Serie A
Atalanta
12 Sep 2026 19:45
Cagliari
Prediction:
Atalanta to win 1.57
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Atalanta vs Cagliari Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/09/2026

Serie A · 4
12 Sep 2026 Gewiss Stadium Louis Hecq

Atalanta vs Cagliari – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: Atalanta to win
1.57 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 24 Oct 2026 at 22:58 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 12 Sep 2026
Time: 19:45 BST
Stadium: Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta vs Cagliari Preview

Atalanta sit eighth on six points after three matches, their perfect start undone by a cruel late collapse against Roma. Maurizio Sarri's side conceded twice in the closing stages to lose 2-1, a result that will sting. The manager has promised an aggressive, high-pressing display at the Gewiss Stadium, where his team have won both fixtures this term. Franck Kessie is expected to start, while Kristensen has shaken off an ankle complaint.

Cagliari arrive in Bergamo level on points with their hosts, occupying ninth place courtesy of goal difference. Fabio Pisacane's side have defied early relegation predictions, collecting back-to-back victories including a 1-0 triumph over Lecce in which Daniel Maldini struck the decisive goal. That recent momentum is genuine, and a famous 3-2 win over Atalanta in April offers further belief. The Sardinians, however, have a historically poor record at this venue.

Atalanta's home record this season is flawless, with two wins from two at the Gewiss Stadium, and Maurizio Sarri's side have averaged 1.34 goals per match compared to Cagliari's 0.72. The hosts also hold a commanding head-to-head advantage at this venue. A home win at 1.57 reflects that structural superiority and represents the core of our recommendation.

Cagliari have enjoyed back-to-back victories under Fabio Pisacane, with Daniel Maldini's winner against Lecce lifting confidence. Yet their historically poor returns in Bergamo temper optimism. Sarri has promised an aggressive, high-pressing display, and with Franck Kessie likely drafted into the starting eleven, Atalanta should control the midfield battle and create enough chances to prevail.

The April memory of Cagliari's 3-2 triumph will sharpen Atalanta's focus considerably. Kristensen's return from an ankle problem bolsters defensive options, while the suspended Gaetano leaves a gap Kessie is well equipped to fill. Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 also merits attention given both sides' attacking intent. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Atalanta vs Cagliari

  • Atalanta unbeaten at home this season
  • Cagliari average under one goal away
  • Hosts won both Gewiss Stadium fixtures

Form & Statistics: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Atalanta

Recent form

LWWWD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.6Total goals
46%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
0.8Goals conceded

Cagliari

Recent form

WLLWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

1.8Total goals
42%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
0.7Goals conceded
StatisticAtalantaCagliari
Last 5 results3W 1D 1L·3W 2L
Avg goals scored1.8·1.1
Avg goals conceded0.8·0.7
Under 2.5 (last 5)3/5·4/5
H2H, last 4 meetings2 Atalanta · 1 Draws · 1 Cagliari
Probable lineup

Lineups: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Atalanta

4-3-3
  1. 1 Marco Carnesecchi
  2. 2 Davide Zappacosta
  3. 3 Odilon Kossounou
  4. 4 Giorgio Scalvini
  5. 5 Bernasconi
  6. 6 Franck Kessie
  7. 7 Ederson
  8. 8 Lazar Samardzic
  9. 9 Charles De Ketelaere
  10. 10 Gianluca Scamacca
  11. 11 Eljif Elmas
  • Gianluca Gaetano (suspended)
  • Isak Hien (injury)
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana (injury)

Cagliari

4-3-3
  1. 1 Elia Caprile
  2. 2 Zé Pedro
  3. 3 Alessandro Deiola
  4. 4 Juan Rodríguez
  5. 5 Adam Obert
  6. 6 Michel Adopo
  7. 7 Harry Winks
  8. 8 Alessandro Romano
  9. 9 Daniel Maldini
  10. 10 Paul Mendy
  11. 11 Jacopo Fazzini
  • Mattia Felici (injury)
  • M'Bala Nzola (injury)
  • Riyad Idrissi (injury)
  • Yael Trepy (injury)
  • Zito Luvumbo (injury)
  • Yerry Mina (Injury)

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 versus 4-3-3 contest shapes up at the Gewiss Stadium, with Gasperini's side looking to impose their characteristic high press and wide overloads. Charles De Ketelaere operates as the creative pivot between midfield and attack, while Franck Kessie slots in to cover the suspended Gaetano.

Cagliari arrive with a compact, industrious midfield trio anchored by Harry Winks, tasked with disrupting Atalanta's rhythm before Daniel Maldini and Jacopo Fazzini can threaten on the break. The two formations mirror each other on paper, making positional discipline and transition speed the likely decisive factors.

Atalanta vs Cagliari: Head-to-Head

Atalanta 50 % Draws 25 % Cagliari 25 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.3Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.3Home goals
1Away goals
50%Over 2.5 goals
50%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Atalanta vs Cagliari Match?

What time is Atalanta vs Cagliari?

Atalanta welcome Cagliari to the Gewiss Stadium on Wednesday 9 December 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 GMT.

Where is Atalanta vs Cagliari being played?

This fixture takes place at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Atalanta's home ground.

How Can I Watch Atalanta vs Cagliari on TV and Live Stream?

Check your local listings for Serie A broadcast details, as coverage varies by region.