Paraguay vs France Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/07/2026

World Cup · Round of 16

04 Jul 2026 Philadelphia Stadium Louis Hecq

Paraguay vs France – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bonus info
Betfred	15.00	6.50	1.20	View odds
William Hill	13.00	6.00	1.20	View Odds
Smarkets	22.99	7.60	1.20	View Odds
Matchbook	23.00	7.60	1.20	View Odds
Coral	10.00	2.80	1.55	View Odds

Our prediction

2: France to win

1.20 on Betfred

· Confidence High

Odds recorded on 03 Jul 2026 at 02:12 · Odds are subject to change

Paraguay vs France Preview

Paraguay’s remarkable run as the tournament’s Cinderella side continues after they stunned four-time champions Germany on penalties in the Round of 32. Gustavo Alfaro’s men have shown resilience throughout, finishing third in their group with a mixed sequence of results that included two draws and a defeat. Julio Enciso’s fitness remains a concern following his collision with a pitch-side advertising board, though the wider squad appears intact for this historic knockout fixture.

France arrive in Philadelphia as overwhelming favourites, having won four of their last five matches and topped their group with ruthless efficiency. Their 3-0 demolition of Sweden in the Round of 32 underlined their credentials, with Kylian Mbappé now on six goals in four appearances, tying Lionel Messi’s tournament lead. Michael Olise has contributed five assists, the most by any player at a single World Cup since 1994, and Didier Deschamps’ return to the dugout has steadied the ship further.

	Betfred	William Hill	Smarkets
Paraguay to win	15.00	13.00	22.99
BTTS Yes	2.62	2.38	·

France arrive in Philadelphia with four wins from five matches, having plundered 13 goals while conceding just two. That record alone makes the away win at 1.20 the standout selection. Kylian Mbappé has been devastating, netting six times in four outings to lead the tournament scoring charts, and Michael Olise’s five assists represent the highest single-tournament tally by any player at a World Cup since 1994.

Paraguay showed tremendous heart to eliminate Germany, yet their broader form tells a different story. Two draws and a defeat in the group stage reveal a side that has struggled to impose itself over ninety minutes. France dismantled Sweden 3-0 in the last round, and with Didier Deschamps back at the helm following compassionate leave, Les Bleus look settled and ruthless heading into this knockout fixture.

Given France’s prolific attack and Paraguay’s tendency to concede, over 2.5 goals at 1.60 offers genuine value alongside the away win. This is a repeat of the 1998 Round of 16, when France needed a golden goal to advance. History favours the French once more, and the current squad possesses far greater firepower to settle matters inside regular time.