World Cup

Mexico

06 Jul 2026 00:00

England

Prediction:

England to win 2.40

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Mexico vs England Predictions, Picks & Odds – 06/07/2026

World Cup · Round of 16

Our prediction

X2: Double Chance Draw or England

2.40 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 04 Jul 2026 at 05:22 · Odds are subject to change

Mexico vs England Preview

Mexico arrive at this Round of 16 clash in imperious form, having swept through the group stage with three wins from three and not a single goal conceded. Javier Aguirre’s side dispatched Ecuador in the last round, with the returning Raúl Jiménez leading the line after being rested earlier. Playing at the Estadio Azteca, with its punishing altitude and fervent home support, gives El Tri a formidable edge few opponents relish confronting.

England progressed courtesy of Harry Kane’s second-half brace against DR Congo, though the manner of that comeback, trailing at the interval, exposed familiar vulnerabilities. Thomas Tuchel faces a genuine crisis at right-back: Reece James and Jarell Quansah are both injured, Tino Livramento has withdrawn entirely, and Djed Spence is set to deputise. Declan Rice should be available despite a late substitution for a calf complaint, while Bukayo Saka is expected to return to the starting eleven.

Mexico’s defensive record is the standout statistic heading into this fixture. Three consecutive clean sheets in the group stage, combined with the advantage of playing at altitude in Mexico City, make El Tri a formidable proposition on home soil. England, by contrast, needed two second-half Harry Kane goals to overturn a deficit against DR Congo, exposing vulnerabilities that a well-organised Mexican side will look to exploit.

England’s right-back crisis is significant. With Reece James, Jarell Quansah, and Tino Livramento all unavailable, Djed Spence is set to deputise in a position that demands both defensive discipline and attacking output. Against a Mexican side brimming with confidence and backed by a ferocious home crowd, that is a considerable ask. The altitude factor should not be underestimated either.

The X2 double chance selection, covering a draw or an England victory, reflects the value available at 2.40 for the away win. England remain favourites despite their defensive concerns, and Kane’s tournament pedigree speaks for itself. Mexico’s perfect record merits respect, yet knockout football often rewards experience. Backing England not to lose offers a balanced approach that accounts for both sides’ strengths.

Trends to Know about Mexico vs England

• Mexico: three group clean sheets recorded
• England’s right-back crisis limits defensive depth
• Kane scored twice to rescue Round of 32

A 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 sets up a fascinating tactical contest in this World Cup round of 16 tie. Mexico will look to press high and use the width of their front three, while England’s double pivot, anchored by Declan Rice, is designed to absorb that pressure and transition quickly.

For England, Jude Bellingham operating in the number ten role behind Harry Kane will be central to unlocking a disciplined Mexican defensive block. At the other end, Raúl Jiménez leads the line for the hosts, and his aerial presence and hold-up play could prove a persistent nuisance for an England back four that will need to remain organised throughout.

How to Watch Mexico vs England Match?

What time is Mexico vs England?

Mexico vs England kicks off at the Estadio Azteca on 6 July 2026 at 01:00 BST.

Where is Mexico vs England being played?

This match will be played at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City.

How Can I Watch Mexico vs England on TV and Live Stream?

Check your local listings for live coverage of Mexico vs England on television and streaming platforms.