Borussia Dortmund
Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/09/2026
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn – Best bets of the match
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Preview
Borussia Dortmund sit third in the Bundesliga and arrive at this fixture brimming with confidence after four consecutive victories across all competitions. Niko Kovac's side edged past Villarreal 3-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday, with Serhou Guirassy netting a brace to take his tally to four goals in five outings. The returns of Nico Schlotterbeck and Ramy Bensebaini from injury bolster the squad, though Konstantinos Karetsas misses out with circulatory problems.
Paderborn are finding life tough since their promotion, sitting twelfth with just a single point from two matches. A goalless draw against Mainz and a narrow defeat to Freiburg represent their campaign so far, and the newly promoted side remain without a Bundesliga goal despite firing 23 shots across those fixtures. Steffen Tigges returns to his former club hoping to break that drought, but Ralf Kettemann's men face a daunting afternoon at Signal Iduna Park.
Borussia Dortmund at home represent a formidable proposition for any visiting side, let alone newly promoted Paderborn. Four straight wins, 14 goals scored in their last five outings, and the return of Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini to full fitness strengthen an already dominant squad. Serhou Guirassy's four goals in five matches make him the focal threat. The home win at 1.22 looks well-priced given the gulf in quality.
Paderborn's early-season numbers tell a stark story: two Bundesliga fixtures, zero goals scored, and just a single point collected. Despite registering 23 shots across those matches, their finishing has been woeful. Facing Dortmund's high-octane attack at Signal Iduna Park, where the Yellow Wall generates relentless pressure, the visitors look vulnerable. Backing over 2.5 goals at 1.35 reflects Dortmund's prolific scoring and Paderborn's defensive fragility.
Dortmund's recent results show a willingness to concede; both their Bundesliga and Champions League wins finished 3-2. That pattern, combined with Paderborn's shot volume, suggests the visitors could finally break their goalscoring duck. However, Steffen Tigges and his teammates face a side averaging nearly three goals per match at present. Both teams to score at 1.73 carries appeal, though the primary selection remains the home victory. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
- Dortmund have four consecutive wins
- Paderborn goalless in two league matches
- Guirassy has four goals in five outings
Form & Statistics: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Paderborn
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Lineups: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund
Starters
- 1 Gregor Kobel
- 2 Joane Gadou
- 3 Waldemar Anton
- 4 Daniel Svensson
- 5 Julian Ryerson
- 6 Jobe Bellingham
- 7 Felix Nmecha
- 8 Ethan Nwaneri
- 9 Maximilian Beier
- 10 Serhou Guirassy
Bench
- Alexander Meyer
- Marcel Sabitzer
- Joey Veerman
- Carney Chukwuemeka
Absent
- Ramy Bensebaini (suspended)
- Giannis Konstantelias (suspended)
- Filippo Mane (injury)
- Nico Schlotterbeck (injury)
- Emre Can (injury)
- Justin Lerma (suspended)
- Enzo dos Santos (injury)
- Konstantinos Karetsas (injury)
- Samuele Inácio (suspended)
- Mussa Kaba (injury)
- Kauã Prates (Thigh injury)
Paderborn
Starters
- 1 Nahuel Noll
- 2 Jano ter Horst
- 3 Tjark Scheller
- 4 Mattes Hansen
- 5 Laurin Curda
- 6 Santiago Castaneda
- 7 Raphael Obermair
- 8 Laurin Ulrich
- 9 Gabriel Vidovic
- 10 Marvin Pieringer
- 11 Rayan Philippe
Bench
- Marcus Schubert
- Jonah Sticker
- Tom Baack
- Oliver Batista Meier
- Luka Đurić
- Niklas Mohr
- Steffen Tigges
- Stefano Marino
Absent
- Sven Michel (injury)
- Lasse Eickel (injury)
- Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (injury)
- Timur Gayret (injury)
Medium confidence
Dortmund line up in a 3-4-2-1 that places considerable creative responsibility on Jobe Bellingham and Ethan Nwaneri in the half-spaces behind Serhou Guirassy, with the wide wing-backs expected to provide the primary width against a Paderborn side organised in a compact 3-3-2-2.
Paderborn's double pivot and narrow shape will look to limit the space Dortmund's advanced pair can exploit, with Gabriel Vidovic and Rayan Philippe tasked with offering a threat on the counter. Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, so minor changes at kickoff remain possible.
How to Watch Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Match?
What time is Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?
Kickoff at Signal Iduna Park is scheduled for 14:30 BST on Saturday 12 September 2026.
Where is Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn being played?
This match takes place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany.
How Can I Watch Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn on TV and Live Stream?
Check local listings for Bundesliga broadcast details in your region. Odds correct at time of publication.
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