Carabao Cup
AFC Bournemouth
28 Oct 2026 19:45
Aston Villa
Prediction:
AFC Bournemouth to win 2.21
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AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/10/2026

Carabao Cup · 8th Finals
28 Oct 2026 Vitality Stadium Louis Hecq

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
1xBet2.213.583.25View Odds
Stake2.273.502.80View Odds
Our prediction
1X: Double Chance AFC Bournemouth or Draw
2.21 on 1xBet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 27 Oct 2026 at 01:21 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 8th Finals
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT
Stadium: Vitality Stadium

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Preview

Bournemouth welcome Aston Villa to the Vitality Stadium for this Carabao Cup last-sixteen tie in strong spirits. The Cherries have won three of their last five matches, including back-to-back victories most recently, and their home form has been a genuine asset this season. Playing under the lights at the Vitality, Andoni Iraola's side will fancy their chances of progressing, particularly given they are rated as slight favourites by the market at 2.21.

Aston Villa arrive on the south coast carrying impressive momentum of their own, having won four of their last five outings with only a draw breaking the sequence. Unai Emery's squad possess quality across every department and will not treat this fixture lightly. Villa have historically enjoyed success against Bournemouth, winning two of the last four meetings between the sides, though two draws in that same run suggest the Cherries can frustrate them on their day.

Bournemouth's home form heading into this fixture reads three wins from their last five, and that resilience at the Vitality Stadium makes them a tricky proposition for any visiting side. Villa arrive with four wins from five, which is impressive, but cup football at a compact, hostile ground tends to level the playing field. The home side's pricing at 2.21 reflects a slight edge that feels justified by recent domestic performances.

The head-to-head record across four recent meetings tilts towards Villa with two victories, yet the remaining two encounters finished level, including a 1-1 stalemate. That pattern suggests Bournemouth are capable of frustrating Unai Emery's side even when not at their sharpest. A double chance covering a Bournemouth win or draw captures both of those realistic scenarios, with the home price at 2.21 and the draw at 3.58 offering the framework.

Backing the 1X double chance at a combined implied probability of around 67% represents solid coverage for this cup fixture. Bournemouth's defensive organisation at home and Villa's occasional inconsistency on the road both support this selection. The Cherries do not need to dominate; holding firm and capitalising on set pieces or transitions could be enough to keep this result within our favour.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Trends to Know about AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

  • Bournemouth won three of last five
  • Half of recent H2H ended drawn
  • Villa dropped points once in five

Form & Statistics: AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

AFC Bournemouth

Recent form

WWWWL
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.2Total goals
50%Both teams score
2Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Aston Villa

Recent form

WWWWD
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

3.3Total goals
58%Both teams score
2Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded
StatisticAFC BournemouthAston Villa
Last 5 results4W 1L·4W 1D
Avg goals scored2.0·2.0
Avg goals conceded1.2·1.3
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·1/5
H2H, last 4 meetings0 AFC Bournemouth · 2 Draws · 2 Aston Villa

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Head-to-Head

AFC Bournemouth 0 % Draws 50 % Aston Villa 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.3Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.5Home goals
0.8Away goals
25%Over 2.5 goals
75%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Match?

What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa kicks off at 19:45 local time on 28 October 2026 at the Vitality Stadium.

Where is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa being played?

This Carabao Cup clash takes place at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, England.

How Can I Watch AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa on TV and Live Stream?

This Carabao Cup fixture will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.