Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
12 Sep 2026 14:30
Paderborn
Prediction:
Borussia Dortmund to win 1.22
View odds >
Pick your prediction

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/09/2026

Bundesliga · 3
12 Sep 2026 Signal Iduna Park Louis Hecq

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: Borussia Dortmund to win
1.22 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 23 Oct 2026 at 03:58 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Bundesliga
Stage: Regular Season, 3
Date: 12 Sep 2026
Time: 14:30 BST
Stadium: Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Preview

Borussia Dortmund sit third in the Bundesliga and arrive at this fixture brimming with confidence after four consecutive victories across all competitions. Niko Kovac's side edged past Villarreal 3-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday, with Serhou Guirassy netting a brace to take his tally to four goals in five outings. The returns of Nico Schlotterbeck and Ramy Bensebaini from injury bolster the squad, though Konstantinos Karetsas misses out with circulatory problems.

Paderborn are finding life tough since their promotion, sitting twelfth with just a single point from two matches. A goalless draw against Mainz and a narrow defeat to Freiburg represent their campaign so far, and the newly promoted side remain without a Bundesliga goal despite firing 23 shots across those fixtures. Steffen Tigges returns to his former club hoping to break that drought, but Ralf Kettemann's men face a daunting afternoon at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund at home represent a formidable proposition for any visiting side, let alone newly promoted Paderborn. Four straight wins, 14 goals scored in their last five outings, and the return of Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini to full fitness strengthen an already dominant squad. Serhou Guirassy's four goals in five matches make him the focal threat. The home win at 1.22 looks well-priced given the gulf in quality.

Paderborn's early-season numbers tell a stark story: two Bundesliga fixtures, zero goals scored, and just a single point collected. Despite registering 23 shots across those matches, their finishing has been woeful. Facing Dortmund's high-octane attack at Signal Iduna Park, where the Yellow Wall generates relentless pressure, the visitors look vulnerable. Backing over 2.5 goals at 1.35 reflects Dortmund's prolific scoring and Paderborn's defensive fragility.

Dortmund's recent results show a willingness to concede; both their Bundesliga and Champions League wins finished 3-2. That pattern, combined with Paderborn's shot volume, suggests the visitors could finally break their goalscoring duck. However, Steffen Tigges and his teammates face a side averaging nearly three goals per match at present. Both teams to score at 1.73 carries appeal, though the primary selection remains the home victory. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn

  • Dortmund have four consecutive wins
  • Paderborn goalless in two league matches
  • Guirassy has four goals in five outings

Form & Statistics: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn

Borussia Dortmund

Recent form

WWWWL
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.2Total goals
53%Both teams score
2.1Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Paderborn

Recent form

LDW
Wins1/3 (33%)
Draws1/3 (33%)
Losses1/3 (33%)

Season statistics (3)

3Total goals
63%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded
StatisticBorussia DortmundPaderborn
Last 5 results4W 1L·1W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored2.1·1.7
Avg goals conceded1.1·1.3
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·2/3
Probable lineup

Lineups: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Gregor Kobel
  2. 2 Joane Gadou
  3. 3 Waldemar Anton
  4. 4 Daniel Svensson
  5. 5 Julian Ryerson
  6. 6 Jobe Bellingham
  7. 7 Felix Nmecha
  8. 8 Ethan Nwaneri
  9. 9 Maximilian Beier
  10. 10 Serhou Guirassy
  • Alexander Meyer
  • Marcel Sabitzer
  • Joey Veerman
  • Carney Chukwuemeka
  • Ramy Bensebaini (suspended)
  • Giannis Konstantelias (suspended)
  • Filippo Mane (injury)
  • Nico Schlotterbeck (injury)
  • Emre Can (injury)
  • Justin Lerma (suspended)
  • Enzo dos Santos (injury)
  • Konstantinos Karetsas (injury)
  • Samuele Inácio (suspended)
  • Mussa Kaba (injury)
  • Kauã Prates (Thigh injury)

Paderborn

3-3-2-2
  1. 1 Nahuel Noll
  2. 2 Jano ter Horst
  3. 3 Tjark Scheller
  4. 4 Mattes Hansen
  5. 5 Laurin Curda
  6. 6 Santiago Castaneda
  7. 7 Raphael Obermair
  8. 8 Laurin Ulrich
  9. 9 Gabriel Vidovic
  10. 10 Marvin Pieringer
  11. 11 Rayan Philippe
  • Marcus Schubert
  • Jonah Sticker
  • Tom Baack
  • Oliver Batista Meier
  • Luka Đurić
  • Niklas Mohr
  • Steffen Tigges
  • Stefano Marino
  • Sven Michel (injury)
  • Lasse Eickel (injury)
  • Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (injury)
  • Timur Gayret (injury)

Medium confidence

Dortmund line up in a 3-4-2-1 that places considerable creative responsibility on Jobe Bellingham and Ethan Nwaneri in the half-spaces behind Serhou Guirassy, with the wide wing-backs expected to provide the primary width against a Paderborn side organised in a compact 3-3-2-2.

Paderborn's double pivot and narrow shape will look to limit the space Dortmund's advanced pair can exploit, with Gabriel Vidovic and Rayan Philippe tasked with offering a threat on the counter. Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, so minor changes at kickoff remain possible.

How to Watch Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Match?

What time is Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?

Kickoff at Signal Iduna Park is scheduled for 14:30 BST on Saturday 12 September 2026.

Where is Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn being played?

This match takes place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany.

How Can I Watch Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for Bundesliga broadcast details in your region. Odds correct at time of publication.