UEFA Nations League

Finland

03 Oct 2026 14:00

Albania

Prediction:

Finland to win 2.30

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Finland vs Albania Predictions, Picks & Odds – 03/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 3

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Finland or Draw

2.30 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 01 Oct 2026 at 15:46 · Odds are subject to change

Finland vs Albania Preview

Finland sit second in League C Group 1 with four points from their opening two fixtures, having kept clean sheets in both outings. Jacob Friis's side have built unusual stability for an international window, with the core XI remaining virtually unchanged. The return of Glen Kamara and Lucas Bergstrom in September bolstered their options considerably. Two successive losses in their broader form sequence temper enthusiasm, but the home setting should suit them.

Albania arrive as group leaders on six points, boasting a perfect start to their Nations League campaign without conceding. Rolando Maran's settled squad faces disruption, however, with midfielder Qazim Laçi ruled out through a thigh injury; Feta Fetai steps in as his replacement. Like their hosts, Albania's wider form reads poorly with back-to-back defeats outside this competition. That defensive resilience will be tested on the road against a Finnish side who hold a strong historical record in this fixture.

Finland's historical dominance over Albania is striking: four wins, one draw, and just two defeats across seven meetings, with Albania's sole victory coming over four decades ago. That kind of record weighs heavily, particularly when the hosts are competing on home soil. With both sides yet to concede in this Nations League campaign, a tight, low-scoring affair looks probable, making the home or draw selection at 2.30 a sound foundation.

Albania will be without midfielder Qazim Laçi, ruled out through a thigh injury, and his absence weakens their midfield creativity. Finland, by contrast, benefit from remarkable squad continuity; coach Jacob Friis has a settled XI with the likes of Glen Kamara and Lucas Bergstrom back in the fold. That stability gives the hosts an edge in cohesion that visiting sides often struggle to match during international windows.

Both defences have been resolute so far, and under 2.5 goals at 1.57 complements the primary pick neatly. Albania lead the group on six points, so they will not approach this passively, yet their attacking threat diminishes without Laçi pulling strings. Finland's home advantage and superior head-to-head pedigree make the double chance covering a home win or draw the value selection here.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Finland vs Albania

• Finland unbeaten in last five head-to-heads
• Neither side conceded in group yet
• Albania without a win here since 1980

Both sides line up in a 4-3-3, setting the stage for a tactically symmetrical contest in Helsinki. Joel Pohjanpalo leads the Finnish attack, with Glen Kamara providing the midfield engine, while Albania's shape mirrors Finland's almost identically, promising a closely contested midfield battle from the first whistle.

Albania's probable XI is drawn from a single source, so a degree of caution is warranted there, whereas Finland's selection carries slightly broader backing. Armando Broja offers the visitors a physical focal point up front, and how the two central defensive units cope with their respective centre-forwards could prove the defining factor.

How to Watch Finland vs Albania Match?

What time is Finland vs Albania?

Finland vs Albania kicks off at 14:00 BST on Saturday 3 October 2026.

Where is Finland vs Albania being played?

The venue for Finland vs Albania has yet to be confirmed and will be announced in due course.

How Can I Watch Finland vs Albania on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Finland vs Albania will be confirmed closer to the fixture date.