World Cup
Sweden
15 Jun 2026 03:00
Tunisia
Prediction:
Home win 1.86
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Sweden vs Tunisia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 15/06/2026

World Cup · 1
15 Jun 2026 Monterrey Stadium Louis Hecq

Best odds to bet on Sweden vs Tunisia

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Sweden or Draw
1.86 on LiveScore Bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 12 Jun 2026 at 23:58 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: World Cup
Stage: Group Stage, 1
Date: 15 Jun 2026
Time: 03:00 BST
Stadium: Monterrey Stadium

Sweden vs Tunisia Preview

Sweden's route to this World Cup was anything but straightforward, requiring a Nations League lifeline and dramatic playoff victories over Ukraine and Poland after finishing bottom of their qualifying group. Under Graham Potter, the side have adopted a more proactive, possession-driven approach, and recent form reflects growing confidence with two wins from their last four outings. Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak provide genuine firepower, though a leaky defence that has conceded in eleven consecutive matches remains a concern.

Tunisia arrive at their seventh World Cup still chasing a maiden knockout stage appearance. Coach Sabri Lamouchi has overseen a significant squad refresh since his January appointment, recalling Rani Khedira while several veterans from the Africa Cup of Nations campaign are absent. Their qualifying record was remarkable, progressing without conceding a single goal, yet a sobering 5-0 friendly defeat to Belgium has raised questions about their readiness at this level. Recent form reads one win from four.

Sweden arrive in Monterrey as slight favourites at 1.86, and with good reason. Viktor Gyökeres has been prolific, contributing thirteen goals in recent competitive fixtures, while Alexander Isak adds further cutting edge. Graham Potter's shift towards a possession-based, attacking philosophy has transformed this side, though a run of eleven consecutive matches conceding suggests vulnerability at the back.

Tunisia's defensive credentials demand respect. Sabri Lamouchi's men navigated an entire qualifying campaign without conceding a single goal, a remarkable achievement for a side seeking their first ever knockout stage appearance at a World Cup. Yet the 5-0 friendly defeat to Belgium exposed frailties, and significant squad turnover, with experienced heads like Sassi, Meriah and the retired Sliti all absent, raises questions about cohesion.

The double chance 1X represents the value pick here, covered by the home price at 1.86. Sweden's superior attacking firepower should prove decisive, but Tunisia's disciplined structure could well force a draw. Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 also merits consideration given Tunisia's defensive instincts. Betting involves risk of loss. Only bet what you can afford to lose.

Trends to Know about Sweden vs Tunisia

  • Sweden scored in six consecutive matches
  • Tunisia kept clean sheets throughout qualifying
  • Sweden conceded in eleven straight fixtures

Form & Statistics: Sweden vs Tunisia

Sweden

Recent form

DLWW
Wins2/4 (50%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses1/4 (25%)

Season statistics (4)

3.7Total goals
53%Both teams score
2.4Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Tunisia

Recent form

LLDW
Wins1/4 (25%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses2/4 (50%)

Season statistics (4)

2.4Total goals
47%Both teams score
1.2Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded
StatisticSwedenTunisia
Last 5 results2W 1D 1L·1W 1D 2L
Avg goals scored2.4·1.2
Avg goals conceded1.3·1.2
Under 2.5 (last 5)0/4·3/4
Probable lineup

Lineups: Sweden vs Tunisia

Sweden

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Viktor Johansson
  2. 2 Victor Lindelof
  3. 3 Isak Hien
  4. 4 Gustaf Lagerbielke
  5. 5 Hjalmar Ekdal
  6. 6 Mattias Svanberg
  7. 7 Jesper Karlstrom
  8. 8 Daniel Svensson
  9. 9 Alexander Isak
  10. 10 Anthony Elanga
  11. 11 Viktor Gyokeres
  • Kristoffer Nordfeldt
  • Jacob Widell Zetterström
  • Hjalmar Ekdal
  • Eric Smith
  • Carl Starfelt
  • Elliot Stroud
  • Yasin Ayari
  • Lucas Bergvall
  • Benjamin Nygren
  • Ken Sema
  • Besfort Zeneli
  • Taha Ali
  • Alexander Bernhardsson
  • Gustaf Nilsson
  • Dejan Kulusevski (knee surgery setbacks, hasn't played since May last year)

Tunisia

3-5-2
  1. 1 Aymen Dahmen
  2. 2 Montassar Talbi
  3. 3 Dylan Bronn
  4. 4 Ali Abdi
  5. 5 Yan Valery
  6. 6 Ellyes Skhiri
  7. 7 Hannibal Mejbri
  8. 8 Anis Ben Slimane
  9. 9 Moutaz Neffati
  10. 10 Elias Achouri
  11. 11 Elias Saad
  • Sabri Ben Hassan
  • Abdelmouhib Chamakh
  • Omar Rekik
  • Adem Arous
  • Raed Chikhaoui
  • Rani Khedira
  • Hadj Mahmoud
  • Ismaël Gharbi
  • Mortadha Ben Ouanes
  • Khalil Ayari
  • Firas Chaouat
  • Rayan Elloumi
  • Hazem Mastouri
  • Sebastian Tounekti

Medium confidence

A 3-4-2-1 against a 3-5-2 sets up a fascinating battle of matching defensive structures, with Sweden's width likely to be the key variable. Viktor Gyökeres leads the line supported by Alexander Isak and Anthony Elanga, giving Janne Andersson's side genuine pace and creativity in the final third.

Tunisia mirror Sweden's back three with a compact 3-5-2 of their own, and Hannibal Mejbri will be central to their ability to control the midfield zone and transition quickly. Both lineups carry similar confidence levels from multiple credible sources, so the tactical picture ahead of this World Cup opener is reasonably clear.

How to Watch Sweden vs Tunisia Match?

What time is Sweden vs Tunisia?

Sweden vs Tunisia kicks off at Monterrey Stadium on 15 June 2026 at 03:00 BST.

Where is Sweden vs Tunisia being played?

This World Cup Group Stage fixture takes place at the Monterrey Stadium in Mexico.

How Can I Watch Sweden vs Tunisia on TV and Live Stream?

Sweden vs Tunisia will be broadcast live on BBC and ITV in the United Kingdom.