Premier League

Newcastle United

23 Aug 2026 16:30

Liverpool

Prediction:

Liverpool to win 2.00

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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Predictions, Picks & Odds – 23/08/2026

Premier League · 1

Our prediction

2: Liverpool to win

2.00 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 22 Aug 2026 at 02:15 · Odds are subject to change

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Preview

Newcastle sit eleventh after a troubled run of four defeats in their last five outings, and manager Matthias Jaissle has conceded his squad will "not be at our peak" for this fixture. Significant player turnover and a compressed pre-season have left the Magpies short of cohesion. Dan Burn takes the captain's armband, while 17-year-old academy product Mason Miley could be handed a Premier League debut at right-back.

Liverpool's third-place finish last term belies a worrying recent sequence of three consecutive defeats and two draws from their final five matches. Andoni Iraola has admitted his players lack the energy levels required for his high-intensity approach. New arrivals Jeremy Jacquet and Ronald Araujo featured in a friendly against Como, but Alexis Mac Allister and Victor Munoz may not be fully fit following extended World Cup commitments.

Liverpool's recent form reads poorly on paper, with three consecutive defeats followed by two draws, yet the underlying quality of their squad remains considerable. The away win at 2.00 represents the value selection here. Newcastle's dreadful run of four losses in five, combined with Jaissle's admission of a short preparation window and significant squad turnover, tilts the balance firmly towards the visitors despite their own fitful pre-season.

The head-to-head record reinforces that lean. Liverpool have won 23 Premier League meetings against Newcastle compared to just five for the Magpies, and three of the last five encounters ended in Reds victories. That 4-1 demolition at Anfield in January 2026 illustrated a structural gap that a disrupted Newcastle side will struggle to close on the opening weekend.

Both teams to score at 1.44 also warrants attention. Newcastle, even in difficult spells, tend to find the net at St. James' Park, while Liverpool's defensive integration of Ronald Araujo is still in its infancy. With Mac Allister and Munoz potentially lacking full match sharpness after extended summer breaks, a clean sheet looks unlikely for either side in what should be an open, transitional fixture.

Trends to Know about Newcastle United vs Liverpool

• Liverpool won 23 Premier League head-to-heads
• Newcastle lost four of last five
• Key Liverpool players lack full fitness

A 4-2-3-1 against Liverpool's 4-3-3 is the anticipated shape here, though Newcastle's XI carries a notable caveat: it remains speculated from a single source, with teenager Mason Miley at right-back a particularly uncertain call. Liverpool's probable XI, by contrast, is grounded in recent friendly minutes and corroborated by multiple outlets.

For the visitors, the midfield triangle of Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, and Florian Wirtz will be central to how Liverpool control tempo at St. James' Park. Newcastle's double pivot will need to be disciplined to contain that creativity, making the engine room the key battleground on a demanding opening-day fixture.

How to Watch Newcastle United vs Liverpool Match?

What time is Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Newcastle United welcome Liverpool to St. James' Park on Saturday 23rd August 2026, with kickoff set for 16:30 BST.

Where is Newcastle United vs Liverpool being played?

This match takes place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.

How Can I Watch Newcastle United vs Liverpool on TV and Live Stream?

This fixture will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.