Greece vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 07/06/2026
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Greece enter this friendly at the Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis in a reflective mood, having missed out on the 2026 World Cup. Coach Ivan Jovanovic's side drew 2-2 with Sweden last time out, rescued by a late Giorgos Masouras equaliser. Jovanovic acknowledged lapses in concentration and positional discipline, though he took encouragement from experimenting with a three-at-the-back system. The hosts are keen to use this fixture as genuine preparation for a demanding Nations League campaign ahead.
Italy arrive in Crete amid what many have labelled an uncomfortable reset. Interim coach Silvio Baldini has selected a remarkably young and inexperienced squad, with Gianluigi Donnarumma the sole player boasting significant senior international pedigree. The Azzurri edged past Luxembourg 1-0 in their previous outing courtesy of Francesco Pio Esposito's strike. Greece are reportedly frustrated that Italy have effectively sent their Under-21 contingent rather than a full-strength side for this encounter.
Greece's frustration at facing what amounts to Italy's Under-21 side is understandable, but it also tilts this fixture firmly in the hosts' favour. Ivan Jovanovic's men drew with Sweden last time out and will view this as an opportunity to build momentum ahead of a demanding Nations League campaign.
Italy's interim coach Silvio Baldini has assembled a squad almost entirely devoid of senior international experience, with Gianluigi Donnarumma the sole exception. A narrow victory over Luxembourg hardly inspires confidence that this experimental group can handle a motivated Greek side on home soil.
The 1X double chance represents the strongest value here. With the home win priced at 2.00 and the draw at 3.30, backing Greece to avoid defeat looks well-founded given Italy's youth-heavy selection and transitional state. This is a rebuilding exercise for the Azzurri, not a results-driven mission. 18+
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Trends to Know about Greece vs Italy
- Italy fielding inexperienced, experimental youth squad
- Greece drew late against Sweden recently
- Hosts seeking response after disappointing qualifying run
Form & Statistics: Greece vs Italy
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (1)
Lineups: Greece vs Italy
Greece
Starters
- 1 Konstantis Tzolakis
- 2 Giorgos Vagiannidis
- 3 Panagiotis Retsos
- 4 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 5 Kostas Tsimikas
- 6 Dimitrios Kourbelis
- 7 Christos Zafeiris
- 8 Christos Mouzakitis
- 9 Giorgos Masouras
- 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
- 11 Christos Tzolis
Bench
- Odisseas Vlachodimos
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Lazaros Rota
- Nectarios Triantis
- Anastasios Douvikas
- David Tetteh
- Charalampos Kostoulas
Absent
- Fotis Ioannidis (injury)
- Tasos Bakasetas (injury)
- Kostas Karetsas (injury)
Italy
Starters
- 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 2 Costantino Favasuli
- 3 Pietro Comuzzo
- 4 Fabio Chiarodia
- 5 Davide Bartesaghi
- 6 Niccolò Pisilli
- 7 Luca Lipani
- 8 Cher Ndour
- 9 Seydou Fini
- 10 Francesco Pio Esposito
- 11 Luca Koleosho
Bench
- Luigi Cherubini
- Samuele Inacio
- Matteo Dagasso
- Tommaso Berti
- Francesco Camarda
- Jeff Ekhator
- Davide Bartesaghi
Absent
- Lorenzo Venturino (withdrew from squad)
Medium confidence
Both sides line up in a 4-3-3 formation, setting the stage for a mirror-image tactical contest in Athens. Greece will lean on the experience of Vangelis Pavlidis to lead the press and provide a focal point, while Italy's youthful midfield trio will look to control the tempo.
Luciano Spalletti has opted for a heavily rotated, experimental squad, giving minutes to several emerging talents, and Gianluigi Donnarumma remains the one senior anchor behind an otherwise inexperienced defensive line. This friendly offers both coaches a genuine opportunity to assess depth ahead of the Nations League and World Cup qualifying campaigns.
Greece vs Italy: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
How to Watch Greece vs Italy Match?
What time is Greece vs Italy?
Greece vs Italy kicks off at 20:00 local time on Sunday 7 June 2026.
Where is Greece vs Italy being played?
This friendly takes place at the Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis in Heraklion, Crete.
How Can I Watch Greece vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Greece vs Italy have not yet been confirmed; check local listings closer to kickoff. 18+
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