Luxembourg vs Iceland Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/09/2026

UEFA Nations League · 2

29 Sep 2026 Louis Hecq

Luxembourg vs Iceland – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bonus info
Betfred	3.00	3.25	2.25	View odds
Ladbrokes	3.40	2.15	2.87	View Odds
Coral	3.40	2.15	2.87	View Odds
BoyleSports	2.88	3.25	2.30	View odds
William Hill	2.90	3.10	2.30	View Odds

Our prediction

1: Luxembourg to win

3.00 on Betfred

· Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 28 Sep 2026 at 10:03 · Odds are subject to change

Luxembourg vs Iceland Preview

Luxembourg approach this Nations League fixture brimming with confidence after a spirited 2-1 comeback victory away to Bulgaria on Matchday 1. Jeff Strasser's side have won four of their last six outings, a run that has transformed them from perennial whipping boys into genuine contenders in League C. The loss of Danel Sinani to injury is a concern, though teenager Hamza Kadamani's emergence offers fresh attacking options.

Iceland's difficulties show little sign of easing. Arnar Gunnlaugsson's men are winless in seven consecutive matches across all competitions, managing only a 1-1 draw against Estonia in their opener. A chronic lack of cutting edge remains their defining problem; they have failed to score in five of their last eleven fixtures. Andri Gudjohnsen found the net against Estonia, but confidence within the squad appears fragile heading into this encounter.

Recommended Bets

	Betfred	Ladbrokes	Coral
Luxembourg to win	3.00	3.40	3.40
Under 2.5	·	1.70	1.70
BTTS Yes	1.83	1.80	1.80

Odds recorded on 28 Sep 2026 at 10:03 · Odds are subject to change

Luxembourg's recent trajectory makes the home win at 3.00 a compelling selection. Jeff Strasser's side have won four of their last six matches, and that comeback in Bulgaria demonstrated real character. Iceland, by contrast, remain winless in seven consecutive outings and have failed to score in five of their last eleven fixtures. The hosts carry genuine momentum into this encounter.

Iceland's bluntness in attack is a recurring theme. While Andri Gudjohnsen found the net against Estonia, Arnar Gunnlaugsson's men lack consistent firepower. Luxembourg previously dismantled Iceland 3-1 during Euro 2024 qualifying, and the confidence gap between these two sides has only widened since. Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 also warrants consideration given Iceland's scoring difficulties.

The both teams to score: no market at 1.83 offers additional value. Iceland's chronic inability to find the net, combined with Luxembourg's defensive organisation under Strasser, suggests the visitors could draw another blank. A tight, low-scoring home victory feels the likeliest outcome in this Group 4 clash with significant promotion implications for both sides.

Odds correct at time of publication.