UEFA Nations League

Portugal

24 Sep 2026 19:45

Wales

Prediction:

Portugal to win 1.22

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Portugal vs Wales Predictions, Picks & Odds – 24/09/2026

UEFA Nations League · 1

Our prediction

1: Portugal to win

1.22 on Betfred · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 22 Sep 2026 at 23:12 · Odds are subject to change

Portugal vs Wales Preview

Portugal enter this Nations League campaign as defending champions, having lifted the trophy in both 2019 and 2025. Their home record across the last ten fixtures is remarkable: nine wins and a single draw with no defeats. Jorge Jesus takes charge for his first competitive match, inheriting a squad brimming with quality. Cristiano Ronaldo, now 41, has silenced retirement talk by earning selection once more, adding experience to an already formidable attacking lineup.

Wales return to League A after securing promotion, though their recent form offers little encouragement. Four matches without a victory, including three consecutive draws and a defeat, suggest Craig Bellamy's side will need a significant uplift in performance. Key injuries have further weakened the squad, yet midfielder Jordan James insists Wales carry a "puncher's chance" of springing a surprise. Bellamy himself faced distractions over the summer amid links to Burnley, adding unwelcome noise to preparations.

Portugal's home record over their last ten matches reads nine wins and a single draw with no defeats, a formidable platform on which to build a title defence. Their defensive solidity stands out: just two goals conceded across the last five outings, with two clean sheets recorded. Backing the home win at 1.22 reflects that dominance and the gulf in quality between these two sides at this level.

Wales arrive with a stuttering recent run of one draw after another, having managed just a solitary win in their last five fixtures across all competitions. Key absences compound their difficulties, and while Jordan James spoke of a "puncher's chance," the statistics paint a bleak picture for Craig Bellamy's side. Under 2.5 goals at 2.45 appeals given Portugal's miserly defensive record and Wales's limited attacking output.

Jorge Jesus takes charge of his first competitive match, inheriting a squad brimming with talent and led by the evergreen Cristiano Ronaldo. The 41-year-old's inclusion silences retirement talk and adds a clinical edge to an already potent attack. Both teams to score "no" at 1.62 complements the home win selection, reflecting Portugal's capacity to shut opponents out entirely in Lisbon.

Trends to Know about Portugal vs Wales

• Portugal unbeaten in ten home matches
• Wales winless in last four outings
• Portugal conceded just two goals recently

A mirror image of formations sets the stage here, with both sides lining up in a 4-3-3. Portugal's structure allows Bruno Fernandes to operate as the creative fulcrum behind Cristiano Ronaldo, whose presence at the tip of the attack will demand constant attention from a Welsh defensive line led by the experienced Ben Davies.

Wales will look to frustrate through compact midfield shape, with Ethan Ampadu and Jordan James tasked with disrupting Portugal's fluid interchanges. Brennan Johnson offers the visitors their most potent outlet on the break, though Rob Page's side face a considerable step up in quality against a Portuguese front three of genuine international pedigree.

How to Watch Portugal vs Wales Match?

What time is Portugal vs Wales?

Portugal vs Wales kicks off at 19:45 local time on Wednesday, 24 September 2026.

Where is Portugal vs Wales being played?

The venue for Portugal vs Wales is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Portugal vs Wales on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Portugal vs Wales have not yet been confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.