ToffeeWeb - Season 2009-10

The Mail Bag

Hopes of the 09-10 Season Part 2

19 games played, that's half of 38 if anyone was wondering and that means we have played half the season. Right now we have 22 points.

At this point last season we had 27 points and had played 7 games against the 7 teams I feel we should be the in the mix with... Man U, Liverpool, City, Spurs, Villa, Arsenal, Chelsea. We accumulated 8 pts from those 7 fixtures... This season, we have played 6 matches against these 7 teams and have... 3 pts.

The second half of last season saw us get 5 pts from the remaining 7 games against those 7 teams and finish with 63 pts. 36 pts from the last 19 fixtures. Finishing with 13 pts from the 14 games against those 7 teams.

My point, if I have one, is that to equal anywhere near our record last season... which sadly I still think is possible... we need to do 5 pts better in the second half of the season which would be 41 pts.

Being optimistic, we have 6 of the remaining 8 games against these top teams coming in the next 2 months and we are in good form with players returning and joining on loan. If we get 10 pts out of these 6 games than we've already equaled our points total against them last season with 2 of those games to go.

If we can somehow manage wins against Sunderland and Wigan in January as well (bear with me) than we would have 16 points added on to our current total of 22 for a total of 38 points... with 25 points to go and 11 fixtures to accumulate them, that do not look too intimidating if we are performing well at this point. I do realize that is 25 out of 33 points. But I am just trying to be optimistic.

Realistically we will come up short but I still have hopes of 7th place which in the past few seasons has been 6-10 points less than 5th place and if this post is helpful at all I think it at least shows 7th could be possible. COYB!
Joey Brown, Los Angeles, CA, USA Posted 29/12/2009 at 00:57:22

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Keith Glazzard
1 Posted 29/12/2009 at 15:05:46

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Well Joey, I hope you are at the very least correct in your prediction. At the moment, even though performances are much better, and 11th this morning, I think I would still happily take 7th, pack up and go home.

The thing is that the PL looks like a different country this season. Now, I haven’t - as you might put it - done the math, but isn’t the division going to be much more compressed this coming May? How many points to win it? How many for safety? And so how many to take any particular position? This could be a season when goal difference might really be worth a point, and a potentially crucial one at that.

If anyone has a more evidence based assessment of how this season is panning out for all 20 clubs than my impression of it I would be happy to read their thoughts.

Joey, perhaps this task could keep you out of mischief for the next few evenings, but thanks for your work so far anyway.

Brian Waring
2 Posted 29/12/2009 at 20:10:30

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Joey, one game at a time, mate. After all, we are talking about Everton.

Kunal Desai
3 Posted 29/12/2009 at 21:01:57

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Joey - I think you’ll find at the half way stage last season we had 29 points. (Won 8, drawn 5, and lost 6).

Sunderland are fading and I think Birmingham will too as the season goes on. We’ll end up fighting it out with Fulham for that 8th/9th position I believe.

Matthew Salem
4 Posted 30/12/2009 at 00:13:04

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I think we should end this season respectably in the top half of the table, but unless Spurs, Villa or the Shite start losing the plot, I can’t see us getting more than 8th, which is as much use to us as 15th in terms of European Qualification. I feel all our energy should go towards runs in the Europa League and the FA Cup in addition to building a strong squad in preperation of the next season and last but not least to finding that elusive Arab or Russian who is willing to shell out some dosh. COYB!!!

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