FA Cup

Truro City

22 Sep 2026 18:45

Merthyr Town

Prediction:

Truro City to win 1.62

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Truro CityDraw Merthyr Town

Truro City vs Merthyr Town Predictions, Picks & Odds – 22/09/2026

FA Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying Replays

Our prediction

1: Truro City to win

1.62 on Stake · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 22 Sep 2026 at 20:46 · Odds are subject to change

Truro City vs Merthyr Town Preview

Truro City return to the Truro Sports Hub with unfinished business after Tom Harrison's stoppage-time header rescued a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Manager John Askey was candid about his side's wastefulness in front of goal, believing they created enough to win outright. The hosts carry clear home advantage and will look to channel that frustration into a more clinical display. Notably, assistant manager Stewart Yetton was sent off during a touchline altercation in the first meeting.

Merthyr Town will feel they let a golden opportunity slip after conceding so deep into added time. Having previously dismantled Truro 5-2 in the 2022-23 FA Cup, the Martyrs know they can hurt this opposition, yet the psychological blow of that late equaliser cannot be understated. First-team coach Craig Reddy's red card from the first leg complicates preparations. With £5,625 in prize money and a Third Qualifying Round place at stake, Merthyr must regroup quickly on hostile ground.

Truro City's home advantage is the cornerstone of our recommended bet. Manager John Askey was visibly frustrated by squandered chances in the first leg, yet his side still managed to force a replay through sheer determination. Playing at the Truro Sports Hub, where the crowd factor tilts the pitch in their favour, the hosts are priced at 1.62 for good reason. That pricing implies a probability close to 59%, which aligns with their stronger league standing.

Merthyr Town will carry psychological scars from conceding Harrison's last-gasp equaliser deep into added time. Losing control of a match at the final whistle often leaves a side deflated heading into a replay, particularly one staged at their opponent's ground. The off-pitch altercation that saw both coaching staff sent off adds further tension, and Truro are better positioned to channel that intensity into a positive performance on home soil.

We also see value in the over 2.5 goals market at N/A. The first leg produced two goals despite Truro wasting several clear-cut openings, and Merthyr's 5-2 FA Cup demolition of the same opponents in 2022-23 proves these sides can be prolific against each other. With both teams to score available at N/A, that market deserves consideration too, given neither defence looked especially secure across the initial ninety minutes. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Truro City vs Merthyr Town

• Truro hold home advantage at Sports Hub
• First leg draw favours hosts' momentum
• Winner earns £5,625 FA Cup prize money

Both sides line up in a 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 mirror, setting the stage for a compact, midfield-driven contest in this FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replay. Max Kinsey leads Truro's forward line at Treyew Road, while Lewis Spiers offers Merthyr's attacking threat from the left flank.

Both probable XIs are extrapolated from each club's previous FA Cup outing rather than confirmed team sheets, so a degree of uncertainty remains on either side. The tactical shape looks settled, but late changes closer to the 18:45 kickoff cannot be ruled out.

How to Watch Truro City vs Merthyr Town Match?

What time is Truro City vs Merthyr Town?

Truro City host Merthyr Town on Monday, 22 September 2026, with kickoff at 19:45 BST.

Where is Truro City vs Merthyr Town being played?

This FA Cup replay takes place at the Truro Sports Hub in Truro, Cornwall.

How Can I Watch Truro City vs Merthyr Town on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for this FA Cup replay have not been officially confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.