Türkiye
Italy
>Türkiye vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 2Türkiye vs Italy – Best bets of the match
Türkiye vs Italy Preview
Türkiye enter this Nations League fixture with three wins from their last five outings, though consecutive defeats in the middle of that run exposed vulnerabilities. The 2026 World Cup ended in bitter disappointment for Vincenzo Montella's side, and rebuilding confidence is the priority. Key absences complicate matters further: Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız are both injured, leaving Zeki Çelik as the lone Serie A representative in the squad. Five players missed the opening training session ahead of this window.
Italy arrive in considerably stronger form, winning three of their last four matches with a draw mixed in. Roberto Mancini's return as head coach signals a fresh start after the Azzurri failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup. Nine new call-ups reflect his intent to reshape the squad, though injuries to Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante forced late replacements. Italy face Belgium three days before this fixture, which could influence Mancini's team selection here.
Italy's recent form strengthens the case for backing the visitors or the draw in this encounter. The Azzurri have won three and drawn one of their last four matches, a run that reflects growing cohesion under Roberto Mancini's renewed stewardship. Türkiye, by contrast, carry the scars of two losses in their recent five-game sequence, and key absences weaken their midfield considerably.
The head-to-head record tilts firmly in Italy's favour. Across recent meetings, the Azzurri have claimed three victories while conceding just twice, a defensive solidity that makes the draw or away double chance appealing at 2.56. Mancini's squad features nine fresh call-ups, yet the depth of Italian talent means quality remains high even with Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante ruled out through injury.
Türkiye's squad is further hampered by the absence of Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız, two players whose creativity is difficult to replace. With only one Serie A representative in Zeki Celik, the hosts lack the familiarity with Italian tactical structures that might otherwise help them compete. The X2 selection, covering both the draw and an Italy win, reflects a 58% confidence level rooted in these personnel gaps and Italy's historical dominance.
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Trends to Know about Türkiye vs Italy
- Italy dominate head-to-head record historically
- Türkiye missing Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız through injury
- Italy unbeaten in last four matches
Form & Statistics: Türkiye vs Italy
Türkiye
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
How to Watch Türkiye vs Italy Match?
What time is Türkiye vs Italy?
Türkiye vs Italy kicks off on 28 September 2026 at 19:45 local time.
Where is Türkiye vs Italy being played?
The venue for this fixture has not yet been officially confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Türkiye vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Türkiye vs Italy will be confirmed closer to the fixture date.