Championship

Derby County

29 Aug 2026 12:30

Swansea City

Prediction:

Derby County to win 2.30

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Derby CountyDraw Swansea City

Derby County vs Swansea City Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/08/2026

Championship · 3

Our prediction

X2: Double Chance Draw or Swansea City

3.10 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 21 Sep 2026 at 06:14 · Odds are subject to change

Derby County vs Swansea City Preview

Derby County's winless start to the campaign has left them 16th in the Championship, with a solitary point from their opening two fixtures. The Rams showed character to twice come from behind in a 2-2 draw with Cardiff City at Pride Park, but that resilience cannot mask a defence that has shipped six goals across three competitive outings. Paul Warne's side are desperate for a first victory, yet the underlying numbers paint a troubling picture.

Swansea City sit 10th, unbeaten through two league matches courtesy of a win and a draw. Their goalless stalemate with Sheffield United last time out demonstrated defensive resolve, though creating clear-cut chances proved difficult. Head coach Vitor Matos faces a centre-back crisis with Cameron Burgess and Ben Cabango sidelined or doubtful, while Zan Vipotnik is reportedly pushing for a starting berth up front. Despite those concerns, four points from six represents a solid foundation.

Derby's defensive frailties are the central concern here. Six goals conceded across three competitive outings paints a grim picture, and the Rams have already shipped four in the league alone. Swansea, by contrast, kept a clean sheet against Sheffield United last time out and sit comfortably in tenth with four points. That defensive disparity makes backing the visitors or a stalemate a logical stance at this stage of the season.

Swansea do carry their own worries. The potential absence of Cameron Burgess and Ben Cabango leaves Vitor Matos short of senior centre-back options, which could blunt the Swans' defensive edge at Pride Park. Derby twice fought back from behind against Cardiff, demonstrating resilience if not consistency. Still, Swansea's superior early-season form and greater solidity across the pitch tilt the balance away from a home victory.

Our recommended selection is the Draw or Away (X2) double chance. The away win alone at 3.10 offers decent value, while the draw at 3.40 provides a safety net given Derby's historical head-to-head dominance, having won their last two meetings with Swansea. Combining both outcomes covers the likeliest scenarios based on current form and defensive records. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Derby County vs Swansea City

• Derby conceded six goals in three matches
• Swansea unbeaten in two league outings
• Rams winless across all competitions so far

Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1 at Pride Park, setting up a mirror-image contest in the Championship's third round of fixtures. Carlton Morris leads the line for Derby, with Bobby Clark and Oscar Fraulo providing the creative thrust behind him in what promises to be a compact, structured midfield battle.

Swansea's probable XI has been adjusted for injuries, lending Derby a slight edge in preparation certainty, though both lineups carry credible sourcing. Adam Idah spearheads the visitors' attack, and how the two double-pivot pairings cope with the press and transition will likely determine where the match is decided.

How to Watch Derby County vs Swansea City Match?

What time is Derby County vs Swansea City?

Derby County host Swansea City at Pride Park Stadium on Saturday 29 August 2026, with kickoff set for 12:30 BST.

Where is Derby County vs Swansea City being played?

This fixture takes place at Pride Park Stadium, Derby County's home ground in the East Midlands.

How Can I Watch Derby County vs Swansea City on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for broadcast details on this Championship fixture.