Serie A

Venezia

11 Sep 2026 19:45

Fiorentina

Prediction:

Fiorentina to win 2.40

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Venezia vs Fiorentina Predictions, Picks & Odds – 11/09/2026

Serie A · 4

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Venezia or Draw

2.80 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 10 Sep 2026 at 02:06 · Odds are subject to change

Venezia vs Fiorentina Preview

Venezia sit 19th in Serie A under Giovanni Stroppa, having managed just one win from their last four outings. That solitary victory offers a slender thread of hope, but defensive fragility and a lack of cutting edge in attack remain persistent concerns. The Stadio Pierluigi Penzo faithful will demand a response in this basement fixture, and home advantage could prove decisive against a side in even deeper trouble.

Fiorentina prop up the entire division in 20th place, a dire start that has heaped pressure on Fabio Grosso. Four defeats in five matches tell a grim story, with seven goals conceded across the opening two rounds exposing a backline in disarray. Significant summer recruitment has yet to translate into cohesion on the pitch, and the squad still appears to be searching for any semblance of a settled identity.

The double chance in favour of Venezia, covering a home win or draw, represents the sharpest angle here. Fiorentina have shipped seven goals across two matches, the worst defensive record in the division, and Fabio Grosso's side are still searching for cohesion after a summer of heavy squad turnover. Venezia's home advantage at the Penzo should prove decisive against opponents in such disarray, with the home price at 2.80 reflecting that vulnerability.

Historically, Venezia hold a slight edge in recent top-flight meetings, winning two of the last four encounters, including a 2-1 success in May 2025. That record bolsters the case for backing the hosts to avoid defeat. The draw at 3.50 offers additional cover, given that both sides lack the attacking quality to pull away convincingly. This is a fixture shaped by fragility rather than firepower.

Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 merits consideration as a supporting selection. Despite Fiorentina's leaky rearguard, Venezia's own offensive output has been unconvincing, and basement clashes of this nature tend to produce cagey, low-scoring affairs. Both teams to score at 1.62 remains plausible but carries risk given Venezia's limited creativity in the final third.

Trends to Know about Venezia vs Fiorentina

• Fiorentina conceded seven goals in two matches
• Venezia won two of last four meetings
• Both sides occupy bottom two positions

How to Watch Venezia vs Fiorentina Match?

What time is Venezia vs Fiorentina?

Venezia host Fiorentina at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on Wednesday 11 September 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 BST.

Where is Venezia vs Fiorentina being played?

This fixture takes place at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venice, Venezia's historic home ground.

How Can I Watch Venezia vs Fiorentina on TV and Live Stream?

Venezia vs Fiorentina will be broadcast on BT Sport and available to stream via the BT Sport app.