Serie A
Roma
24 Aug 2026 19:45
Fiorentina
Prediction:
Roma to win 1.53
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Roma vs Fiorentina Predictions, Picks & Odds – 24/08/2026

Serie A · 1
24 Aug 2026 Stadio Olimpico Louis Hecq

Roma vs Fiorentina – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Betfred1.534.206.00View odds
William Hill1.504.206.50View Odds
Smarkets1.493.755.90View Odds
Our prediction
1: Roma to win
1.53 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 22 Aug 2026 at 22:49 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 1
Date: 24 Aug 2026
Time: 19:45 BST
Stadium: Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Fiorentina Preview

Roma open the 2026-27 Serie A campaign buoyed by a superb third-place finish last term under Gian Piero Gasperini, whose appointment in June 2025 transformed the club's fortunes. The Giallorossi won 23 matches, conceding fewer than a goal per fixture on average. Their recent form reads three consecutive victories followed by two late-season defeats, though the Stadio Olimpico faithful will expect a strong start with Champions League football secured.

Fiorentina arrive in the capital with far less momentum. A fifteenth-place finish last season tells its own story, and only Paolo Vanoli's mid-season appointment prevented a genuine relegation battle. The Viola's away form has been patchy, collecting just two wins from their last five on the road with a draw and two defeats mixed in. A 2-1 loss to Roma in the reverse fixture will linger, and Vanoli's squad rebuilding project remains very much a work in progress.

Roma's home form heading into this fixture is encouraging, with three wins from their last five at the Stadio Olimpico. Their defensive record last season, conceding just 0.82 goals per match across the campaign, gives them a solid platform. Fiorentina, by contrast, finished 15th and managed only one win from their last five away outings. The home win at 1.53 reflects that disparity well.

Paolo Vanoli steadied Fiorentina after arriving in November 2025, but the underlying numbers remain poor. A side that narrowly avoided relegation will struggle against a Roma outfit now geared for Champions League football. Gasperini's sides are typically well drilled from the opening whistle, and the Giallorossi should control proceedings. We favour the home win as our primary selection.

Given Roma's defensive solidity and Fiorentina's struggles on the road, the under 2.5 goals market at N/A also merits attention. Early-season fixtures often produce cagey affairs, and Gasperini will prioritise structure. A 1-0 or 2-0 Roma victory looks the likeliest outcome at the Olimpico on opening night.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Trends to Know about Roma vs Fiorentina

  • Roma conceded just 0.82 goals per match
  • Fiorentina finished 15th last season
  • Roma won three of last five home

Form & Statistics: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma

Recent form

WWWLL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.6Total goals
80%Both teams score
2Goals scored
2.6Goals conceded

Fiorentina

Recent form

WDLDW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.1Total goals
57%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded
StatisticRomaFiorentina
Last 5 results3W 2L·2W 2D 1L
Avg goals scored2.0·1.8
Avg goals conceded2.6·1.3
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·2/5
H2H, last 6 meetings3 Roma · 1 Draws · 2 Fiorentina
Probable lineup

Lineups: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Svilar
  2. 2 Mancini
  3. 3 Ndicka
  4. 4 Hermoso
  5. 5 Celik
  6. 6 Cristante
  7. 7 Kone
  8. 8 Wesley
  9. 9 Soule
  10. 10 Dybala
  11. 11 Malen
  • Evan Ferguson (injury)
  • Renato Marin (injury)
  • Luigi Cherubini (injury)
  • Muhammed Bah (injury)
  • Niccolò Pisilli (injury)

Fiorentina

4-3-3
  1. 1 De Gea
  2. 2 Dodo
  3. 3 Pongracic
  4. 4 Ranieri
  5. 5 Gosens
  6. 6 Ndour
  7. 7 Fagioli
  8. 8 Harrison
  9. 9 Gudmundsson
  10. 10 Solomon
  • Rolando Mandragora (injury)
  • Fabiano Parisi (injury)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative caveat, drawn from pre-season projections rather than confirmed team sheets, so the picture may shift before kickoff. That said, the anticipated 3-4-2-1 versus 4-3-3 contest frames a fascinating structural duel, with Roma's wider midfield runners likely to probe Fiorentina's back four from the flanks.

Paulo Dybala operating in the pocket behind the striker is the most dangerous element of Roma's projected shape, while Albert Gudmundsson offers Fiorentina a creative threat capable of exploiting any space left by Roma's wing-backs pushing high. Treat both formations as educated guesses until official confirmation arrives.

Roma vs Fiorentina: Head-to-Head

Roma 50 % Draws 17 % Fiorentina 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3.2Total goals
50%Both teams score
2Home goals
1.2Away goals
67%Over 2.5 goals
33%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Roma vs Fiorentina Match?

What time is Roma vs Fiorentina?

Roma vs Fiorentina kicks off at the Stadio Olimpico on 24 August 2026 at 19:45 BST.

Where is Roma vs Fiorentina being played?

This fixture takes place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Roma's home ground.

How Can I Watch Roma vs Fiorentina on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for broadcast details, as coverage varies by region.