Iceland
Estonia
>Iceland vs Estonia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 26/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 1Iceland vs Estonia – Best bets of the match
Iceland vs Estonia Preview
Iceland open their Nations League C campaign in desperate need of a turnaround. Their recent record reads poorly: no victories in the last five outings, with two draws and three defeats. Eleven goals conceded across that stretch points to serious defensive fragility. The loss of first-choice goalkeeper Elías Rafn Ólafsson to injury only compounds matters, with Anton Ari Einarsson stepping in as replacement. Home advantage offers some comfort, but confidence is clearly lacking.
Estonia, by contrast, arrive in considerably better shape, having claimed three wins from their last five fixtures. That momentum could prove significant in what is a tight group alongside Bulgaria and Luxembourg. History between these sides favours caution; three of their four previous meetings ended level. The extended September international window, running through to early October, may influence squad management, though Estonia will fancy their chances of frustrating a struggling Icelandic side from the outset.
Iceland's double chance selection rests on historical precedent: three of the four previous meetings between these sides ended level, suggesting tight, low-scoring encounters are the norm. Despite a poor run of two draws and two defeats in their last four home outings, Iceland retain a pricing advantage at 1.25 that reflects their expected quality edge on home soil.
Estonia arrive with genuine momentum, having claimed three victories in their last five fixtures, yet their away record tells a different story with a loss and a draw from recent travels. The absence of first-choice goalkeeper Elías Rafn Ólafsson adds uncertainty to Iceland's defensive setup, though the hosts should still possess enough to avoid defeat in a group opener.
Backing the home or draw outcome covers the likeliest scenarios. Iceland's defensive frailties, having conceded eleven goals across five matches, make a clean home win far from certain, but Estonia's struggles on the road limit their chances of a smash-and-grab. The draw price at 5.00 offers additional context for the value in this selection.
Trends to Know about Iceland vs Estonia
- Iceland winless in last five matches
- Three of four past meetings drawn
- Estonia won three of last five
Form & Statistics: Iceland vs Estonia
Iceland
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Estonia
Recent form
Season statistics (1)
How to Watch Iceland vs Estonia Match?
What time is Iceland vs Estonia?
Iceland vs Estonia kicks off on 26 September 2026 at 17:00 BST.
Where is Iceland vs Estonia being played?
The confirmed venue for this fixture is still to be determined by the host federation.
How Can I Watch Iceland vs Estonia on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Iceland vs Estonia have not yet been confirmed by UEFA or local rights holders.