World Cup

Germany

29 Jun 2026 21:30

Paraguay

Prediction:

Germany to win 1.36

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Germany vs Paraguay Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/06/2026

World Cup · Round of 32

Our prediction

1: Germany to win

1.36 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 28 Jun 2026 at 10:41 · Odds are subject to change

Germany vs Paraguay Preview

Germany topped their group with four wins from five matches, scoring 18 goals in a devastating attacking run. Yet their final group fixture brought a 2-1 defeat to Ecuador, exposing defensive vulnerabilities that Julian Nagelsmann will be eager to address. Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz have underperformed in recent outings, with substitute Deniz Undav emerging as the side's leading scorer. Nathaniel Brown is expected to be fit after recovering from a muscular problem.

Paraguay qualified as one of the best third-placed sides, a remarkable recovery after a heavy opening defeat to the USA. Gustavo Alfaro's men responded with consecutive clean sheets against Turkey and Australia, demonstrating genuine defensive resilience. The return of Miguel Almirón from suspension is expected to fundamentally alter their attacking dynamic. Omar Alderete is a minor doubt following a knee injury, though the defender is expected to be available for this knockout stage encounter in Boston.

Germany's home win at 1.36 represents the standout selection here. Die Mannschaft topped Group E and have won four of their last five outings, averaging well over two expected goals per match. Paraguay, by contrast, scraped through as a best third-placed side with two wins and two defeats from their group stage. The gulf in quality and momentum makes a German victory the most logical outcome.

The return of Miguel Almirón bolsters Paraguay's attacking options, yet their overall output of eight goals across the group phase pales beside Germany's 18. Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz will be eager to silence critics after quiet recent displays, and the knockout format should sharpen their focus. Backing over 2.5 goals at 1.70 looks justified given Germany's prolific scoring rate.

Paraguay kept consecutive clean sheets against Turkey and Australia, showing genuine defensive resolve under Gustavo Alfaro. That resilience, combined with Almirón's creativity, suggests they can trouble a German backline that conceded twice against Ecuador. Both teams to score at 2.10 carries appeal as a supplementary pick, reflecting the likelihood that Paraguay will find the net even if they ultimately fall short of progressing.

Trends to Know about Germany vs Paraguay

• Germany scored 18 goals in five matches
• Paraguay kept two consecutive clean sheets
• Germany won four of last five fixtures

A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes this last-32 encounter, with Germany's midfield diamond hinging on the creative interplay between Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz in the half-spaces. Kai Havertz leads the line as the focal point, supported by width from Leroy Sané on the right.

Paraguay arrive with genuine attacking intent of their own, and the return of Miguel Almirón from suspension adds a significant threat on the counter. Gustavo Gómez will need to organise a back four that faces considerable pressure, with Omar Alderete's fitness still a concern heading into kickoff.

How to Watch Germany vs Paraguay Match?

What time is Germany vs Paraguay?

Germany vs Paraguay kicks off at Boston Stadium on 29 June 2026 at 21:30 BST.

Where is Germany vs Paraguay being played?

This World Cup Round of 32 fixture takes place at Boston Stadium in the United States.

How Can I Watch Germany vs Paraguay on TV and Live Stream?

This match will be broadcast on major sports networks; check local listings for coverage details.