Endo (suspended)
  • Dominik Szoboszlai (injury)
  • Jeremie Frimpong (injury)
  • Federico Chiesa (suspended)
  • Hugo Ekitiké (injury)
  • Victor Muñoz (Injury.)
  • Conor Bradley (Injury.)
  • Giovanni Leoni (Injury.)

Chelsea

4-3-3
  1. 1 Penders
  2. 2 Disasi
  3. 3 Silva
  4. 4 Colwill
  5. 5 Chilwell
  6. 6 Caicedo
  7. 7 Fernandez
  8. 8 Palmer
  9. 9 Sterling
  10. 10 Neto
  11. 11 Mudryk
  • Jamie Gittens (injury)
  • Emiliano Martínez (injury)
  • Reece James (injury)
  • Roméo Lavia (suspended)
  • Emmanuel Emegha (Known unavailability (injury).)

Low confidence

A 4-2-3-1 versus 4-3-3 shape sets up an intriguing midfield contest at Anfield, with Florian Wirtz operating in the number ten role for Liverpool and Moisés Caicedo anchoring Chelsea's engine room. Liverpool's probable XI carries reasonable confidence, sourced from multiple outlets ahead of this Carabao Cup last-16 tie.

Chelsea's formation, however, is speculated rather than confirmed, pieced together from recent match patterns and injury updates rather than any firm team news. Treat the Blues' shape as a working hypothesis for now, with the actual selection likely to become clearer closer to the 20:00 IST kickoff.

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Head-to-Head

Liverpool 20 % Draws 47 % Chelsea 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4Total goals
100%Both teams score
2.3Home goals
1.7Away goals
83%Over 2.5 goals
17%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Liverpool vs Chelsea Match?

What time is Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Liverpool vs Chelsea kicks off at Anfield on 28 October 2026 at 20:00 local time.

Where is Liverpool vs Chelsea being played?

This Carabao Cup round of 16 clash will be played at Anfield, Liverpool's iconic home ground.

How Can I Watch Liverpool vs Chelsea on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for Carabao Cup broadcast details, as coverage varies by region across India and internationally.