Premier League
Manchester City
23 Aug 2026 14:00
AFC Bournemouth
Prediction:
Manchester City to win 1.44
View odds >

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions, Picks & Odds – 23/08/2026

Premier League · 1
23 Aug 2026 Etihad Stadium Louis Hecq

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: Manchester City to win
1.44 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 24 Aug 2026 at 12:44 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Regular Season, 1
Date: 23 Aug 2026
Time: 14:00 BST
Stadium: Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Preview

Manchester City begin the Enzo Maresca era at the Etihad with questions to answer. The hosts sit fourth after a close to last season that yielded two wins and two defeats from their final five outings. A chastening 3-0 Community Shield loss to Arsenal has hardly settled nerves, and Omar Marmoush's fitness remains uncertain after picking up a knock in that fixture. Matheus Nunes also withdrew from the squad. Maresca will demand an immediate response on home soil.

AFC Bournemouth travel north under new boss Marco Rose, whose pre-season ended with a 2-1 defeat to Mainz that exposed defensive frailties. The Cherries occupy fourteenth, their recent form a mixed bag of two draws, two wins and a draw across the last five matches. Rose expects several players, including Tyler Adams and Alex Scott, to resume training, yet five first-team members remain sidelined. Securing a first Premier League victory at the Etihad would be a landmark achievement.

Manchester City's home win at 1.44 represents the strongest value on offer here. The hosts have won 18 of 20 head-to-head meetings with Bournemouth across all competitions, and their home record over the past 30 fixtures at the Etihad shows a 77% win rate. Even with a new manager at the helm, that pedigree is difficult to overlook.

Bournemouth arrive with five first-team players sidelined, and while Marco Rose expects several to return to training, match fitness remains a genuine concern. City's 3-0 Community Shield loss to Arsenal should sharpen focus rather than diminish confidence. Maresca will demand a reaction, and a depleted visiting side offers the ideal opportunity. The over 2.5 goals line at 1.40 also appeals given City's history of scoring freely at home.

Eight of City's last ten home meetings with Bournemouth have been won by two or more goals. That pattern, combined with the Cherries' defensive vulnerabilities highlighted during pre-season, points firmly towards a comfortable afternoon for the hosts. A home victory is our primary selection, with goals expected in a match that should follow a familiar script at the Etihad.

Trends to Know about Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth

  • City boast 18 wins from 20 meetings
  • Bournemouth missing five first-team players
  • City hold 77% home win rate recently

Form & Statistics: Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth

Manchester City

Recent form

LLDWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.4Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.7Goals scored
0.7Goals conceded

AFC Bournemouth

Recent form

DDWWD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws3/5 (60%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

3.4Total goals
70%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded
StatisticManchester CityAFC Bournemouth
Last 5 results2W 1D 2L·2W 3D
Avg goals scored2.7·1.9
Avg goals conceded0.7·1.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·3/5
H2H, last 5 meetings3 Manchester City · 1 Draws · 1 AFC Bournemouth
Probable lineup

Lineups: Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth

Manchester City

4-3-3
  1. 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma
  2. 2 Abdukodir Khusanov
  3. 3 Rúben Dias
  4. 4 Joško Gvardiol
  5. 5 Nico O'Reilly
  6. 6 Elliot Anderson
  7. 7 Mateo Kovacic
  8. 8 Phil Foden
  9. 9 Antoine Semenyo
  10. 10 Erling Haaland
  11. 11 Jérémy Doku
  • Rodri (injury)
  • Jack Grealish (Foot injury, not yet match fit.)

AFC Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Đorđe Petrović
  2. 2 Adam Smith
  3. 3 James Hill
  4. 4 António Silva
  5. 5 Adrien Truffert
  6. 6 Lewis Cook
  7. 7 Alex Scott
  8. 8 Rayan
  9. 9 Justin Kluivert
  10. 10 Marcus Tavernier
  11. 11 Evanilson
  • Will Dennis (injury)
  • Matai Akinmboni (injury)
  • Eli Kroupi (injury)
  • Luis Sinisterra (injury)
  • Ryan Christie (Suspended (red card), available August 28, 2026.)
  • Veljko Milosavljevic (Knee injury, long-term absentee, no return date.)
  • Julian Araujo (Thigh injury (underwent surgery), long-term absentee, expected return mid-October 2026.)

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 sets the tactical frame at the Etihad, with City's wide trio likely to probe Bournemouth's defensive shape from the first whistle. Erling Haaland operates as the focal point, supported by runners either side in what promises to be a fluid, high-tempo opening fixture.

Bournemouth's double pivot of Lewis Cook and Alex Scott will be tasked with disrupting City's midfield rhythm and limiting the space Phil Foden finds between the lines. Andoni Iraola's side have shown they can be disciplined on the road, but containing City's attacking width across 90 minutes is a considerable ask.

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth: Head-to-Head

Manchester City 60 % Draws 20 % AFC Bournemouth 20 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3.2Total goals
100%Both teams score
2Home goals
1.2Away goals
80%Over 2.5 goals
20%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Match?

What time is Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

Manchester City host AFC Bournemouth at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday 23 August 2026, kicking off at 14:00 BST.

Where is Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth being played?

This match takes place at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.

How Can I Watch Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for confirmed broadcast details closer to kickoff on 23 August 2026.