UEFA Nations League
Netherlands
24 Sep 2026 19:45
Germany
Prediction:
Netherlands to win 2.38
View odds >
Pick your prediction

Netherlands vs Germany Predictions, Picks & Odds – 24/09/2026

UEFA Nations League · 1
24 Sep 2026 Louis Hecq

Netherlands vs Germany – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
12: Netherlands or Germany
2.38 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 22 Sep 2026 at 23:04 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: 1
Date: 24 Sep 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Netherlands vs Germany Preview

The Netherlands enter a new era under Xavi Hernández, whose bold decision to omit all-time record scorer Memphis Depay signals a clear break from the Koeman regime. Recent form reads well, with four wins from five outings, though the Dutch will be without Jurriën Timber, who is managing his fitness carefully. Brian Brobbey arrives in superb nick following a hat-trick for Sunderland, offering Xavi a potent focal point in attack.

Germany begin the Jürgen Klopp chapter after a disappointing World Cup exit. Three wins from their last four matches suggest the foundations remain solid, yet a recent defeat tempers expectations. Klopp has adopted a novel squad rotation policy, naming two separate groups for the September and October fixtures, with Alexander Nübel projected to start in goal ahead of Marc-André ter Stegen. Jamal Musiala's three-goal involvement in his last three Bayern Munich appearances makes him the obvious creative threat.

The 12 (Home or Away) pick reflects the attacking pedigree both sides bring to this fixture. In the 2024/25 Nations League, the Netherlands averaged three goals per match while Germany managed four, with both teams to score landing in every single outing. A draw feels unlikely when two such prolific attacks collide under managers eager to stamp their authority early.

Brian Brobbey arrives in superb nick following his hat-trick for Sunderland, giving Xavi a genuine focal point up front. On the German side, Jamal Musiala has contributed two goals and an assist across his last three Bayern Munich appearances. With creative quality abundant on both flanks, backing at least one side to claim victory at 2.38 or 2.62 carries strong logic.

Both defences look vulnerable. Jurriën Timber will not be risked, while Matthijs de Ligt remains short of full fitness, leaving the Dutch backline weakened. Germany field Alexander Nübel rather than first-choice Marc-André ter Stegen, adding further uncertainty. These defensive concerns, paired with the firepower available, reinforce the expectation that a decisive result will emerge rather than a stalemate priced at 4.00.

Trends to Know about Netherlands vs Germany

  • Both sides hit BTTS in every 2024/25 UNL match
  • Netherlands averaged 3.0 goals per UNL fixture
  • Germany averaged 4.0 goals per UNL match

Form & Statistics: Netherlands vs Germany

Netherlands

Recent form

DWWDW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Germany

Recent form

DLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticNetherlandsGermany
Last 5 results3W 2D·3W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·1/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Netherlands vs Germany

Netherlands

4-3-3
  1. 1 Bart Verbruggen
  2. 2 Denzel Dumfries
  3. 3 Virgil van Dijk
  4. 4 Micky van de Ven
  5. 5 Nathan Aké
  6. 6 Joey Veerman
  7. 7 Ryan Gravenberch
  8. 8 Tijjani Reijnders
  9. 9 Jeremie Frimpong
  10. 10 Brian Brobbey
  11. 11 Cody Gakpo
  • Mark Flekken
  • Robin Roefs
  • Lutsharel Geertruida
  • Jan Paul van Hecke
  • Jorrel Hato
  • Guus Til
  • Kenneth Taylor
  • Quinten Timber
  • Crysencio Summerville
  • Noa Lang
  • Ruben van Bommel
  • Mexx Meerdink
  • Justin Kluivert (Injury (missed upcoming Nations League games))
  • Donyell Malen (Muscle injury/minor knock (withdrew from squad))
  • Frenkie de Jong (Absent/Injury)
  • Mats Wieffer (Absent/Injury)
  • Jerdy Schouten (Absent/Injury)
  • Xavi Simons (Absent/Injury)
  • Ian Maatsen (Absent/Injury)

Germany

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Alexander Nübel
  2. 2 Josha Vagnoman
  3. 3 Jonathan Tah
  4. 4 Yann Aurel Bisseck
  5. 5 Nathaniel Brown
  6. 6 Joshua Kimmich
  7. 7 Felix Nmecha
  8. 8 Serge Gnabry
  9. 9 Jamal Musiala
  10. 10 Lennart Karl
  11. 11 Kai Havertz
  • Marc-André ter Stegen
  • Finn Dahmen
  • Hannes Behrens
  • Max Rosenfelder
  • Philipp Treu
  • Nadiem Amiri
  • Yannik Engelhardt
  • Anton Stach
  • Bambasé Conté
  • Chris Führich
  • Kevin Schade
  • Younes Ebnoutalib
  • Brajan Gruda (Lateral abdominal muscle strain (withdrew from squad))
  • Leon Goretzka (Injury (carrying injury into Nations League campaign))
  • Angelo Stiller (Injury (carrying injury into Nations League campaign))
  • Deniz Undav (Injury (left out of squad entirely))
  • Nico Schlotterbeck (Torn ligament in left ankle (ruled out for several months in June 2026))
  • Manuel Neuer (Retired from national team after World Cup 2026)
  • Antonio Rudiger (Retired from national team after World Cup 2026)
  • Pascal Gross (Retired from national team after World Cup 2026)

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 sets up a compelling midfield contest at the heart of this Nations League fixture. Ryan Gravenberch and Jamal Musiala are the players most likely to dictate tempo, with the Dutch trio behind Brobbey tasked with pressing Germany's double pivot and forcing errors in transition.

Both lineups carry probable status, though Germany's XI has been adjusted following a defensive injury and is drawn from slightly older sources, introducing a modest degree of uncertainty over the visitors' final shape. The Dutch back four looks settled, and Koeman's side will look to exploit wide channels through Frimpong and Gakpo from the first whistle.

How to Watch Netherlands vs Germany Match?

What time is Netherlands vs Germany?

Netherlands vs Germany kicks off at 19:45 BST on Thursday 24 September 2026.

Where is Netherlands vs Germany being played?

The confirmed venue for Netherlands vs Germany has not yet been announced by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Netherlands vs Germany on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Netherlands vs Germany will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and local rights holders.